Real Madrid at Real Sociedad

Updated

Real Madrid

55.0%24.3%20.7%
Real Madrid WinDrawReal Sociedad Win
1.67Projected Goals 0.92
1Final Score 0

Real Sociedad

Last 5 Games

Real Madrid
Money Line
W 2-3 vs Barcelona-138
W 1-0 at Mallorca-125
W 0-2 vs Athletic Club-165
W 4-2 at Osasuna-190
W 0-4 vs Celta Vigo-307
Real Sociedad
Money Line
T 1-1 at Getafe+115
T 2-2 vs Almeria-350
W 1-0 at Alaves+120
W 0-2 vs Cadiz-230
W 3-2 at Granada-115

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Real Madrid+150+227+210+233+218+233+233+244.8
Real Sociedad+185+137+135+133+144+133+144+141.2
Draw+240+220+225+227+223+227+227+238.5
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Real Madrid+170-+222+200+195+215+222+244.8
Real Sociedad+165-+130+130+110+140+140+141.2
Draw+230-+225+215+220+215+220+238.5

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Real Madrid: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Real Sociedad: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Real Madrid: 50.0%
Real Sociedad: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Real Madrid: 0.0%
Real Sociedad: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Real Madrid ML moved from +232 to +224
Real Sociedad ML moved from +142 to +134

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Real Madrid: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Real Sociedad: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Real Madrid: 50.0%
Real Sociedad: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Real Madrid: 0.0%
Real Sociedad: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Real Madrid ML moved from +221 to +214
Real Sociedad ML moved from +135 to +110

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
-1.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¼-118o2-136o2¼+108o2¼+105o2¼+107o2¼+105o2-136o2¼+114
Underu2¼-102u2+114u2¼-128u2¼-125u2¼-123u2¼-125u2¼-123u2¼-114
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½+110o2½+130o2-135o2-135o2½+115o2-135o2-135o2¼+114
Underu2½-130u2½-150u2+115u2+115u2½-145u2+115u2½-145u2¼-114

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 30.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u2½-150 to u2+110

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes48.8%
 
No51.2%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 07.52%
Exactly 225.18%
Exactly 414.05%
Exactly 63.14%
Exactly 80.37%
 
Exactly 119.46%
Exactly 321.72%
Exactly 57.27%
Exactly 71.16%
Exactly 90.11%
Exact Goals Scored - Real Madrid
Exactly 018.86%
Exactly 131.46%
Exactly 226.24%
Exactly 314.59%
Exactly 46.08%
Exactly 52.03%
Exactly 60.56%
Exactly 70.13%
Exact Goals Scored - Real Sociedad
Exactly 039.86%
Exactly 136.66%
Exactly 216.86%
Exactly 35.17%
Exactly 41.19%
Exactly 50.22%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 030.18%
Exactly 221.66%
Exactly 42.59%
Exactly 60.12%
 
Exactly 136.15%
Exactly 38.65%
Exactly 50.62%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Real Madrid
Exactly 046.20%
Exactly 135.68%
Exactly 213.78%
Exactly 33.55%
Exactly 40.68%
Exactly 50.11%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Real Sociedad
Exactly 065.32%
Exactly 127.82%
Exactly 25.92%
Exactly 30.84%

Alternate Props

Spread

Real Madrid
Wins by 2+ goals30.00%
Wins by 3+ goals13.06%
Wins by 4+ goals4.64%
Wins by 5+ goals1.37%
Real Sociedad
Wins by 2+ goals6.89%
Wins by 3+ goals1.74%
Wins by 4+ goals0.33%

Exact Winning Margin

Real Madrid
Real Sociedad
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
Real Madrid
Wins by 1 goal24.96%
Wins by 2 goals16.95%
Wins by 3 goals8.42%
Wins by 4 goals3.27%
Wins by 5 goals1.04%
Real Sociedad
Wins by 1 goal13.76%
Wins by 2 goals5.15%
Wins by 3 goals1.41%
Wins by 4 goals0.29%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.592.48%7.52%
1.573.02%26.98%
2.547.85%52.15%
3.526.13%73.87%
4.512.08%87.92%
5.54.81%95.19%
6.51.68%98.32%

Total Goals Real Madrid Over/Under

OverUnder
0.581.14%18.86%
1.549.68%50.32%
2.523.44%76.56%
3.58.85%91.15%
4.52.76%97.24%

Total Goals Real Sociedad Over/Under

OverUnder
0.560.14%39.86%
1.523.47%76.53%
2.56.61%93.39%
3.51.45%98.55%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.569.82%30.18%
1.533.67%66.33%
2.512.01%87.99%
3.53.36%96.64%

Score Props

Correct Score

Real Madrid
Real Sociedad
Score01234
0
7.52%
6.92%
3.18%
0.97%
0.22%
1
12.54%
11.53%
5.30%
1.63%
0.37%
2
10.46%
9.62%
4.42%
1.36%
0.31%
3
5.82%
5.35%
2.46%
0.75%
0.17%
4
2.43%
2.23%
1.03%
0.31%
0.07%
5
0.81%
0.74%
0.34%
0.10%
0.02%
Real Madrid
1-012.54%
2-010.46%
2-19.62%
3-05.82%
3-15.35%
3-22.46%
4-02.43%
4-12.23%
4-21.03%
4-30.31%
5-00.81%
5-10.74%
5-20.34%
5-30.10%
Draw
0-07.52%
1-111.53%
2-24.42%
3-30.75%
Real Sociedad
0-16.92%
0-23.18%
1-25.30%
0-30.97%
1-31.63%
2-31.36%
0-40.22%
1-40.37%
2-40.31%
3-40.17%

Correct Score - First Half

Real Madrid
Real Sociedad
Score0123
0
30.18%
12.85%
2.74%
0.39%
1
23.30%
9.92%
2.11%
0.30%
2
9.00%
3.83%
0.82%
0.12%
3
2.32%
0.99%
0.21%
0.03%
4
0.45%
0.19%
0.04%
0.01%
Real Madrid
1-023.30%
2-09.00%
2-13.83%
3-02.32%
3-10.99%
3-20.21%
4-00.45%
4-10.19%
Draw
0-030.18%
1-19.92%
2-20.82%
Real Sociedad
0-112.85%
0-22.74%
1-22.11%
0-30.39%
1-30.30%
2-30.12%