Barcelona at Real Madrid

Updated

Barcelona

19.2%22.9%57.9%
WinDrawReal Madrid Win
0.93Projected Goals 1.80
2Final Score 3

Real Madrid

Last 5 Games

Barcelona
Money Line
W 1-0 at Cadiz+110
W 0-1 vs Las Palmas-390
W 3-0 at Atletico Madrid+201
W 0-1 vs Mallorca-224
T 0-0 at Athletic Club+130
Real Madrid
Money Line
W 1-0 at Mallorca-125
W 0-2 vs Athletic Club-165
W 4-2 at Osasuna-190
W 0-4 vs Celta Vigo-307
T 2-2 at Valencia-159

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.3%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Barcelona+348+328-+335+333+335+335+350.0
Real Madrid-133-134--138-136-138-134-127.5
Draw+307+326-+345+339+345+345+360.3
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Barcelona+310-+307+280+285+340+340+350.0
Real Madrid-125--138-145-170-145-138-127.5
Draw+300-+340+280+320+330+340+360.3

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Barcelona: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Real Madrid: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Barcelona: 0.0%
Real Madrid: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Barcelona: 10.0%
Real Madrid: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Barcelona ML moved from +331 to +325
Real Madrid ML moved from -121 to -127

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Barcelona: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Real Madrid: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Barcelona: 0.0%
Real Madrid: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Barcelona: 10.0%
Real Madrid: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Barcelona ML moved from +288 to +273
Real Madrid ML moved from -125 to -145

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.0%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3-121o3½+114-o3¼-105o3¼-102o3¼-105o3¼-102o3¼+104
Underu3+103u3½-136-u3¼-115u3¼-112u3¼-115u3½-136u3¼-104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3-110o3½+110o3½+120o3½+105o3½+100o3½+105o3½+120o3¼+104
Underu3-110u3½-130u3½-140u3½-125u3½-130u3½-125u3½-125u3¼-104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u3½-118 to u3¼-107

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o3-130 to o3½+105
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes50.6%
 
No49.4%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 06.49%
Exactly 224.28%
Exactly 415.12%
Exactly 63.77%
Exactly 80.50%
 
Exactly 117.76%
Exactly 322.13%
Exactly 58.27%
Exactly 71.47%
Exactly 90.15%
Exact Goals Scored - Barcelona
Exactly 039.42%
Exactly 136.70%
Exactly 217.08%
Exactly 35.30%
Exactly 41.23%
Exactly 50.23%
Exact Goals Scored - Real Madrid
Exactly 016.47%
Exactly 129.71%
Exactly 226.79%
Exactly 316.10%
Exactly 47.26%
Exactly 52.62%
Exactly 60.79%
Exactly 70.20%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 028.20%
Exactly 222.59%
Exactly 43.02%
Exactly 60.16%
 
Exactly 135.70%
Exactly 39.53%
Exactly 50.76%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Barcelona
Exactly 064.99%
Exactly 128.01%
Exactly 26.03%
Exactly 30.87%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Real Madrid
Exactly 043.39%
Exactly 136.23%
Exactly 215.13%
Exactly 34.21%
Exactly 40.88%
Exactly 50.15%

Alternate Props

Spread

Barcelona
Wins by 2+ goals6.36%
Wins by 3+ goals1.61%
Wins by 4+ goals0.31%
Real Madrid
Wins by 2+ goals33.15%
Wins by 3+ goals15.29%
Wins by 4+ goals5.79%
Wins by 5+ goals1.82%
Wins by 6+ goals0.46%

Exact Winning Margin

Barcelona
Real Madrid
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
Barcelona
Wins by 1 goal12.75%
Wins by 2 goals4.75%
Wins by 3 goals1.30%
Wins by 4 goals0.27%
Real Madrid
Wins by 1 goal24.71%
Wins by 2 goals17.86%
Wins by 3 goals9.50%
Wins by 4 goals3.97%
Wins by 5 goals1.36%
Wins by 6 goals0.38%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.593.51%6.49%
1.575.75%24.25%
2.551.47%48.53%
3.529.35%70.65%
4.514.22%85.78%
5.55.95%94.05%
6.52.18%97.82%

Total Goals Barcelona Over/Under

OverUnder
0.560.58%39.42%
1.523.88%76.12%
2.56.80%93.20%
3.51.50%98.50%

Total Goals Real Madrid Over/Under

OverUnder
0.583.53%16.47%
1.553.82%46.18%
2.527.03%72.97%
3.510.93%89.07%
4.53.67%96.33%
5.51.05%98.95%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.571.80%28.20%
1.536.11%63.89%
2.513.51%86.49%
3.53.98%96.02%

Score Props

Correct Score

Barcelona
Real Madrid
Score012345
0
6.49%
11.71%
10.56%
6.35%
2.86%
1.03%
1
6.04%
10.90%
9.83%
5.91%
2.66%
0.96%
2
2.81%
5.07%
4.57%
2.75%
1.24%
0.45%
3
0.87%
1.57%
1.42%
0.85%
0.38%
0.14%
4
0.20%
0.37%
0.33%
0.20%
0.09%
0.03%
Barcelona
1-06.04%
2-02.81%
2-15.07%
3-00.87%
3-11.57%
3-21.42%
4-00.20%
4-10.37%
4-20.33%
4-30.20%
Draw
0-06.49%
1-110.90%
2-24.57%
3-30.85%
Real Madrid
0-111.71%
0-210.56%
1-29.83%
0-36.35%
1-35.91%
2-32.75%
0-42.86%
1-42.66%
2-41.24%
3-40.38%
0-51.03%
1-50.96%
2-50.45%
3-50.14%

Correct Score - First Half

Barcelona
Real Madrid
Score01234
0
28.20%
23.54%
9.83%
2.74%
0.57%
1
12.15%
10.15%
4.24%
1.18%
0.25%
2
2.62%
2.19%
0.91%
0.25%
0.05%
3
0.38%
0.31%
0.13%
0.04%
0.01%
Barcelona
1-012.15%
2-02.62%
2-12.19%
3-00.38%
3-10.31%
3-20.13%
Draw
0-028.20%
1-110.15%
2-20.91%
Real Madrid
0-123.54%
0-29.83%
1-24.24%
0-32.74%
1-31.18%
2-30.25%
0-40.57%
1-40.25%