Barcelona at Atletico Madrid

Updated

Barcelona

31.0%28.4%40.6%
Barcelona WinDrawAtletico Madrid Win
1.04Projected Goals 1.24
3Final Score 0

Atletico Madrid

Last 5 Games

Barcelona
Money Line
W 0-1 vs Mallorca-224
T 0-0 at Athletic Club+130
W 0-4 vs Getafe-253
W 2-1 at Celta Vigo-103
T 3-3 vs Granada-553
Atletico Madrid
Money Line
L 0-2 at Cadiz-125
W 1-2 vs Betis-180
T 2-2 at Almeria-152
W 0-5 vs Las Palmas-210
L 0-1 at Sevilla+102

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.6%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Barcelona+181+213-+205+223+215+223+226.0
Atletico Madrid+139+127-+130+122+127+127+134.9
Draw+276+258-+267+264+261+264+273.6
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Barcelona+190-+201+190+170+200+201+226.0
Atletico Madrid+130-+130+125+110+130+130+134.9
Draw+270-+250+250+255+255+255+273.6

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Barcelona: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Atletico Madrid: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Barcelona: 20.0%
Atletico Madrid: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Barcelona: 10.0%
Atletico Madrid: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Barcelona ML moved from +211 to +205
Atletico Madrid ML moved from +125 to +119

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Barcelona: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Atletico Madrid: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Barcelona: 10.0%
Atletico Madrid: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Barcelona: 0.0%
Atletico Madrid: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Barcelona ML moved from +200 to +190
Atletico Madrid ML moved from +126 to +120

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
-2.2%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3-104o3+117-o2¾-115o2¾-111o2¾-115o2¾-111o2¾-104
Underu3-114u3-137-u2¾-105u2¾-103u2¾-105u3-136u2¾+104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3+110o3+115o3+115o2½-130o3-105o2½-130o2½-130o2¾-104
Underu3-130u3-135u3-135u2½+110u3-125u2½+110u3-125u2¾+104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u3-115 to u2¾-105

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u3-120 to u2½+110

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes45.9%
 
No54.1%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 010.24%
Exactly 226.59%
Exactly 411.51%
Exactly 61.99%
Exactly 80.18%
 
Exactly 123.33%
Exactly 320.20%
Exactly 55.25%
Exactly 70.65%
Exact Goals Scored - Barcelona
Exactly 035.26%
Exactly 136.76%
Exactly 219.16%
Exactly 36.66%
Exactly 41.73%
Exactly 50.36%
Exact Goals Scored - Atletico Madrid
Exactly 029.04%
Exactly 135.91%
Exactly 222.20%
Exactly 39.15%
Exactly 42.83%
Exactly 50.70%
Exactly 60.14%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 034.81%
Exactly 219.38%
Exactly 41.80%
 
Exactly 136.73%
Exactly 36.82%
Exactly 50.38%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Barcelona
Exactly 061.72%
Exactly 129.79%
Exactly 27.19%
Exactly 31.16%
Exactly 40.14%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Atletico Madrid
Exactly 056.41%
Exactly 132.30%
Exactly 29.24%
Exactly 31.76%
Exactly 40.25%

Alternate Props

Spread

Barcelona
Wins by 2+ goals11.75%
Wins by 3+ goals3.37%
Wins by 4+ goals0.74%
Wins by 5+ goals0.11%
Atletico Madrid
Wins by 2+ goals17.82%
Wins by 3+ goals6.04%
Wins by 4+ goals1.63%
Wins by 5+ goals0.35%

Exact Winning Margin

Barcelona
Atletico Madrid
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Barcelona
Wins by 1 goal19.20%
Wins by 2 goals8.37%
Wins by 3 goals2.64%
Wins by 4 goals0.63%
Wins by 5 goals0.11%
Atletico Madrid
Wins by 1 goal22.78%
Wins by 2 goals11.78%
Wins by 3 goals4.41%
Wins by 4 goals1.28%
Wins by 5 goals0.30%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.589.76%10.24%
1.566.43%33.57%
2.539.84%60.16%
3.519.64%80.36%
4.58.13%91.87%
5.52.89%97.11%

Total Goals Barcelona Over/Under

OverUnder
0.564.74%35.26%
1.527.98%72.02%
2.58.83%91.17%
3.52.17%97.83%

Total Goals Atletico Madrid Over/Under

OverUnder
0.570.96%29.04%
1.535.05%64.95%
2.512.85%87.15%
3.53.70%96.30%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.565.19%34.81%
1.528.45%71.55%
2.59.07%90.93%
3.52.26%97.74%

Score Props

Correct Score

Barcelona
Atletico Madrid
Score012345
0
10.24%
12.66%
7.83%
3.23%
1.00%
0.25%
1
10.67%
13.20%
8.16%
3.36%
1.04%
0.26%
2
5.56%
6.88%
4.25%
1.75%
0.54%
0.13%
3
1.93%
2.39%
1.48%
0.61%
0.19%
0.05%
4
0.50%
0.62%
0.39%
0.16%
0.05%
0.01%
5
0.11%
0.13%
0.08%
0.03%
0.01%
0.00%
Barcelona
1-010.67%
2-05.56%
2-16.88%
3-01.93%
3-12.39%
3-21.48%
4-00.50%
4-10.62%
4-20.39%
4-30.16%
5-00.11%
5-10.13%
Draw
0-010.24%
1-113.20%
2-24.25%
3-30.61%
Atletico Madrid
0-112.66%
0-27.83%
1-28.16%
0-33.23%
1-33.36%
2-31.75%
0-41.00%
1-41.04%
2-40.54%
3-40.19%
0-50.25%
1-50.26%
2-50.13%

Correct Score - First Half

Barcelona
Atletico Madrid
Score01234
0
34.81%
19.93%
5.71%
1.09%
0.16%
1
16.80%
9.62%
2.75%
0.53%
0.08%
2
4.05%
2.32%
0.66%
0.13%
0.02%
3
0.65%
0.37%
0.11%
0.02%
0.00%
Barcelona
1-016.80%
2-04.05%
2-12.32%
3-00.65%
3-10.37%
3-20.11%
Draw
0-034.81%
1-19.62%
2-20.66%
Atletico Madrid
0-119.93%
0-25.71%
1-22.75%
0-31.09%
1-30.53%
2-30.13%
0-40.16%