Atletico Madrid at Almeria

Updated

Atletico Madrid

62.8%21.8%15.3%
Atletico Madrid WinDrawWin
1.88Projected Goals 0.79
2Final Score 2

Almeria

Last 5 Games

Atletico Madrid
Money Line
W 0-5 vs Las Palmas-210
L 0-1 at Sevilla+102
T 1-1 at Real Madrid+400
W 1-2 vs Rayo Vallecano-160
W 0-2 vs Valencia-183
Almeria
Money Line
T 1-1 at Granada+250
T 0-0 vs Athletic Club+400
L 1-2 at Valencia+430
L 3-0 vs Alaves+179
L 2-3 at Real Madrid+2000

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
-0.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.1%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Atletico Madrid-128-140-130-153-152-153-130-140.7
Almeria+346+398+340+450+436+450+450+469.1
Draw+293+292+290+303+307+303+307+317.0
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Atletico Madrid-135--152--165-180-152-140.7
Almeria+350-+420-+325+500+500+469.1
Draw+295-+290-+270+315+315+317.0

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Atletico Madrid: 60.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Almeria: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Atletico Madrid: 20.0%
Almeria: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Atletico Madrid: 30.0%
Almeria: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Atletico Madrid ML moved from -145 to -152
Almeria ML moved from +340 to +330

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Atletico Madrid: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Almeria: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Atletico Madrid: 10.0%
Almeria: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Atletico Madrid: 0.0%
Almeria: 60.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Atletico Madrid ML moved from -135 to -180
Almeria ML moved from +365 to +340

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.1%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3+117o2½-125o2½-122o2¾+103o2¾+103o2¾+103o2½-122o2¾+112
Underu3-139u2½+107u2½+102u2¾-123u2¾-119u2¾-123u2¾-119u2¾-112
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-130o2½-130o2½-120-o2½-135o2½-130o2½-120o2¾+112
Underu2½+110u2½+110u2½+100-u2½+105u2½+110u2½+110u2¾-112

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o2½-122 to o2¾-110
The Under moved from u2¾-110 to u2½+102

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes46.4%
 
No53.6%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 06.95%
Exactly 224.71%
Exactly 414.64%
Exactly 63.47%
Exactly 80.44%
 
Exactly 118.54%
Exactly 321.96%
Exactly 57.80%
Exactly 71.32%
Exactly 90.13%
Exact Goals Scored - Atletico Madrid
Exactly 015.39%
Exactly 128.81%
Exactly 226.95%
Exactly 316.81%
Exactly 47.86%
Exactly 52.94%
Exactly 60.92%
Exactly 70.25%
Exact Goals Scored - Almeria
Exactly 045.16%
Exactly 135.90%
Exactly 214.27%
Exactly 33.78%
Exactly 40.75%
Exactly 50.12%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 029.10%
Exactly 222.17%
Exactly 42.82%
Exactly 60.14%
 
Exactly 135.92%
Exactly 39.12%
Exactly 50.70%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Atletico Madrid
Exactly 042.05%
Exactly 136.43%
Exactly 215.78%
Exactly 34.56%
Exactly 40.99%
Exactly 50.17%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Almeria
Exactly 069.21%
Exactly 125.47%
Exactly 24.69%
Exactly 30.58%

Alternate Props

Spread

Atletico Madrid
Wins by 2+ goals37.37%
Wins by 3+ goals17.92%
Wins by 4+ goals7.05%
Wins by 5+ goals2.31%
Almeria
Wins by 2+ goals4.51%
Wins by 3+ goals1.00%
Wins by 4+ goals0.17%

Exact Winning Margin

Atletico Madrid
Almeria
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
Atletico Madrid
Wins by 1 goal25.40%
Wins by 2 goals19.45%
Wins by 3 goals10.87%
Wins by 4 goals4.75%
Wins by 5 goals1.69%
Almeria
Wins by 1 goal10.79%
Wins by 2 goals3.51%
Wins by 3 goals0.83%
Wins by 4 goals0.15%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.593.05%6.95%
1.574.51%25.49%
2.549.80%50.20%
3.527.84%72.16%
4.513.21%86.79%
5.55.40%94.60%
6.51.94%98.06%

Total Goals Atletico Madrid Over/Under

OverUnder
0.584.61%15.39%
1.555.80%44.20%
2.528.85%71.15%
3.512.04%87.96%
4.54.18%95.82%
5.51.23%98.77%

Total Goals Almeria Over/Under

OverUnder
0.554.84%45.16%
1.518.94%81.06%
2.54.67%95.33%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.570.90%29.10%
1.534.98%65.02%
2.512.81%87.19%
3.53.68%96.32%

Score Props

Correct Score

Atletico Madrid
Almeria
Score01234
0
6.95%
5.53%
2.20%
0.58%
0.12%
1
13.01%
10.34%
4.11%
1.09%
0.22%
2
12.17%
9.68%
3.85%
1.02%
0.20%
3
7.59%
6.03%
2.40%
0.64%
0.13%
4
3.55%
2.82%
1.12%
0.30%
0.06%
5
1.33%
1.06%
0.42%
0.11%
0.02%
Atletico Madrid
1-013.01%
2-012.17%
2-19.68%
3-07.59%
3-16.03%
3-22.40%
4-03.55%
4-12.82%
4-21.12%
4-30.30%
5-01.33%
5-11.06%
5-20.42%
5-30.11%
Draw
0-06.95%
1-110.34%
2-23.85%
3-30.64%
Almeria
0-15.53%
0-22.20%
1-24.11%
0-30.58%
1-31.09%
2-31.02%
0-40.12%
1-40.22%
2-40.20%
3-40.13%

Correct Score - First Half

Atletico Madrid
Almeria
Score0123
0
29.10%
10.71%
1.97%
0.24%
1
25.21%
9.28%
1.71%
0.21%
2
10.92%
4.02%
0.74%
0.09%
3
3.15%
1.16%
0.21%
0.03%
4
0.68%
0.25%
0.05%
0.01%
5
0.12%
0.04%
0.01%
0.00%
Atletico Madrid
1-025.21%
2-010.92%
2-14.02%
3-03.15%
3-11.16%
3-20.21%
4-00.68%
4-10.25%
5-00.12%
Draw
0-029.10%
1-19.28%
2-20.74%
Almeria
0-110.71%
0-21.97%
1-21.71%
0-30.24%
1-30.21%