Atletico Madrid at Real Madrid

Updated

Atletico Madrid

15.3%21.9%62.8%
WinDrawReal Madrid Win
0.79Projected Goals 1.87
1Final Score 1

Real Madrid

Last 5 Games

Atletico Madrid
Money Line
W 1-2 vs Rayo Vallecano-160
W 0-2 vs Valencia-183
W 1-0 at Granada-164
L 3-4 at Girona+160
W 0-1 vs Sevilla-170
Real Madrid
Money Line
W 2-0 at Getafe-177
W 2-1 at Las Palmas-225
W 2-3 vs Almeria-800
W 0-1 vs Mallorca-475
W 1-0 at Alaves-175

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.3%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Atletico Madrid+356+374+360+409+401+409+409+427.1
Real Madrid-134-145-150-147-149-147-145-135.1
Draw+303+321+330+310+322+310+330+324.6
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Atletico Madrid+318-+358-+305+400+400+427.1
Real Madrid-132--145--160-155-145-135.1
Draw+300-+313-+275+310+313+324.6

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Atletico Madrid: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Real Madrid: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Atletico Madrid: 0.0%
Real Madrid: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Atletico Madrid: 30.0%
Real Madrid: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Atletico Madrid ML moved from +406 to +395
Real Madrid ML moved from -138 to -145

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Atletico Madrid: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Real Madrid: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Atletico Madrid: 0.0%
Real Madrid: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Atletico Madrid: 20.0%
Real Madrid: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Atletico Madrid ML moved from +385 to +330
Real Madrid ML moved from -131 to -145

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.4%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3+112o3-106o3-102o3-103o3-105o3-103o3-102o3+106
Underu3-132u3-110u3-118u3-117u3-109u3-117u3-109u3-106
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3+110o3-105o3-105-o3+100o3-105o3+100o3+106
Underu3-130u3-115u3-115-u3-130u3-115u3-115u3-106

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o2½-135 to o3+110
The Under moved from u3-125 to u2½+115

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes46.4%
 
No53.6%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 06.97%
Exactly 224.73%
Exactly 414.61%
Exactly 63.45%
Exactly 80.44%
 
Exactly 118.57%
Exactly 321.95%
Exactly 57.78%
Exactly 71.31%
Exactly 90.13%
Exact Goals Scored - Atletico Madrid
Exactly 045.16%
Exactly 135.90%
Exactly 214.27%
Exactly 33.78%
Exactly 40.75%
Exactly 50.12%
Exact Goals Scored - Real Madrid
Exactly 015.44%
Exactly 128.85%
Exactly 226.94%
Exactly 316.78%
Exactly 47.84%
Exactly 52.93%
Exactly 60.91%
Exactly 70.24%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 029.14%
Exactly 222.15%
Exactly 42.81%
Exactly 60.14%
 
Exactly 135.93%
Exactly 39.10%
Exactly 50.69%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Atletico Madrid
Exactly 069.21%
Exactly 125.47%
Exactly 24.69%
Exactly 30.58%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Real Madrid
Exactly 042.11%
Exactly 136.42%
Exactly 215.75%
Exactly 34.54%
Exactly 40.98%
Exactly 50.17%

Alternate Props

Spread

Atletico Madrid
Wins by 2+ goals4.52%
Wins by 3+ goals1.00%
Wins by 4+ goals0.17%
Real Madrid
Wins by 2+ goals37.29%
Wins by 3+ goals17.87%
Wins by 4+ goals7.02%
Wins by 5+ goals2.29%
Wins by 6+ goals0.61%
Wins by 7+ goals0.11%

Exact Winning Margin

Atletico Madrid
Real Madrid
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
Atletico Madrid
Wins by 1 goal10.81%
Wins by 2 goals3.52%
Wins by 3 goals0.83%
Wins by 4 goals0.15%
Real Madrid
Wins by 1 goal25.41%
Wins by 2 goals19.43%
Wins by 3 goals10.84%
Wins by 4 goals4.73%
Wins by 5 goals1.68%
Wins by 6 goals0.50%
Wins by 7 goals0.11%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.593.03%6.97%
1.574.45%25.55%
2.549.73%50.27%
3.527.78%72.22%
4.513.16%86.84%
5.55.38%94.62%
6.51.93%98.07%

Total Goals Atletico Madrid Over/Under

OverUnder
0.554.84%45.16%
1.518.94%81.06%
2.54.67%95.33%

Total Goals Real Madrid Over/Under

OverUnder
0.584.56%15.44%
1.555.71%44.29%
2.528.77%71.23%
3.511.99%88.01%
4.54.15%95.85%
5.51.23%98.77%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.570.86%29.14%
1.534.92%65.08%
2.512.77%87.23%
3.53.67%96.33%

Score Props

Correct Score

Atletico Madrid
Real Madrid
Score012345
0
6.97%
13.03%
12.17%
7.58%
3.54%
1.32%
1
5.54%
10.36%
9.67%
6.02%
2.81%
1.05%
2
2.20%
4.12%
3.84%
2.39%
1.12%
0.42%
3
0.58%
1.09%
1.02%
0.63%
0.30%
0.11%
4
0.12%
0.22%
0.20%
0.13%
0.06%
0.02%
Atletico Madrid
1-05.54%
2-02.20%
2-14.12%
3-00.58%
3-11.09%
3-21.02%
4-00.12%
4-10.22%
4-20.20%
4-30.13%
Draw
0-06.97%
1-110.36%
2-23.84%
3-30.63%
Real Madrid
0-113.03%
0-212.17%
1-29.67%
0-37.58%
1-36.02%
2-32.39%
0-43.54%
1-42.81%
2-41.12%
3-40.30%
0-51.32%
1-51.05%
2-50.42%
3-50.11%

Correct Score - First Half

Atletico Madrid
Real Madrid
Score012345
0
29.14%
25.21%
10.90%
3.14%
0.68%
0.12%
1
10.73%
9.28%
4.01%
1.16%
0.25%
0.04%
2
1.97%
1.71%
0.74%
0.21%
0.05%
0.01%
3
0.24%
0.21%
0.09%
0.03%
0.01%
0.00%
Atletico Madrid
1-010.73%
2-01.97%
2-11.71%
3-00.24%
3-10.21%
Draw
0-029.14%
1-19.28%
2-20.74%
Real Madrid
0-125.21%
0-210.90%
1-24.01%
0-33.14%
1-31.16%
2-30.21%
0-40.68%
1-40.25%
0-50.12%