Almeria at Real Madrid

Updated

Almeria

4.1%9.8%86.0%
WinDrawReal Madrid Win
0.56Projected Goals 3.03
2Final Score 3

Real Madrid

Last 5 Games

Almeria
Money Line
T 0-0 vs Girona+315
L 0-1 at Osasuna+400
L 2-3 at Barcelona+1450
T 0-0 vs Mallorca+140
L 1-2 at Atletico Madrid+1450
Real Madrid
Money Line
W 0-1 vs Mallorca-475
W 1-0 at Alaves-175
W 1-4 vs Villarreal-460
T 1-1 at Betis-140
W 0-2 vs Granada-560

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.0%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Almeria+1296+1936+1800+2250+1823+2250+2250+2331.6
Real Madrid-556-794-850-810-859-810-794-615.6
Draw+728+873+825+880+878+880+880+914.0
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Almeria+1500-+1800--+2000+2000+2331.6
Real Madrid-750--800---875-800-615.6
Draw+850-+800--+850+850+914.0

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Almeria: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Real Madrid: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Almeria: 0.0%
Real Madrid: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Almeria: 20.0%
Real Madrid: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Almeria ML moved from +1869 to +1823
Real Madrid ML moved from -780 to -813

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Almeria: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Real Madrid: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Almeria: 0.0%
Real Madrid: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Almeria: 10.0%
Real Madrid: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Almeria ML moved from +1500 to +1400
Real Madrid ML moved from -850 to -875

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.1%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3½-134o3½-134o3¾-108o3¾-106o3¾-102o3¾-106o3¾-102o3¾+104
Underu3½+114u3½+114u3¾-112u3¾-114u3¾-112u3¾-114u3¾-112u3¾-104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3½-130o3½-130o3½-125-o3½-140o3½-130o3½-125o3¾+104
Underu3½+110u3½+110u3½+105-u3½+110u3½+110u3½+110u3¾-104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes40.6%
 
No59.4%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 02.77%
Exactly 217.82%
Exactly 419.09%
Exactly 68.18%
Exactly 81.88%
Exactly 100.27%
 
Exactly 19.94%
Exactly 321.30%
Exactly 513.69%
Exactly 74.19%
Exactly 90.75%
Exact Goals Scored - Almeria
Exactly 057.32%
Exactly 131.90%
Exactly 28.87%
Exactly 31.65%
Exactly 40.23%
Exact Goals Scored - Real Madrid
Exactly 04.83%
Exactly 114.65%
Exactly 222.18%
Exactly 322.40%
Exactly 416.97%
Exactly 510.28%
Exactly 65.19%
Exactly 72.25%
Exactly 80.85%
Exactly 90.29%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 019.01%
Exactly 226.20%
Exactly 46.02%
Exactly 60.55%
 
Exactly 131.56%
Exactly 314.50%
Exactly 52.00%
Exactly 70.13%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Almeria
Exactly 077.29%
Exactly 119.91%
Exactly 22.57%
Exactly 30.22%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Real Madrid
Exactly 024.60%
Exactly 134.50%
Exactly 224.19%
Exactly 311.31%
Exactly 43.97%
Exactly 51.11%
Exactly 60.26%

Alternate Props

Spread

Almeria
Wins by 2+ goals0.85%
Real Madrid
Wins by 2+ goals68.17%
Wins by 3+ goals46.62%
Wins by 4+ goals27.36%
Wins by 5+ goals13.86%
Wins by 6+ goals6.10%
Wins by 7+ goals2.33%
Wins by 8+ goals0.74%
Wins by 9+ goals0.16%

Exact Winning Margin

Almeria
Real Madrid
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Almeria
Wins by 1 goal3.26%
Wins by 2 goals0.72%
Real Madrid
Wins by 1 goal17.76%
Wins by 2 goals21.55%
Wins by 3 goals19.26%
Wins by 4 goals13.50%
Wins by 5 goals7.76%
Wins by 6 goals3.77%
Wins by 7 goals1.58%
Wins by 8 goals0.58%
Wins by 9 goals0.16%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.597.23%2.77%
1.587.29%12.71%
2.569.47%30.53%
3.548.18%51.82%
4.529.09%70.91%
5.515.39%84.61%
6.57.21%92.79%
7.53.02%96.98%
8.51.14%98.86%

Total Goals Almeria Over/Under

OverUnder
0.542.68%57.32%
1.510.78%89.22%
2.51.90%98.10%

Total Goals Real Madrid Over/Under

OverUnder
0.595.17%4.83%
1.580.52%19.48%
2.558.34%41.66%
3.535.94%64.06%
4.518.97%81.03%
5.58.69%91.31%
6.53.50%96.50%
7.51.26%98.74%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.580.99%19.01%
1.549.43%50.57%
2.523.23%76.77%
3.58.73%91.27%
4.52.72%97.28%

Score Props

Correct Score

Almeria
Real Madrid
Score012345
0
2.77%
8.40%
12.72%
12.84%
9.73%
5.89%
1
1.54%
4.67%
7.08%
7.15%
5.41%
3.28%
2
0.43%
1.30%
1.97%
1.99%
1.51%
0.91%
Almeria
1-01.54%
2-00.43%
2-11.30%
Draw
0-02.77%
1-14.67%
2-21.97%
3-30.37%
Real Madrid
0-18.40%
0-212.72%
1-27.08%
0-312.84%
1-37.15%
2-31.99%
0-49.73%
1-45.41%
2-41.51%
3-40.28%
0-55.89%
1-53.28%
2-50.91%
3-50.17%

Correct Score - First Half

Almeria
Real Madrid
Score0123456
0
19.01%
26.66%
18.70%
8.74%
3.07%
0.86%
0.20%
1
4.90%
6.87%
4.82%
2.25%
0.79%
0.22%
0.05%
2
0.63%
0.88%
0.62%
0.29%
0.10%
0.03%
0.01%
Almeria
1-04.90%
2-00.63%
2-10.88%
Draw
0-019.01%
1-16.87%
2-20.62%
Real Madrid
0-126.66%
0-218.70%
1-24.82%
0-38.74%
1-32.25%
2-30.29%
0-43.07%
1-40.79%
2-40.10%
0-50.86%
1-50.22%
0-60.20%