Almeria at Atletico Madrid

Updated

Almeria

7.2%14.6%78.2%
WinDrawAtletico Madrid Win
0.61Projected Goals 2.47
1Final Score 2

Atletico Madrid

Last 5 Games

Almeria
Money Line
T 0-0 vs Betis+250
L 1-2 at Getafe+390
L 3-1 vs Real Sociedad+350
L 0-1 at Alaves+425
L 2-1 vs Las Palmas+135
Atletico Madrid
Money Line
L 0-1 at Barcelona+275
W 0-1 vs Mallorca-288
W 1-3 vs Villarreal-310
L 1-2 at Las Palmas-140
W 1-2 vs Alaves-240

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.6%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Almeria+1016+1208+1100+1400+1258+1400+1400+1451.3
Atletico Madrid-397-471-500-535-561-535-471-439.6
Draw+560+622+650+700+654+700+700+727.3
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Almeria+975-+1250--+1450+1450+1451.3
Atletico Madrid-410--600---600-600-439.6
Draw+550-+690--+675+690+727.3

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Almeria: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Atletico Madrid: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Almeria: 20.0%
Atletico Madrid: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Almeria: 10.0%
Atletico Madrid: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Almeria ML moved from +1332 to +1146
Atletico Madrid ML moved from -551 to -561

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Almeria: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Atletico Madrid: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Almeria: 20.0%
Atletico Madrid: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Almeria: 20.0%
Atletico Madrid: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Almeria ML moved from +1425 to +1300
Atletico Madrid ML moved from -550 to -600

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.4%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3½-105o3½-112o3½-112o3½-112o3½-107o3½-112o3½-107o3½-102
Underu3½-111u3½-104u3½-108u3½-108u3½-107u3½-108u3½-104u3½+102
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3½-105o3½+100o3½-105-o3½-110o3½-105o3½+100o3½-102
Underu3½-115u3½-120u3½-115-u3½-120u3½-115u3½-115u3½+102

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes41.7%
 
No58.3%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 04.60%
Exactly 221.81%
Exactly 417.22%
Exactly 65.44%
Exactly 80.92%
 
Exactly 114.17%
Exactly 322.38%
Exactly 510.61%
Exactly 72.39%
Exactly 90.31%
Exact Goals Scored - Almeria
Exactly 054.41%
Exactly 133.11%
Exactly 210.08%
Exactly 32.04%
Exactly 40.31%
Exact Goals Scored - Atletico Madrid
Exactly 08.46%
Exactly 120.89%
Exactly 225.80%
Exactly 321.24%
Exactly 413.12%
Exactly 56.48%
Exactly 62.67%
Exactly 70.94%
Exactly 80.29%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 024.04%
Exactly 224.42%
Exactly 44.13%
Exactly 60.28%
 
Exactly 134.27%
Exactly 311.60%
Exactly 51.18%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Almeria
Exactly 075.44%
Exactly 121.26%
Exactly 23.00%
Exactly 30.28%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Atletico Madrid
Exactly 031.87%
Exactly 136.44%
Exactly 220.84%
Exactly 37.94%
Exactly 42.27%
Exactly 50.52%

Alternate Props

Spread

Almeria
Wins by 2+ goals1.62%
Wins by 3+ goals0.26%
Atletico Madrid
Wins by 2+ goals55.79%
Wins by 3+ goals33.25%
Wins by 4+ goals16.64%
Wins by 5+ goals7.07%
Wins by 6+ goals2.56%
Wins by 7+ goals0.77%
Wins by 8+ goals0.16%

Exact Winning Margin

Almeria
Atletico Madrid
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Almeria
Wins by 1 goal5.50%
Wins by 2 goals1.36%
Wins by 3 goals0.24%
Atletico Madrid
Wins by 1 goal22.34%
Wins by 2 goals22.54%
Wins by 3 goals16.61%
Wins by 4 goals9.57%
Wins by 5 goals4.51%
Wins by 6 goals1.79%
Wins by 7 goals0.61%
Wins by 8 goals0.16%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.595.40%4.60%
1.581.23%18.77%
2.559.41%40.59%
3.537.03%62.97%
4.519.81%80.19%
5.59.20%90.80%
6.53.76%96.24%
7.51.37%98.63%

Total Goals Almeria Over/Under

OverUnder
0.545.59%54.41%
1.512.47%87.53%
2.52.40%97.60%

Total Goals Atletico Madrid Over/Under

OverUnder
0.591.54%8.46%
1.570.64%29.36%
2.544.84%55.16%
3.523.60%76.40%
4.510.48%89.52%
5.54.00%96.00%
6.51.34%98.66%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.575.96%24.04%
1.541.69%58.31%
2.517.26%82.74%
3.55.66%94.34%
4.51.53%98.47%

Score Props

Correct Score

Almeria
Atletico Madrid
Score012345
0
4.60%
11.37%
14.04%
11.56%
7.14%
3.53%
1
2.80%
6.92%
8.54%
7.03%
4.34%
2.15%
2
0.85%
2.11%
2.60%
2.14%
1.32%
0.65%
3
0.17%
0.43%
0.53%
0.43%
0.27%
0.13%
Almeria
1-02.80%
2-00.85%
2-12.11%
3-00.17%
3-10.43%
3-20.53%
Draw
0-04.60%
1-16.92%
2-22.60%
3-30.43%
Atletico Madrid
0-111.37%
0-214.04%
1-28.54%
0-311.56%
1-37.03%
2-32.14%
0-47.14%
1-44.34%
2-41.32%
3-40.27%
0-53.53%
1-52.15%
2-50.65%
3-50.13%

Correct Score - First Half

Almeria
Atletico Madrid
Score012345
0
24.04%
27.49%
15.72%
5.99%
1.71%
0.39%
1
6.78%
7.75%
4.43%
1.69%
0.48%
0.11%
2
0.95%
1.09%
0.62%
0.24%
0.07%
0.02%
Almeria
1-06.78%
2-00.95%
2-11.09%
Draw
0-024.04%
1-17.75%
2-20.62%
Atletico Madrid
0-127.49%
0-215.72%
1-24.43%
0-35.99%
1-31.69%
2-30.24%
0-41.71%
1-40.48%
0-50.39%
1-50.11%