Villarreal at Atletico Madrid

Updated

Villarreal

21.0%24.2%54.9%
Villarreal WinDrawAtletico Madrid Win
0.94Projected Goals 1.68
1Final Score 3

Atletico Madrid

Last 5 Games

Villarreal
Money Line
L 3-2 vs Athletic Club+270
W 3-2 at Granada+130
T 1-1 vs Alaves+105
L 2-1 vs Las Palmas-155
T 0-0 at Getafe+175
Atletico Madrid
Money Line
L 1-2 at Las Palmas-140
W 1-2 vs Alaves-240
W 3-0 at Celta Vigo+118
W 1-2 vs Real Sociedad+103
W 2-3 vs Cadiz-315

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.4%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Villarreal+442+731+700+775+775+775+775+805.8
Atletico Madrid-169-287-315-290-300-300-287-262.9
Draw+340+462+500+465+485+485+500+505.6
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Villarreal+650-+750--+760+760+805.8
Atletico Madrid-260--310---320-310-262.9
Draw+415-+459--+475+475+505.6

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Villarreal: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Atletico Madrid: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Villarreal: 50.0%
Atletico Madrid: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Villarreal: 10.0%
Atletico Madrid: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Villarreal ML moved from +800 to +750
Atletico Madrid ML moved from -278 to -287

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Villarreal: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Atletico Madrid: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Villarreal: 50.0%
Atletico Madrid: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Villarreal: 0.0%
Atletico Madrid: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Villarreal ML
Atletico Madrid ML moved from -300 to -320

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.1%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3+100o3½+111o3¼-110o3¼-108o3¼-108o3¼-108o3¼-108o3¼+102
Underu3-118u3½-131u3¼-110u3¼-112u3¼-112u3¼-112u3½-131u3¼-102
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3-130o3-130o3-130-o3-135o3½+120o3-130o3¼+102
Underu3+110u3+110u3+110-u3+105u3½-140u3½-140u3¼-102

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o3-130 to o3½+115
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes49.6%
 
No50.4%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 07.27%
Exactly 224.98%
Exactly 414.31%
Exactly 63.28%
Exactly 80.40%
 
Exactly 119.05%
Exactly 321.83%
Exactly 57.50%
Exactly 71.23%
Exactly 90.12%
Exact Goals Scored - Villarreal
Exactly 039.09%
Exactly 136.72%
Exactly 217.24%
Exactly 35.40%
Exactly 41.27%
Exactly 50.24%
Exact Goals Scored - Atletico Madrid
Exactly 018.59%
Exactly 131.28%
Exactly 226.31%
Exactly 314.76%
Exactly 46.21%
Exactly 52.09%
Exactly 60.59%
Exactly 70.14%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 029.70%
Exactly 221.89%
Exactly 42.69%
Exactly 60.13%
 
Exactly 136.06%
Exactly 38.86%
Exactly 50.65%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Villarreal
Exactly 064.73%
Exactly 128.15%
Exactly 26.12%
Exactly 30.89%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Atletico Madrid
Exactly 045.89%
Exactly 135.75%
Exactly 213.92%
Exactly 33.62%
Exactly 40.70%
Exactly 50.11%

Alternate Props

Spread

Villarreal
Wins by 2+ goals7.08%
Wins by 3+ goals1.82%
Wins by 4+ goals0.35%
Atletico Madrid
Wins by 2+ goals30.03%
Wins by 3+ goals13.14%
Wins by 4+ goals4.69%
Wins by 5+ goals1.39%
Wins by 6+ goals0.34%

Exact Winning Margin

Villarreal
Atletico Madrid
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
Villarreal
Wins by 1 goal13.84%
Wins by 2 goals5.26%
Wins by 3 goals1.46%
Wins by 4 goals0.31%
Atletico Madrid
Wins by 1 goal24.80%
Wins by 2 goals16.90%
Wins by 3 goals8.44%
Wins by 4 goals3.30%
Wins by 5 goals1.06%
Wins by 6 goals0.28%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.592.73%7.27%
1.573.68%26.32%
2.548.70%51.30%
3.526.88%73.12%
4.512.57%87.43%
5.55.07%94.93%
6.51.79%98.21%

Total Goals Villarreal Over/Under

OverUnder
0.560.91%39.09%
1.524.19%75.81%
2.56.95%93.05%
3.51.55%98.45%

Total Goals Atletico Madrid Over/Under

OverUnder
0.581.41%18.59%
1.550.13%49.87%
2.523.82%76.18%
3.59.06%90.94%
4.52.85%97.15%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.570.30%29.70%
1.534.24%65.76%
2.512.35%87.65%
3.53.50%96.50%

Score Props

Correct Score

Villarreal
Atletico Madrid
Score012345
0
7.27%
12.23%
10.29%
5.77%
2.43%
0.82%
1
6.83%
11.48%
9.66%
5.42%
2.28%
0.77%
2
3.21%
5.39%
4.54%
2.54%
1.07%
0.36%
3
1.00%
1.69%
1.42%
0.80%
0.34%
0.11%
4
0.24%
0.40%
0.33%
0.19%
0.08%
0.03%
Villarreal
1-06.83%
2-03.21%
2-15.39%
3-01.00%
3-11.69%
3-21.42%
4-00.24%
4-10.40%
4-20.33%
4-30.19%
Draw
0-07.27%
1-111.48%
2-24.54%
3-30.80%
Atletico Madrid
0-112.23%
0-210.29%
1-29.66%
0-35.77%
1-35.42%
2-32.54%
0-42.43%
1-42.28%
2-41.07%
3-40.34%
0-50.82%
1-50.77%
2-50.36%
3-50.11%

Correct Score - First Half

Villarreal
Atletico Madrid
Score01234
0
29.70%
23.14%
9.01%
2.34%
0.46%
1
12.92%
10.06%
3.92%
1.02%
0.20%
2
2.81%
2.19%
0.85%
0.22%
0.04%
3
0.41%
0.32%
0.12%
0.03%
0.01%
Villarreal
1-012.92%
2-02.81%
2-12.19%
3-00.41%
3-10.32%
3-20.12%
Draw
0-029.70%
1-110.06%
2-20.85%
Atletico Madrid
0-123.14%
0-29.01%
1-23.92%
0-32.34%
1-31.02%
2-30.22%
0-40.46%
1-40.20%