Alaves at Villarreal

Updated

Alaves

9.3%16.3%74.4%
WinDrawVillarreal Win
0.71Projected Goals 2.36
1Final Score 1

Villarreal

Last 5 Games

Alaves
Money Line
T 1-1 vs Betis+165
L 2-0 vs Osasuna+160
T 1-1 at Celta Vigo+505
L 2-0 vs Athletic Club+330
L 0-2 at Rayo Vallecano+325
Villarreal
Money Line
L 2-1 vs Las Palmas-155
T 0-0 at Getafe+175
L 2-1 vs Girona+114
T 1-1 at Rayo Vallecano+175
W 1-2 vs Almeria-200

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.5%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Alaves+431+299+275+308+308+308+308+322.3
Villarreal-149+101+105+100+100+100+105+107.0
Draw+296+241+245+245+245+245+245+257.1
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Alaves+405-+280-+290+300+300+322.3
Villarreal-145-+105--130-110+105+107.0
Draw+285-+232-+225+260+260+257.1

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Alaves: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Villarreal: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Alaves: 0.0%
Villarreal: 60.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Alaves: 10.0%
Villarreal: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Alaves ML moved from +300 to +285
Villarreal ML moved from -105 to -113

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Alaves: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Villarreal: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Alaves: 0.0%
Villarreal: 60.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Alaves: 10.0%
Villarreal: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Alaves ML moved from +300 to +290
Villarreal ML moved from -105 to -115

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
-0.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.1%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-107o2½+104o2¼-122o2¼-125o2¼-125o2¼-125o2¼-122o2¼-114
Underu2½-109u2½-122u2¼+102u2¼+105u2¼+105u2¼+105u2½-122u2¼+114
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-105o2½+105o2½+110-o2½+105o2½+100o2½+110o2¼-114
Underu2½-115u2½-125u2½-130-u2½-135u2½-120u2½-120u2¼+114

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes45.8%
 
No54.2%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 04.66%
Exactly 221.91%
Exactly 417.16%
Exactly 65.37%
Exactly 80.90%
 
Exactly 114.30%
Exactly 322.39%
Exactly 510.52%
Exactly 72.35%
Exactly 90.31%
Exact Goals Scored - Alaves
Exactly 049.47%
Exactly 134.82%
Exactly 212.25%
Exactly 32.87%
Exactly 40.51%
Exact Goals Scored - Villarreal
Exactly 09.43%
Exactly 122.27%
Exactly 226.29%
Exactly 320.69%
Exactly 412.21%
Exactly 55.77%
Exactly 62.27%
Exactly 70.77%
Exactly 80.23%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 024.19%
Exactly 224.36%
Exactly 44.09%
Exactly 60.27%
 
Exactly 134.33%
Exactly 311.52%
Exactly 51.16%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Alaves
Exactly 072.19%
Exactly 123.53%
Exactly 23.83%
Exactly 30.42%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Villarreal
Exactly 033.51%
Exactly 136.64%
Exactly 220.03%
Exactly 37.30%
Exactly 41.99%
Exactly 50.44%

Alternate Props

Spread

Alaves
Wins by 2+ goals2.36%
Wins by 3+ goals0.43%
Villarreal
Wins by 2+ goals51.23%
Wins by 3+ goals29.35%
Wins by 4+ goals14.08%
Wins by 5+ goals5.73%
Wins by 6+ goals1.99%
Wins by 7+ goals0.57%
Wins by 8+ goals0.11%

Exact Winning Margin

Alaves
Villarreal
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Alaves
Wins by 1 goal6.87%
Wins by 2 goals1.93%
Wins by 3 goals0.38%
Villarreal
Wins by 1 goal23.08%
Wins by 2 goals21.88%
Wins by 3 goals15.26%
Wins by 4 goals8.35%
Wins by 5 goals3.74%
Wins by 6 goals1.42%
Wins by 7 goals0.46%
Wins by 8 goals0.11%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.595.34%4.66%
1.581.04%18.96%
2.559.12%40.88%
3.536.73%63.27%
4.519.58%80.42%
5.59.06%90.94%
6.53.69%96.31%
7.51.34%98.66%

Total Goals Alaves Over/Under

OverUnder
0.550.53%49.47%
1.515.71%84.29%
2.53.46%96.54%

Total Goals Villarreal Over/Under

OverUnder
0.590.57%9.43%
1.568.30%31.70%
2.542.01%57.99%
3.521.32%78.68%
4.59.11%90.89%
5.53.34%96.66%
6.51.07%98.93%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.575.81%24.19%
1.541.48%58.52%
2.517.11%82.89%
3.55.59%94.41%
4.51.50%98.50%

Score Props

Correct Score

Alaves
Villarreal
Score012345
0
4.66%
11.02%
13.00%
10.24%
6.04%
2.85%
1
3.28%
7.75%
9.15%
7.20%
4.25%
2.01%
2
1.16%
2.73%
3.22%
2.54%
1.50%
0.71%
3
0.27%
0.64%
0.76%
0.59%
0.35%
0.17%
Alaves
1-03.28%
2-01.16%
2-12.73%
3-00.27%
3-10.64%
3-20.76%
Draw
0-04.66%
1-17.75%
2-23.22%
3-30.59%
Villarreal
0-111.02%
0-213.00%
1-29.15%
0-310.24%
1-37.20%
2-32.54%
0-46.04%
1-44.25%
2-41.50%
3-40.35%
0-52.85%
1-52.01%
2-50.71%
3-50.17%

Correct Score - First Half

Alaves
Villarreal
Score012345
0
24.19%
26.45%
14.46%
5.27%
1.44%
0.31%
1
7.88%
8.62%
4.71%
1.72%
0.47%
0.10%
2
1.28%
1.40%
0.77%
0.28%
0.08%
0.02%
3
0.14%
0.15%
0.08%
0.03%
0.01%
0.00%
Alaves
1-07.88%
2-01.28%
2-11.40%
3-00.14%
3-10.15%
Draw
0-024.19%
1-18.62%
2-20.77%
Villarreal
0-126.45%
0-214.46%
1-24.71%
0-35.27%
1-31.72%
2-30.28%
0-41.44%
1-40.47%
0-50.31%
1-50.10%