Villarreal at Rayo Vallecano

Updated

Villarreal

41.1%27.2%31.7%
Villarreal WinDrawRayo Vallecano Win
1.32Projected Goals 1.13
1Final Score 1

Rayo Vallecano

Last 5 Games

Villarreal
Money Line
W 1-2 vs Almeria-200
L 1-3 at Cadiz+118
L 4-3 vs Barcelona+241
W 1-0 at Mallorca+174
L 2-1 vs Betis-135
Rayo Vallecano
Money Line
W 0-2 vs Alaves+108
L 0-1 at Betis+290
L 7-0 vs Atletico Madrid+310
W 2-0 at Granada+165
W 2-0 at Almeria+181

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.7%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Villarreal+161+173+180+175+180+175+180+184.5
Rayo Vallecano+170+160+150+157+155+157+160+165.8
Draw+250+247+250+255+250+255+255+267.2
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Villarreal+170-+175-+150+175+175+184.5
Rayo Vallecano+155-+150-+135+150+150+165.8
Draw+250-+246-+235+250+250+267.2

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Villarreal: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Rayo Vallecano: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Villarreal: 30.0%
Rayo Vallecano: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Villarreal: 0.0%
Rayo Vallecano: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Villarreal ML moved from +190 to +183
Rayo Vallecano ML moved from +158 to +152

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Villarreal: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Rayo Vallecano: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Villarreal: 30.0%
Rayo Vallecano: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Villarreal: 0.0%
Rayo Vallecano: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Villarreal ML
Rayo Vallecano ML moved from +146 to +140

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.2%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-135o2½-127o2¾+100o2¾+103o2¾+103o2¾+103o2½-127o2¾+112
Underu2½+115u2½+107u2¾-120u2¾-123u2¾-123u2¾-123u2¾-120u2¾-112
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-140o2½-120o2½-125-o2½-125o2½-120o2½-120o2¾+112
Underu2½+120u2½+100u2½+105-u2½-105u2½+100u2½+105u2¾-112

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u2¾-116 to u2½-105

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u2½+115 to u2½-110

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes49.5%
 
No50.5%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 08.66%
Exactly 225.91%
Exactly 412.93%
Exactly 62.58%
Exactly 80.28%
 
Exactly 121.18%
Exactly 321.14%
Exactly 56.33%
Exactly 70.90%
Exact Goals Scored - Villarreal
Exactly 026.69%
Exactly 135.25%
Exactly 223.28%
Exactly 310.25%
Exactly 43.38%
Exactly 50.89%
Exactly 60.20%
Exact Goals Scored - Rayo Vallecano
Exactly 032.43%
Exactly 136.52%
Exactly 220.56%
Exactly 37.72%
Exactly 42.17%
Exactly 50.49%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 032.21%
Exactly 220.67%
Exactly 42.21%
 
Exactly 136.49%
Exactly 37.81%
Exactly 50.50%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Villarreal
Exactly 054.25%
Exactly 133.18%
Exactly 210.14%
Exactly 32.07%
Exactly 40.32%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Rayo Vallecano
Exactly 059.37%
Exactly 130.95%
Exactly 28.07%
Exactly 31.40%
Exactly 40.18%

Alternate Props

Spread

Villarreal
Wins by 2+ goals18.71%
Wins by 3+ goals6.65%
Wins by 4+ goals1.89%
Wins by 5+ goals0.43%
Rayo Vallecano
Wins by 2+ goals12.59%
Wins by 3+ goals3.82%
Wins by 4+ goals0.88%
Wins by 5+ goals0.13%

Exact Winning Margin

Villarreal
Rayo Vallecano
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Villarreal
Wins by 1 goal22.33%
Wins by 2 goals12.06%
Wins by 3 goals4.76%
Wins by 4 goals1.46%
Wins by 5 goals0.36%
Rayo Vallecano
Wins by 1 goal19.03%
Wins by 2 goals8.76%
Wins by 3 goals2.94%
Wins by 4 goals0.75%
Wins by 5 goals0.13%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.591.34%8.66%
1.570.16%29.84%
2.544.25%55.75%
3.523.11%76.89%
4.510.18%89.82%
5.53.86%96.14%
6.51.28%98.72%

Total Goals Villarreal Over/Under

OverUnder
0.573.31%26.69%
1.538.05%61.95%
2.514.77%85.23%
3.54.52%95.48%
4.51.14%98.86%

Total Goals Rayo Vallecano Over/Under

OverUnder
0.567.57%32.43%
1.531.05%68.95%
2.510.49%89.51%
3.52.77%97.23%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.567.79%32.21%
1.531.30%68.70%
2.510.63%89.37%
3.52.82%97.18%

Score Props

Correct Score

Villarreal
Rayo Vallecano
Score012345
0
8.66%
9.75%
5.49%
2.06%
0.58%
0.13%
1
11.43%
12.87%
7.25%
2.72%
0.77%
0.17%
2
7.55%
8.50%
4.79%
1.80%
0.51%
0.11%
3
3.32%
3.74%
2.11%
0.79%
0.22%
0.05%
4
1.10%
1.24%
0.70%
0.26%
0.07%
0.02%
5
0.29%
0.33%
0.18%
0.07%
0.02%
0.00%
Villarreal
1-011.43%
2-07.55%
2-18.50%
3-03.32%
3-13.74%
3-22.11%
4-01.10%
4-11.24%
4-20.70%
4-30.26%
5-00.29%
5-10.33%
5-20.18%
Draw
0-08.66%
1-112.87%
2-24.79%
3-30.79%
Rayo Vallecano
0-19.75%
0-25.49%
1-27.25%
0-32.06%
1-32.72%
2-31.80%
0-40.58%
1-40.77%
2-40.51%
3-40.22%
0-50.13%
1-50.17%
2-50.11%

Correct Score - First Half

Villarreal
Rayo Vallecano
Score0123
0
32.21%
16.79%
4.38%
0.76%
1
19.70%
10.27%
2.68%
0.47%
2
6.02%
3.14%
0.82%
0.14%
3
1.23%
0.64%
0.17%
0.03%
4
0.19%
0.10%
0.03%
0.00%
Villarreal
1-019.70%
2-06.02%
2-13.14%
3-01.23%
3-10.64%
3-20.17%
4-00.19%
Draw
0-032.21%
1-110.27%
2-20.82%
Rayo Vallecano
0-116.79%
0-24.38%
1-22.68%
0-30.76%
1-30.47%
2-30.14%