Almeria at Villarreal

Updated

Almeria

7.6%13.9%78.5%
WinDrawVillarreal Win
0.71Projected Goals 2.65
1Final Score 2

Villarreal

Last 5 Games

Almeria
Money Line
L 3-2 vs Celta Vigo+195
T 1-1 at Cadiz+242
L 3-1 vs Real Madrid+675
L 2-0 vs Rayo Vallecano+160
T 3-3 at Espanyol+180
Villarreal
Money Line
L 1-3 at Cadiz+118
L 4-3 vs Barcelona+241
W 1-0 at Mallorca+174
L 2-1 vs Betis-135
T 2-2 vs Atletico Madrid+165

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.6%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Almeria+475+478+440+505+505+505+505+526.4
Villarreal-200-192-200-205-205-205-192-185.0
Draw+370+376+400+405+405+405+405+422.9
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Almeria+525-+525-+475+455+525+526.4
Villarreal-205--225--250-200-200-185.0
Draw+360-+400-+320+390+400+422.9

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Almeria: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Villarreal: 50.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Almeria: 0.0%
Villarreal: 50.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Almeria: 0.0%
Villarreal: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Almeria ML moved from +512 to +495
Villarreal ML moved from -195 to -202

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Almeria: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Villarreal: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Almeria: 0.0%
Villarreal: 40.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Almeria: 10.0%
Villarreal: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Almeria ML moved from +515 to +455
Villarreal ML moved from -210 to -220

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
-4.7%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3-105o3½-104o3½-105o3½+100o3½+100o3½+100o3½+100o3½+109
Underu3-115u3½-114u3½-115u3½-120u3½-120u3½-120u3½-114u3½-109
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3-115o3-125o3½-110-o3½-110o3½-110o3-125o3½+109
Underu3-105u3+105u3½-110-u3½-120u3½-110u3½-110u3½-109

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o3¼-110 to o3½+100
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 50.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 50.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o3-130 to o3½+100
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes47.3%
 
No52.7%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 03.49%
Exactly 219.63%
Exactly 418.43%
Exactly 66.92%
Exactly 81.39%
Exactly 100.17%
 
Exactly 111.70%
Exactly 321.97%
Exactly 512.38%
Exactly 73.32%
Exactly 90.52%
Exact Goals Scored - Almeria
Exactly 049.09%
Exactly 134.93%
Exactly 212.42%
Exactly 32.95%
Exactly 40.52%
Exact Goals Scored - Villarreal
Exactly 07.10%
Exactly 118.78%
Exactly 224.84%
Exactly 321.90%
Exactly 414.48%
Exactly 57.66%
Exactly 63.38%
Exactly 71.28%
Exactly 80.42%
Exactly 90.12%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 021.14%
Exactly 225.53%
Exactly 45.14%
Exactly 60.41%
 
Exactly 132.85%
Exactly 313.22%
Exactly 51.60%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Almeria
Exactly 071.94%
Exactly 123.70%
Exactly 23.90%
Exactly 30.43%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Villarreal
Exactly 029.38%
Exactly 135.99%
Exactly 222.04%
Exactly 39.00%
Exactly 42.75%
Exactly 50.67%
Exactly 60.14%

Alternate Props

Spread

Almeria
Wins by 2+ goals1.91%
Wins by 3+ goals0.34%
Villarreal
Wins by 2+ goals57.37%
Wins by 3+ goals35.48%
Wins by 4+ goals18.62%
Wins by 5+ goals8.37%
Wins by 6+ goals3.26%
Wins by 7+ goals1.10%
Wins by 8+ goals0.31%

Exact Winning Margin

Almeria
Villarreal
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Almeria
Wins by 1 goal5.66%
Wins by 2 goals1.57%
Wins by 3 goals0.31%
Villarreal
Wins by 1 goal21.08%
Wins by 2 goals21.88%
Wins by 3 goals16.87%
Wins by 4 goals10.24%
Wins by 5 goals5.11%
Wins by 6 goals2.16%
Wins by 7 goals0.79%
Wins by 8 goals0.25%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.596.51%3.49%
1.584.82%15.18%
2.565.18%34.82%
3.543.21%56.79%
4.524.78%75.22%
5.512.40%87.60%
6.55.48%94.52%
7.52.16%97.84%

Total Goals Almeria Over/Under

OverUnder
0.550.91%49.09%
1.515.98%84.02%
2.53.55%96.45%

Total Goals Villarreal Over/Under

OverUnder
0.592.90%7.10%
1.574.12%25.88%
2.549.28%50.72%
3.527.39%72.61%
4.512.90%87.10%
5.55.24%94.76%
6.51.87%98.13%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.578.86%21.14%
1.546.01%53.99%
2.520.48%79.52%
3.57.26%92.74%
4.52.12%97.88%

Score Props

Correct Score

Almeria
Villarreal
Score012345
0
3.49%
9.22%
12.19%
10.75%
7.11%
3.76%
1
2.48%
6.56%
8.67%
7.65%
5.06%
2.68%
2
0.88%
2.33%
3.09%
2.72%
1.80%
0.95%
3
0.21%
0.55%
0.73%
0.65%
0.43%
0.23%
Almeria
1-02.48%
2-00.88%
2-12.33%
3-00.21%
3-10.55%
3-20.73%
Draw
0-03.49%
1-16.56%
2-23.09%
3-30.65%
Villarreal
0-19.22%
0-212.19%
1-28.67%
0-310.75%
1-37.65%
2-32.72%
0-47.11%
1-45.06%
2-41.80%
3-40.43%
0-53.76%
1-52.68%
2-50.95%
3-50.23%

Correct Score - First Half

Almeria
Villarreal
Score012345
0
21.14%
25.89%
15.85%
6.47%
1.98%
0.49%
1
6.96%
8.53%
5.22%
2.13%
0.65%
0.16%
2
1.15%
1.40%
0.86%
0.35%
0.11%
0.03%
3
0.13%
0.15%
0.09%
0.04%
0.01%
0.00%
Almeria
1-06.96%
2-01.15%
2-11.40%
3-00.13%
3-10.15%
Draw
0-021.14%
1-18.53%
2-20.86%
Villarreal
0-125.89%
0-215.85%
1-25.22%
0-36.47%
1-32.13%
2-30.35%
0-41.98%
1-40.65%
2-40.11%
0-50.49%
1-50.16%