Real Madrid at Almeria

Updated

Real Madrid

76.1%15.5%8.4%
Real Madrid WinDrawWin
2.43Projected Goals 0.67
3Final Score 1

Almeria

Last 5 Games

Real Madrid
Money Line
W 2-0 at Athletic Club+118
T 1-1 vs Athletic Club-150
W 2-1 at Sevilla+125
W 1-2 vs Rayo Vallecano-245
L 0-1 at Valencia+120
Almeria
Money Line
L 2-0 vs Rayo Vallecano+160
T 3-3 at Espanyol+180
T 0-0 vs Valladolid+115
L 0-1 at Real Sociedad+750
W 0-3 vs Mallorca+125

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Real Madrid-245-233-240-240-240-240-233-214.7
Almeria+600+594+525+605+596+605+605+629.4
Draw+400+411+420+435+425+435+435+453.5
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Real Madrid-300--245--300-270-245-214.7
Almeria+550-+575-+550+675+675+629.4
Draw+350-+415-+350+425+425+453.5

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Real Madrid: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Almeria: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Real Madrid: 30.0%
Almeria: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Real Madrid: 0.0%
Almeria: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Real Madrid ML moved from -225 to -233
Almeria ML moved from +719 to +596

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Real Madrid: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Almeria: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Real Madrid: 20.0%
Almeria: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Real Madrid: 0.0%
Almeria: 40.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Real Madrid ML moved from -273 to -290
Almeria ML moved from +620 to +575

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.2%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¾-125o3½+110o3¼-112o3¼-115o3¼-109o3¼-115o3¼-109o3¼-104
Underu2¾+105u3½-130u3¼-108u3¼-105u3¼-105u3¼-105u3½-130u3¼+104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3+100o3-150o3-150-o3½+105o3-150o3-150o3¼-104
Underu3-130u3+130u3+130-u3½-135u3+130u3½-135u3¼+104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o3-140 to o3½+105
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes44.6%
 
No55.4%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 04.52%
Exactly 221.66%
Exactly 417.32%
Exactly 65.54%
Exactly 80.95%
Exactly 100.10%
 
Exactly 113.99%
Exactly 322.37%
Exactly 510.73%
Exactly 72.45%
Exactly 90.33%
Exact Goals Scored - Real Madrid
Exactly 08.85%
Exactly 121.46%
Exactly 226.02%
Exactly 321.03%
Exactly 412.75%
Exactly 56.18%
Exactly 62.50%
Exactly 70.87%
Exactly 80.26%
Exact Goals Scored - Almeria
Exactly 051.02%
Exactly 134.33%
Exactly 211.55%
Exactly 32.59%
Exactly 40.44%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 023.83%
Exactly 224.51%
Exactly 44.20%
Exactly 60.29%
 
Exactly 134.18%
Exactly 311.72%
Exactly 51.20%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Real Madrid
Exactly 032.54%
Exactly 136.53%
Exactly 220.51%
Exactly 37.67%
Exactly 42.15%
Exactly 50.48%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Almeria
Exactly 073.23%
Exactly 122.82%
Exactly 23.55%
Exactly 30.37%

Alternate Props

Spread

Real Madrid
Wins by 2+ goals53.35%
Wins by 3+ goals31.21%
Wins by 4+ goals15.32%
Wins by 5+ goals6.38%
Almeria
Wins by 2+ goals2.05%
Wins by 3+ goals0.36%

Exact Winning Margin

Real Madrid
Almeria
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
Real Madrid
Wins by 1 goal22.67%
Wins by 2 goals22.14%
Wins by 3 goals15.89%
Wins by 4 goals8.94%
Wins by 5 goals4.12%
Almeria
Wins by 1 goal6.28%
Wins by 2 goals1.69%
Wins by 3 goals0.32%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.595.48%4.52%
1.581.50%18.50%
2.559.83%40.17%
3.537.46%62.54%
4.520.14%79.86%
5.59.41%90.59%
6.53.87%96.13%
7.51.42%98.58%

Total Goals Real Madrid Over/Under

OverUnder
0.591.15%8.85%
1.569.69%30.31%
2.543.67%56.33%
3.522.64%77.36%
4.59.90%90.10%
5.53.72%96.28%
6.51.22%98.78%

Total Goals Almeria Over/Under

OverUnder
0.548.98%51.02%
1.514.65%85.35%
2.53.09%96.91%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.576.17%23.83%
1.541.99%58.01%
2.517.48%82.52%
3.55.77%94.23%
4.51.56%98.44%

Score Props

Correct Score

Real Madrid
Almeria
Score0123
0
4.52%
3.04%
1.02%
0.23%
1
10.95%
7.37%
2.48%
0.56%
2
13.27%
8.93%
3.01%
0.67%
3
10.73%
7.22%
2.43%
0.54%
4
6.50%
4.38%
1.47%
0.33%
5
3.15%
2.12%
0.71%
0.16%
Real Madrid
1-010.95%
2-013.27%
2-18.93%
3-010.73%
3-17.22%
3-22.43%
4-06.50%
4-14.38%
4-21.47%
4-30.33%
5-03.15%
5-12.12%
5-20.71%
5-30.16%
Draw
0-04.52%
1-17.37%
2-23.01%
3-30.54%
Almeria
0-13.04%
0-21.02%
1-22.48%
0-30.23%
1-30.56%
2-30.67%

Correct Score - First Half

Real Madrid
Almeria
Score0123
0
23.83%
7.43%
1.16%
0.12%
1
26.75%
8.34%
1.30%
0.13%
2
15.02%
4.68%
0.73%
0.08%
3
5.62%
1.75%
0.27%
0.03%
4
1.58%
0.49%
0.08%
0.01%
5
0.35%
0.11%
0.02%
0.00%
Real Madrid
1-026.75%
2-015.02%
2-14.68%
3-05.62%
3-11.75%
3-20.27%
4-01.58%
4-10.49%
5-00.35%
5-10.11%
Draw
0-023.83%
1-18.34%
2-20.73%
Almeria
0-17.43%
0-21.16%
1-21.30%
0-30.12%
1-30.13%