Las Palmas at Villarreal

Updated

Las Palmas

8.8%15.7%75.5%
WinDrawVillarreal Win
0.70Projected Goals 2.43
2Final Score 1

Villarreal

Last 5 Games

Las Palmas
Money Line
W 1-2 vs Celta Vigo+190
L 0-2 at Real Madrid+1500
W 0-1 vs Granada-105
L 0-1 at Sevilla+510
L 0-1 at Girona+425
Villarreal
Money Line
T 0-0 at Getafe+175
L 2-1 vs Girona+114
T 1-1 at Rayo Vallecano+175
W 1-2 vs Almeria-200
L 1-3 at Cadiz+118

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.1%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Las Palmas+500+421+420+435+435+435+435+453.8
Villarreal-195-151-160-150-152-152-151-139.6
Draw+350+306+320+305+308+308+320+322.4
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Las Palmas+450-+456-+400+400+456+453.8
Villarreal-170--165--200-155-155-139.6
Draw+320-+300-+280+310+310+322.4

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Las Palmas: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Villarreal: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Las Palmas: 0.0%
Villarreal: 50.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Las Palmas: 0.0%
Villarreal: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Las Palmas ML moved from +420 to +400
Villarreal ML moved from -140 to -155

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Las Palmas: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Villarreal: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Las Palmas: 0.0%
Villarreal: 50.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Las Palmas: 10.0%
Villarreal: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Las Palmas ML moved from +420 to +385
Villarreal ML moved from -140 to -155

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.1%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¾-102o2½-133o2¾-105o2¾-102o2¾-102o2¾-102o2½-133o2¾+107
Underu2¾-118u2½+113u2¾-115u2¾-118u2¾-118u2¾-118u2¾-115u2¾-107
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-140o2½-135o2½-135-o2½-140o2½-135o2½-135o2¾+107
Underu2½+120u2½+115u2½+115-u2½+110u2½+115u2½+115u2¾-107

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes45.9%
 
No54.1%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 04.38%
Exactly 221.43%
Exactly 417.47%
Exactly 65.70%
Exactly 81.00%
Exactly 100.11%
 
Exactly 113.70%
Exactly 322.34%
Exactly 510.93%
Exactly 72.55%
Exactly 90.35%
Exact Goals Scored - Las Palmas
Exactly 049.62%
Exactly 134.77%
Exactly 212.18%
Exactly 32.85%
Exactly 40.50%
Exact Goals Scored - Villarreal
Exactly 08.83%
Exactly 121.43%
Exactly 226.00%
Exactly 321.04%
Exactly 412.77%
Exactly 56.20%
Exactly 62.51%
Exactly 70.87%
Exactly 80.26%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 023.50%
Exactly 224.64%
Exactly 44.31%
Exactly 60.30%
 
Exactly 134.03%
Exactly 311.90%
Exactly 51.25%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Las Palmas
Exactly 072.29%
Exactly 123.45%
Exactly 23.80%
Exactly 30.41%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Villarreal
Exactly 032.50%
Exactly 136.53%
Exactly 220.53%
Exactly 37.69%
Exactly 42.16%
Exactly 50.49%

Alternate Props

Spread

Las Palmas
Wins by 2+ goals2.22%
Wins by 3+ goals0.40%
Villarreal
Wins by 2+ goals52.80%
Wins by 3+ goals30.83%
Wins by 4+ goals15.12%
Wins by 5+ goals6.30%
Wins by 6+ goals2.23%
Wins by 7+ goals0.65%
Wins by 8+ goals0.13%

Exact Winning Margin

Las Palmas
Villarreal
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Las Palmas
Wins by 1 goal6.52%
Wins by 2 goals1.81%
Wins by 3 goals0.36%
Villarreal
Wins by 1 goal22.63%
Wins by 2 goals21.97%
Wins by 3 goals15.71%
Wins by 4 goals8.82%
Wins by 5 goals4.06%
Wins by 6 goals1.58%
Wins by 7 goals0.52%
Wins by 8 goals0.13%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.595.62%4.38%
1.581.92%18.08%
2.560.49%39.51%
3.538.14%61.86%
4.520.67%79.33%
5.59.74%90.26%
6.54.04%95.96%
7.51.49%98.51%

Total Goals Las Palmas Over/Under

OverUnder
0.550.38%49.62%
1.515.60%84.40%
2.53.42%96.58%

Total Goals Villarreal Over/Under

OverUnder
0.591.17%8.83%
1.569.75%30.25%
2.543.74%56.26%
3.522.70%77.30%
4.59.93%90.07%
5.53.73%96.27%
6.51.23%98.77%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.576.50%23.50%
1.542.47%57.53%
2.517.83%82.17%
3.55.93%94.07%
4.51.62%98.38%

Score Props

Correct Score

Las Palmas
Villarreal
Score012345
0
4.38%
10.63%
12.90%
10.44%
6.34%
3.08%
1
3.07%
7.45%
9.04%
7.32%
4.44%
2.16%
2
1.08%
2.61%
3.17%
2.56%
1.56%
0.76%
3
0.25%
0.61%
0.74%
0.60%
0.36%
0.18%
Las Palmas
1-03.07%
2-01.08%
2-12.61%
3-00.25%
3-10.61%
3-20.74%
Draw
0-04.38%
1-17.45%
2-23.17%
3-30.60%
Villarreal
0-110.63%
0-212.90%
1-29.04%
0-310.44%
1-37.32%
2-32.56%
0-46.34%
1-44.44%
2-41.56%
3-40.36%
0-53.08%
1-52.16%
2-50.76%
3-50.18%

Correct Score - First Half

Las Palmas
Villarreal
Score012345
0
23.50%
26.41%
14.84%
5.56%
1.56%
0.35%
1
7.62%
8.57%
4.81%
1.80%
0.51%
0.11%
2
1.24%
1.39%
0.78%
0.29%
0.08%
0.02%
3
0.13%
0.15%
0.08%
0.03%
0.01%
0.00%
Las Palmas
1-07.62%
2-01.24%
2-11.39%
3-00.13%
3-10.15%
Draw
0-023.50%
1-18.57%
2-20.78%
Villarreal
0-126.41%
0-214.84%
1-24.81%
0-35.56%
1-31.80%
2-30.29%
0-41.56%
1-40.51%
0-50.35%
1-50.11%