Atletico Madrid at Celta Vigo

Updated

Atletico Madrid

49.3%26.4%24.4%
Atletico Madrid WinDrawCelta Vigo Win
1.47Projected Goals 0.95
3Final Score 0

Celta Vigo

Last 5 Games

Atletico Madrid
Money Line
W 1-2 vs Real Sociedad+103
W 2-3 vs Cadiz-315
W 2-0 at Osasuna-103
W 1-3 vs Real Madrid+180
L 0-3 at Valencia+120
Celta Vigo
Money Line
T 2-2 vs Getafe+100
L 1-2 at Las Palmas+165
T 1-1 vs Alaves-160
L 2-3 at Barcelona+1000
L 1-0 vs Mallorca+108

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.1%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.3%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Atletico Madrid+123+115+115+116+115+116+116+123.5
Celta Vigo+238+248+235+245+248+245+248+256.9
Draw+239+249+255+255+253+255+255+267.3
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Atletico Madrid+115-+118-+100+110+118+123.5
Celta Vigo+240-+230-+215+250+250+256.9
Draw+240-+245-+220+245+245+267.3

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Atletico Madrid: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Celta Vigo: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Atletico Madrid: 20.0%
Celta Vigo: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Atletico Madrid: 0.0%
Celta Vigo: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Atletico Madrid ML moved from +133 to +126
Celta Vigo ML moved from +254 to +245

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Atletico Madrid: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Celta Vigo: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Atletico Madrid: 20.0%
Celta Vigo: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Atletico Madrid: 0.0%
Celta Vigo: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Atletico Madrid ML moved from +120 to +110
Celta Vigo ML moved from +248 to +230

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.1%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.5%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½+107o2½-112o2½-108o2½-107o2½-107o2½-107o2½-107o2½+103
Underu2½-127u2½-106u2½-112u2½-113u2½-113u2½-113u2½-106u2½-103
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½+100o2½-105o2½-105-o2½-110o2½-105o2½-105o2½+103
Underu2½-120u2½-115u2½-115-u2½-120u2½-115u2½-115u2½-103

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes47.2%
 
No52.8%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 08.89%
Exactly 226.03%
Exactly 412.71%
Exactly 62.48%
Exactly 80.26%
 
Exactly 121.51%
Exactly 321.01%
Exactly 56.16%
Exactly 70.86%
Exact Goals Scored - Atletico Madrid
Exactly 022.97%
Exactly 133.79%
Exactly 224.85%
Exactly 312.18%
Exactly 44.48%
Exactly 51.32%
Exactly 60.32%
Exact Goals Scored - Celta Vigo
Exactly 038.68%
Exactly 136.74%
Exactly 217.45%
Exactly 35.52%
Exactly 41.31%
Exactly 50.25%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 032.60%
Exactly 220.48%
Exactly 42.14%
 
Exactly 136.54%
Exactly 37.65%
Exactly 50.48%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Atletico Madrid
Exactly 050.61%
Exactly 134.47%
Exactly 211.74%
Exactly 32.66%
Exactly 40.45%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Celta Vigo
Exactly 064.42%
Exactly 128.33%
Exactly 26.23%
Exactly 30.91%
Exactly 40.10%

Alternate Props

Spread

Atletico Madrid
Wins by 2+ goals24.58%
Wins by 3+ goals9.63%
Wins by 4+ goals3.03%
Wins by 5+ goals0.75%
Celta Vigo
Wins by 2+ goals8.45%
Wins by 3+ goals2.22%
Wins by 4+ goals0.44%

Exact Winning Margin

Atletico Madrid
Celta Vigo
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
Atletico Madrid
Wins by 1 goal24.59%
Wins by 2 goals14.95%
Wins by 3 goals6.61%
Wins by 4 goals2.27%
Wins by 5 goals0.63%
Celta Vigo
Wins by 1 goal15.88%
Wins by 2 goals6.23%
Wins by 3 goals1.77%
Wins by 4 goals0.39%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.591.11%8.89%
1.569.60%30.40%
2.543.57%56.43%
3.522.56%77.44%
4.59.85%90.15%
5.53.69%96.31%
6.51.21%98.79%

Total Goals Atletico Madrid Over/Under

OverUnder
0.577.03%22.97%
1.543.24%56.76%
2.518.39%81.61%
3.56.20%93.80%
4.51.72%98.28%

Total Goals Celta Vigo Over/Under

OverUnder
0.561.32%38.68%
1.524.58%75.42%
2.57.13%92.87%
3.51.61%98.39%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.567.40%32.60%
1.530.86%69.14%
2.510.38%89.62%
3.52.73%97.27%

Score Props

Correct Score

Atletico Madrid
Celta Vigo
Score01234
0
8.89%
8.44%
4.01%
1.27%
0.30%
1
13.07%
12.41%
5.90%
1.87%
0.44%
2
9.61%
9.13%
4.34%
1.37%
0.33%
3
4.71%
4.48%
2.13%
0.67%
0.16%
4
1.73%
1.65%
0.78%
0.25%
0.06%
5
0.51%
0.48%
0.23%
0.07%
0.02%
Atletico Madrid
1-013.07%
2-09.61%
2-19.13%
3-04.71%
3-14.48%
3-22.13%
4-01.73%
4-11.65%
4-20.78%
4-30.25%
5-00.51%
5-10.48%
5-20.23%
Draw
0-08.89%
1-112.41%
2-24.34%
3-30.67%
Celta Vigo
0-18.44%
0-24.01%
1-25.90%
0-31.27%
1-31.87%
2-31.37%
0-40.30%
1-40.44%
2-40.33%
3-40.16%

Correct Score - First Half

Atletico Madrid
Celta Vigo
Score0123
0
32.60%
14.34%
3.15%
0.46%
1
22.20%
9.76%
2.15%
0.31%
2
7.56%
3.32%
0.73%
0.11%
3
1.72%
0.75%
0.17%
0.02%
4
0.29%
0.13%
0.03%
0.00%
Atletico Madrid
1-022.20%
2-07.56%
2-13.32%
3-01.72%
3-10.75%
3-20.17%
4-00.29%
4-10.13%
Draw
0-032.60%
1-19.76%
2-20.73%
Celta Vigo
0-114.34%
0-23.15%
1-22.15%
0-30.46%
1-30.31%
2-30.11%