Real Madrid at Sevilla

Updated

Real Madrid

50.2%26.0%23.7%
Real Madrid WinDrawSevilla Win
1.51Projected Goals 0.94
1Final Score 1

Sevilla

Last 5 Games

Real Madrid
Money Line
W 0-4 vs Osasuna-345
W 3-0 at Girona-110
W 0-2 vs Las Palmas-575
L 1-3 at Atletico Madrid+155
W 1-2 vs Real Sociedad-137
Sevilla
Money Line
T 2-2 vs Rayo Vallecano-115
L 0-1 at Barcelona+825
W 1-5 vs Almeria-152
T 0-0 at Osasuna+240
W 0-1 vs Las Palmas-170

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.5%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Real Madrid-108-136-140-140-140-140-136-128.9
Sevilla+293+365+350+385+380+385+385+402.4
Draw+274+301+310+306+310+306+310+320.5
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Real Madrid-115--135--165-150-135-128.9
Sevilla+300-+338-+315+375+375+402.4
Draw+275-+300-+280+315+315+320.5

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Real Madrid: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Sevilla: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Real Madrid: 0.0%
Sevilla: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Real Madrid: 0.0%
Sevilla: 10.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Real Madrid ML moved from -130 to -136
Sevilla ML moved from +385 to +376

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Real Madrid: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Sevilla: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Real Madrid: 0.0%
Sevilla: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Real Madrid: 0.0%
Sevilla: 10.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Real Madrid ML moved from -130 to -150
Sevilla ML moved from +290 to +280

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.4%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3+117o3-104o3-108o3-107o3-107o3-107o3-104o3+103
Underu3-137u3-114u3-112u3-113u3-113u3-113u3-112u3-103
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-145o3+100o3-105-o3-105o3+100o3+100o3+103
Underu2½+125u3-120u3-115-u3-125u3-120u3-115u3-103

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes47.5%
 
No52.5%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 08.66%
Exactly 225.92%
Exactly 412.93%
Exactly 62.58%
Exactly 80.28%
 
Exactly 121.18%
Exactly 321.13%
Exactly 56.33%
Exactly 70.90%
Exact Goals Scored - Real Madrid
Exactly 022.26%
Exactly 133.44%
Exactly 225.12%
Exactly 312.58%
Exactly 44.73%
Exactly 51.42%
Exactly 60.36%
Exact Goals Scored - Sevilla
Exactly 038.90%
Exactly 136.73%
Exactly 217.34%
Exactly 35.46%
Exactly 41.29%
Exactly 50.24%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 032.21%
Exactly 220.67%
Exactly 42.21%
 
Exactly 136.49%
Exactly 37.80%
Exactly 50.50%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Real Madrid
Exactly 049.88%
Exactly 134.69%
Exactly 212.07%
Exactly 32.80%
Exactly 40.49%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Sevilla
Exactly 064.59%
Exactly 128.23%
Exactly 26.17%
Exactly 30.90%

Alternate Props

Spread

Real Madrid
Wins by 2+ goals25.43%
Wins by 3+ goals10.14%
Wins by 4+ goals3.24%
Wins by 5+ goals0.82%
Sevilla
Wins by 2+ goals8.17%
Wins by 3+ goals2.13%
Wins by 4+ goals0.42%

Exact Winning Margin

Real Madrid
Sevilla
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
Real Madrid
Wins by 1 goal24.69%
Wins by 2 goals15.29%
Wins by 3 goals6.89%
Wins by 4 goals2.42%
Wins by 5 goals0.68%
Sevilla
Wins by 1 goal15.52%
Wins by 2 goals6.04%
Wins by 3 goals1.71%
Wins by 4 goals0.37%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.591.34%8.66%
1.570.16%29.84%
2.544.24%55.76%
3.523.11%76.89%
4.510.18%89.82%
5.53.85%96.15%
6.51.28%98.72%

Total Goals Real Madrid Over/Under

OverUnder
0.577.74%22.26%
1.544.30%55.70%
2.519.17%80.83%
3.56.59%93.41%
4.51.87%98.13%

Total Goals Sevilla Over/Under

OverUnder
0.561.10%38.90%
1.524.37%75.63%
2.57.03%92.97%
3.51.58%98.42%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.567.79%32.21%
1.531.29%68.71%
2.510.63%89.37%
3.52.82%97.18%

Score Props

Correct Score

Real Madrid
Sevilla
Score01234
0
8.66%
8.18%
3.86%
1.21%
0.29%
1
13.01%
12.28%
5.80%
1.83%
0.43%
2
9.77%
9.23%
4.36%
1.37%
0.32%
3
4.89%
4.62%
2.18%
0.69%
0.16%
4
1.84%
1.74%
0.82%
0.26%
0.06%
5
0.55%
0.52%
0.25%
0.08%
0.02%
Real Madrid
1-013.01%
2-09.77%
2-19.23%
3-04.89%
3-14.62%
3-22.18%
4-01.84%
4-11.74%
4-20.82%
4-30.26%
5-00.55%
5-10.52%
5-20.25%
Draw
0-08.66%
1-112.28%
2-24.36%
3-30.69%
Sevilla
0-18.18%
0-23.86%
1-25.80%
0-31.21%
1-31.83%
2-31.37%
0-40.29%
1-40.43%
2-40.32%
3-40.16%

Correct Score - First Half

Real Madrid
Sevilla
Score0123
0
32.21%
14.08%
3.08%
0.45%
1
22.41%
9.80%
2.14%
0.31%
2
7.79%
3.41%
0.74%
0.11%
3
1.81%
0.79%
0.17%
0.03%
4
0.31%
0.14%
0.03%
0.00%
Real Madrid
1-022.41%
2-07.79%
2-13.41%
3-01.81%
3-10.79%
3-20.17%
4-00.31%
4-10.14%
Draw
0-032.21%
1-19.80%
2-20.74%
Sevilla
0-114.08%
0-23.08%
1-22.14%
0-30.45%
1-30.31%
2-30.11%