Villarreal at Real Madrid

Updated

Villarreal

12.1%17.8%70.1%
WinDrawReal Madrid Win
0.83Projected Goals 2.28
1Final Score 4

Real Madrid

Last 5 Games

Villarreal
Money Line
L 3-0 vs Real Sociedad+240
T 1-1 at Sevilla+275
W 1-3 vs Osasuna+125
L 1-3 at Atletico Madrid+760
L 3-2 vs Athletic Club+270
Real Madrid
Money Line
T 1-1 at Betis-140
W 0-2 vs Granada-560
W 3-0 at Cadiz-230
W 1-5 vs Valencia-310
T 0-0 vs Rayo Vallecano-475

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.3%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Villarreal+700+1058+900+1075+1057+1075+1075+1115.5
Real Madrid-325-423-435-425-488-425-423-359.8
Draw+500+591+600+615+596+615+615+639.7
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Villarreal+800-+1000--+1400+1400+1115.5
Real Madrid-345--460---600-460-359.8
Draw+510-+615--+700+700+639.7

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Villarreal: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Real Madrid: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Villarreal: 30.0%
Real Madrid: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Villarreal: 10.0%
Real Madrid: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Villarreal ML moved from +1150 to +1075
Real Madrid ML moved from -408 to -423

Overall

Overall Bet Value Active
Villarreal: 100.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Real Madrid: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Villarreal: 40.0%
Real Madrid: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Villarreal: 70.0%
Real Madrid: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Villarreal ML moved from +1000 to +900
Real Madrid ML moved from -430 to -460

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.1%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.5%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3½-108o3½-117o3½-112o3½-108o3½-112o3½-108o3½-108o3½+102
Underu3½-112u3½-101u3½-108u3½-112u3½-108u3½-112u3½-101u3½-102
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3½-115o3½-115o3½-114-o3½-110o3½-115o3½-110o3½+102
Underu3½-105u3½-105u3½-106-u3½-120u3½-105u3½-105u3½-102

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes50.6%
 
No49.4%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 04.46%
Exactly 221.58%
Exactly 417.38%
Exactly 65.60%
Exactly 80.97%
Exactly 100.10%
 
Exactly 113.88%
Exactly 322.36%
Exactly 510.81%
Exactly 72.49%
Exactly 90.33%
Exact Goals Scored - Villarreal
Exactly 043.63%
Exactly 136.19%
Exactly 215.01%
Exactly 34.15%
Exactly 40.86%
Exactly 50.14%
Exact Goals Scored - Real Madrid
Exactly 010.23%
Exactly 123.32%
Exactly 226.59%
Exactly 320.20%
Exactly 411.51%
Exactly 55.25%
Exactly 61.99%
Exactly 70.65%
Exactly 80.19%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 023.70%
Exactly 224.56%
Exactly 44.24%
Exactly 60.29%
 
Exactly 134.12%
Exactly 311.78%
Exactly 51.22%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Villarreal
Exactly 068.11%
Exactly 126.15%
Exactly 25.02%
Exactly 30.64%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Real Madrid
Exactly 034.80%
Exactly 136.73%
Exactly 219.39%
Exactly 36.82%
Exactly 41.80%
Exactly 50.38%

Alternate Props

Spread

Villarreal
Wins by 2+ goals3.56%
Wins by 3+ goals0.80%
Real Madrid
Wins by 2+ goals46.67%
Wins by 3+ goals25.79%
Wins by 4+ goals11.93%
Wins by 5+ goals4.68%
Wins by 6+ goals1.56%
Wins by 7+ goals0.43%

Exact Winning Margin

Villarreal
Real Madrid
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
Villarreal
Wins by 1 goal8.50%
Wins by 2 goals2.76%
Wins by 3 goals0.66%
Real Madrid
Wins by 1 goal23.36%
Wins by 2 goals20.88%
Wins by 3 goals13.86%
Wins by 4 goals7.25%
Wins by 5 goals3.12%
Wins by 6 goals1.13%
Wins by 7 goals0.35%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.595.54%4.46%
1.581.66%18.34%
2.560.08%39.92%
3.537.72%62.28%
4.520.34%79.66%
5.59.53%90.47%
6.53.93%96.07%
7.51.44%98.56%

Total Goals Villarreal Over/Under

OverUnder
0.556.37%43.63%
1.520.18%79.82%
2.55.17%94.83%
3.51.03%98.97%

Total Goals Real Madrid Over/Under

OverUnder
0.589.77%10.23%
1.566.44%33.56%
2.539.86%60.14%
3.519.65%80.35%
4.58.14%91.86%
5.52.89%97.11%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.576.30%23.70%
1.542.17%57.83%
2.517.61%82.39%
3.55.83%94.17%
4.51.59%98.41%

Score Props

Correct Score

Villarreal
Real Madrid
Score012345
0
4.46%
10.18%
11.60%
8.82%
5.02%
2.29%
1
3.70%
8.44%
9.62%
7.31%
4.17%
1.90%
2
1.54%
3.50%
3.99%
3.03%
1.73%
0.79%
3
0.42%
0.97%
1.10%
0.84%
0.48%
0.22%
Villarreal
1-03.70%
2-01.54%
2-13.50%
3-00.42%
3-10.97%
3-21.10%
Draw
0-04.46%
1-18.44%
2-23.99%
3-30.84%
Real Madrid
0-110.18%
0-211.60%
1-29.62%
0-38.82%
1-37.31%
2-33.03%
0-45.02%
1-44.17%
2-41.73%
3-40.48%
0-52.29%
1-51.90%
2-50.79%
3-50.22%

Correct Score - First Half

Villarreal
Real Madrid
Score012345
0
23.70%
25.02%
13.20%
4.65%
1.23%
0.26%
1
9.10%
9.61%
5.07%
1.78%
0.47%
0.10%
2
1.75%
1.84%
0.97%
0.34%
0.09%
0.02%
3
0.22%
0.24%
0.12%
0.04%
0.01%
0.00%
Villarreal
1-09.10%
2-01.75%
2-11.84%
3-00.22%
3-10.24%
3-20.12%
Draw
0-023.70%
1-19.61%
2-20.97%
Real Madrid
0-125.02%
0-213.20%
1-25.07%
0-34.65%
1-31.78%
2-30.34%
0-41.23%
1-40.47%
0-50.26%