Valencia at Real Madrid

Updated

Valencia

7.9%14.6%77.5%
WinDrawReal Madrid Win
0.69Projected Goals 2.53
1Final Score 5

Real Madrid

Last 5 Games

Valencia
Money Line
W 0-1 vs Granada-167
T 2-2 at Athletic Club+480
W 0-2 vs Cadiz-140
T 1-1 at Mallorca+230
L 0-3 at Betis+285
Real Madrid
Money Line
T 0-0 vs Rayo Vallecano-475
W 2-1 at Barcelona+171
T 1-1 at Sevilla-135
W 0-4 vs Osasuna-345
W 3-0 at Girona-110

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.1%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Valencia+702+769+725+850+850+850+850+883.7
Real Madrid-257-282-305-300-300-300-282-262.7
Draw+412+435+460+455+455+455+460+474.7
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Valencia+745-+805--+850+850+883.7
Real Madrid-285--310---325-310-262.7
Draw+420-+440--+450+450+474.7

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Valencia: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Real Madrid: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Valencia: 0.0%
Real Madrid: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Valencia: 10.0%
Real Madrid: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Valencia ML moved from +744 to +723
Real Madrid ML moved from -290 to -300

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Valencia: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Real Madrid: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Valencia: 0.0%
Real Madrid: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Valencia: 10.0%
Real Madrid: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Valencia ML moved from +820 to +805
Real Madrid ML moved from -325 to -340

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.1%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3+102o3-101o3-102o3-103o3-103o3-103o3-101o3+106
Underu3-120u3-117u3-118u3-117u3-117u3-117u3-117u3-106
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3+105o3+110o3+100-o3+100o3+100o3+110o3+106
Underu3-125u3-130u3-120-u3-130u3-120u3-120u3-106

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes45.6%
 
No54.4%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 04.01%
Exactly 220.75%
Exactly 417.88%
Exactly 66.16%
Exactly 81.14%
Exactly 100.13%
 
Exactly 112.91%
Exactly 322.24%
Exactly 511.50%
Exactly 72.83%
Exactly 90.41%
Exact Goals Scored - Valencia
Exactly 050.47%
Exactly 134.51%
Exactly 211.80%
Exactly 32.69%
Exactly 40.46%
Exact Goals Scored - Real Madrid
Exactly 07.95%
Exactly 120.13%
Exactly 225.49%
Exactly 321.51%
Exactly 413.61%
Exactly 56.89%
Exactly 62.91%
Exactly 71.05%
Exactly 80.33%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 022.57%
Exactly 225.01%
Exactly 44.62%
Exactly 60.34%
 
Exactly 133.59%
Exactly 312.41%
Exactly 51.38%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Valencia
Exactly 072.86%
Exactly 123.07%
Exactly 23.65%
Exactly 30.39%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Real Madrid
Exactly 030.97%
Exactly 136.30%
Exactly 221.28%
Exactly 38.31%
Exactly 42.44%
Exactly 50.57%
Exactly 60.11%

Alternate Props

Spread

Valencia
Wins by 2+ goals1.94%
Wins by 3+ goals0.34%
Real Madrid
Wins by 2+ goals55.46%
Wins by 3+ goals33.37%
Wins by 4+ goals16.92%
Wins by 5+ goals7.30%
Wins by 6+ goals2.68%
Wins by 7+ goals0.81%
Wins by 8+ goals0.17%

Exact Winning Margin

Valencia
Real Madrid
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Valencia
Wins by 1 goal5.90%
Wins by 2 goals1.60%
Wins by 3 goals0.31%
Real Madrid
Wins by 1 goal21.89%
Wins by 2 goals22.09%
Wins by 3 goals16.45%
Wins by 4 goals9.62%
Wins by 5 goals4.62%
Wins by 6 goals1.87%
Wins by 7 goals0.65%
Wins by 8 goals0.17%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.595.99%4.01%
1.583.08%16.92%
2.562.33%37.67%
3.540.09%59.91%
4.522.21%77.79%
5.510.72%89.28%
6.54.56%95.44%
7.51.73%98.27%

Total Goals Valencia Over/Under

OverUnder
0.549.53%50.47%
1.515.02%84.98%
2.53.22%96.78%

Total Goals Real Madrid Over/Under

OverUnder
0.592.05%7.95%
1.571.91%28.09%
2.546.43%53.57%
3.524.92%75.08%
4.511.31%88.69%
5.54.42%95.58%
6.51.51%98.49%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.577.43%22.57%
1.543.84%56.16%
2.518.83%81.17%
3.56.42%93.58%
4.51.81%98.19%

Score Props

Correct Score

Valencia
Real Madrid
Score012345
0
4.01%
10.16%
12.86%
10.86%
6.87%
3.48%
1
2.74%
6.95%
8.80%
7.42%
4.70%
2.38%
2
0.94%
2.38%
3.01%
2.54%
1.61%
0.81%
3
0.21%
0.54%
0.69%
0.58%
0.37%
0.19%
Valencia
1-02.74%
2-00.94%
2-12.38%
3-00.21%
3-10.54%
3-20.69%
Draw
0-04.01%
1-16.95%
2-23.01%
3-30.58%
Real Madrid
0-110.16%
0-212.86%
1-28.80%
0-310.86%
1-37.42%
2-32.54%
0-46.87%
1-44.70%
2-41.61%
3-40.37%
0-53.48%
1-52.38%
2-50.81%
3-50.19%

Correct Score - First Half

Valencia
Real Madrid
Score012345
0
22.57%
26.45%
15.50%
6.06%
1.78%
0.42%
1
7.14%
8.37%
4.91%
1.92%
0.56%
0.13%
2
1.13%
1.33%
0.78%
0.30%
0.09%
0.02%
3
0.12%
0.14%
0.08%
0.03%
0.01%
0.00%
Valencia
1-07.14%
2-01.13%
2-11.33%
3-00.12%
3-10.14%
Draw
0-022.57%
1-18.37%
2-20.78%
Real Madrid
0-126.45%
0-215.50%
1-24.91%
0-36.06%
1-31.92%
2-30.30%
0-41.78%
1-40.56%
0-50.42%
1-50.13%