Rayo Vallecano at Atletico Madrid

Updated

Rayo Vallecano

7.9%15.9%76.2%
WinDrawAtletico Madrid Win
0.61Projected Goals 2.34
1Final Score 2

Atletico Madrid

Last 5 Games

Rayo Vallecano
Money Line
T 0-0 at Real Sociedad+522
L 2-0 vs Las Palmas-110
W 2-0 at Getafe+240
L 1-0 vs Valencia+125
L 0-1 at Osasuna+286
Atletico Madrid
Money Line
W 0-2 vs Valencia-183
W 1-0 at Granada-164
L 3-4 at Girona+160
W 0-1 vs Sevilla-170
T 3-3 vs Getafe-210

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Rayo Vallecano+550+486+440+545+513+545+545+567.9
Atletico Madrid-220-157-160-166-164-166-157-151.7
Draw+380+287+300+290+291+290+300+303.8
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Rayo Vallecano+575-+500-+550+480+550+567.9
Atletico Madrid-220--160--260-160-160-151.7
Draw+365-+265-+300+280+300+303.8

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Rayo Vallecano: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Atletico Madrid: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Rayo Vallecano: 0.0%
Atletico Madrid: 50.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Rayo Vallecano: 20.0%
Atletico Madrid: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Rayo Vallecano ML moved from +518 to +500
Atletico Madrid ML moved from -160 to -166

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Rayo Vallecano: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Atletico Madrid: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Rayo Vallecano: 0.0%
Atletico Madrid: 50.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Rayo Vallecano: 20.0%
Atletico Madrid: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Rayo Vallecano ML moved from +600 to +480
Atletico Madrid ML moved from -195 to -205

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.0%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¾-115o2½-104o2½-102o2½-101o2½+100o2½-101o2½+100o2½+108
Underu2¾-105u2½-112u2½-118u2½-119u2½-116u2½-119u2½-112u2½-108
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-145o2½+110o2½+105-o2½-120o2½-105o2½+110o2½+108
Underu2½+125u2½-130u2½-125-u2½-110u2½-115u2½-110u2½-108

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o2¼-122 to o2½-105
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes41.2%
 
No58.8%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 05.26%
Exactly 222.81%
Exactly 416.49%
Exactly 64.77%
Exactly 80.74%
 
Exactly 115.48%
Exactly 322.39%
Exactly 59.72%
Exactly 72.01%
Exactly 90.24%
Exact Goals Scored - Rayo Vallecano
Exactly 054.39%
Exactly 133.12%
Exactly 210.09%
Exactly 32.05%
Exactly 40.31%
Exact Goals Scored - Atletico Madrid
Exactly 09.66%
Exactly 122.58%
Exactly 226.38%
Exactly 320.55%
Exactly 412.01%
Exactly 55.61%
Exactly 62.19%
Exactly 70.73%
Exactly 80.21%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 025.57%
Exactly 223.78%
Exactly 43.69%
Exactly 60.23%
 
Exactly 134.87%
Exactly 310.81%
Exactly 51.01%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Rayo Vallecano
Exactly 075.43%
Exactly 121.27%
Exactly 23.00%
Exactly 30.28%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Atletico Madrid
Exactly 033.89%
Exactly 136.67%
Exactly 219.84%
Exactly 37.15%
Exactly 41.94%
Exactly 50.42%

Alternate Props

Spread

Rayo Vallecano
Wins by 2+ goals1.82%
Wins by 3+ goals0.30%
Atletico Madrid
Wins by 2+ goals52.77%
Wins by 3+ goals30.28%
Wins by 4+ goals14.51%
Wins by 5+ goals5.89%
Wins by 6+ goals2.03%
Wins by 7+ goals0.58%
Wins by 8+ goals0.12%

Exact Winning Margin

Rayo Vallecano
Atletico Madrid
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Rayo Vallecano
Wins by 1 goal6.08%
Wins by 2 goals1.52%
Wins by 3 goals0.27%
Atletico Madrid
Wins by 1 goal23.36%
Wins by 2 goals22.49%
Wins by 3 goals15.77%
Wins by 4 goals8.62%
Wins by 5 goals3.85%
Wins by 6 goals1.45%
Wins by 7 goals0.47%
Wins by 8 goals0.12%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.594.74%5.26%
1.579.26%20.74%
2.556.45%43.55%
3.534.06%65.94%
4.517.57%82.43%
5.57.85%92.15%
6.53.08%96.92%
7.51.08%98.92%

Total Goals Rayo Vallecano Over/Under

OverUnder
0.545.61%54.39%
1.512.49%87.51%
2.52.40%97.60%

Total Goals Atletico Madrid Over/Under

OverUnder
0.590.34%9.66%
1.567.75%32.25%
2.541.37%58.63%
3.520.82%79.18%
4.58.81%91.19%
5.53.20%96.80%
6.51.01%98.99%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.574.43%25.57%
1.539.56%60.44%
2.515.78%84.22%
3.54.97%95.03%
4.51.29%98.71%

Score Props

Correct Score

Rayo Vallecano
Atletico Madrid
Score012345
0
5.26%
12.28%
14.35%
11.18%
6.53%
3.05%
1
3.20%
7.48%
8.74%
6.81%
3.98%
1.86%
2
0.97%
2.28%
2.66%
2.07%
1.21%
0.57%
3
0.20%
0.46%
0.54%
0.42%
0.25%
0.11%
Rayo Vallecano
1-03.20%
2-00.97%
2-12.28%
3-00.20%
3-10.46%
3-20.54%
Draw
0-05.26%
1-17.48%
2-22.66%
3-30.42%
Atletico Madrid
0-112.28%
0-214.35%
1-28.74%
0-311.18%
1-36.81%
2-32.07%
0-46.53%
1-43.98%
2-41.21%
3-40.25%
0-53.05%
1-51.86%
2-50.57%
3-50.11%

Correct Score - First Half

Rayo Vallecano
Atletico Madrid
Score012345
0
25.57%
27.66%
14.96%
5.40%
1.46%
0.32%
1
7.21%
7.80%
4.22%
1.52%
0.41%
0.09%
2
1.02%
1.10%
0.59%
0.21%
0.06%
0.01%
Rayo Vallecano
1-07.21%
2-01.02%
2-11.10%
Draw
0-025.57%
1-17.80%
2-20.59%
Atletico Madrid
0-127.66%
0-214.96%
1-24.22%
0-35.40%
1-31.52%
2-30.21%
0-41.46%
1-40.41%
0-50.32%