Valencia at Rayo Vallecano

Updated

Valencia

30.4%27.8%41.8%
Valencia WinDrawRayo Vallecano Win
1.05Projected Goals 1.29
1Final Score 0

Rayo Vallecano

Last 5 Games

Valencia
Money Line
T 1-1 vs Barcelona+475
L 0-1 at Getafe+205
L 1-2 at Girona+430
T 0-0 vs Celta Vigo+125
L 1-5 at Real Madrid+850
Rayo Vallecano
Money Line
L 0-1 at Osasuna+286
T 0-0 vs Celta Vigo+170
L 0-4 at Athletic Club+545
T 1-1 vs Barcelona+417
L 2-1 vs Girona+210

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.6%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Valencia+225+242+230+260+258+260+260+272.5
Rayo Vallecano+129+131+130+127+124+127+131+134.9
Draw+238+218+225+216+224+216+225+227.0
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Valencia+240-+250-+230+255+255+272.5
Rayo Vallecano+122-+125-+105+125+125+134.9
Draw+220-+210-+200+210+210+227.0

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Valencia: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Rayo Vallecano: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Valencia: 10.0%
Rayo Vallecano: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Valencia: 10.0%
Rayo Vallecano: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Valencia ML moved from +261 to +255
Rayo Vallecano ML moved from +134 to +127

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Valencia: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Rayo Vallecano: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Valencia: 10.0%
Rayo Vallecano: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Valencia: 0.0%
Rayo Vallecano: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Valencia ML moved from +255 to +228
Rayo Vallecano ML moved from +133 to +125

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½+110o2-139o2¼+105o2¼+100o2¼+103o2¼+100o2-139o2¼+109
Underu2½-130u2+117u2¼-125u2¼-120u2¼-119u2¼-120u2¼-119u2¼-109
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½+125o2-140o2-135-o2-130o2-135o2-130o2¼+109
Underu2½-145u2+120u2+115-u2+100u2+115u2+120u2¼-109

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u2½-145 to u2-110

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes47.2%
 
No52.8%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 09.59%
Exactly 226.36%
Exactly 412.07%
Exactly 62.21%
Exactly 80.22%
 
Exactly 122.49%
Exactly 320.59%
Exactly 55.66%
Exactly 70.74%
Exact Goals Scored - Valencia
Exactly 034.78%
Exactly 136.73%
Exactly 219.40%
Exactly 36.83%
Exactly 41.80%
Exactly 50.38%
Exact Goals Scored - Rayo Vallecano
Exactly 027.58%
Exactly 135.53%
Exactly 222.88%
Exactly 39.82%
Exactly 43.16%
Exactly 50.81%
Exactly 60.17%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 033.78%
Exactly 219.89%
Exactly 41.95%
 
Exactly 136.66%
Exactly 37.20%
Exactly 50.42%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Valencia
Exactly 061.32%
Exactly 129.99%
Exactly 27.33%
Exactly 31.20%
Exactly 40.15%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Rayo Vallecano
Exactly 055.08%
Exactly 132.85%
Exactly 29.79%
Exactly 31.95%
Exactly 40.29%

Alternate Props

Spread

Valencia
Wins by 2+ goals11.58%
Wins by 3+ goals3.35%
Wins by 4+ goals0.74%
Wins by 5+ goals0.11%
Rayo Vallecano
Wins by 2+ goals18.82%
Wins by 3+ goals6.59%
Wins by 4+ goals1.84%
Wins by 5+ goals0.41%

Exact Winning Margin

Valencia
Rayo Vallecano
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Valencia
Wins by 1 goal18.78%
Wins by 2 goals8.23%
Wins by 3 goals2.61%
Wins by 4 goals0.63%
Wins by 5 goals0.11%
Rayo Vallecano
Wins by 1 goal22.89%
Wins by 2 goals12.24%
Wins by 3 goals4.75%
Wins by 4 goals1.43%
Wins by 5 goals0.35%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.590.41%9.59%
1.567.92%32.08%
2.541.56%58.44%
3.520.97%79.03%
4.58.90%91.10%
5.53.24%96.76%
6.51.03%98.97%

Total Goals Valencia Over/Under

OverUnder
0.565.22%34.78%
1.528.49%71.51%
2.59.09%90.91%
3.52.26%97.74%

Total Goals Rayo Vallecano Over/Under

OverUnder
0.572.42%27.58%
1.536.89%63.11%
2.514.01%85.99%
3.54.19%95.81%
4.51.03%98.97%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.566.22%33.78%
1.529.56%70.44%
2.59.66%90.34%
3.52.47%97.53%

Score Props

Correct Score

Valencia
Rayo Vallecano
Score012345
0
9.59%
12.36%
7.96%
3.42%
1.10%
0.28%
1
10.13%
13.05%
8.40%
3.61%
1.16%
0.30%
2
5.35%
6.89%
4.44%
1.91%
0.61%
0.16%
3
1.88%
2.43%
1.56%
0.67%
0.22%
0.06%
4
0.50%
0.64%
0.41%
0.18%
0.06%
0.01%
5
0.11%
0.14%
0.09%
0.04%
0.01%
0.00%
Valencia
1-010.13%
2-05.35%
2-16.89%
3-01.88%
3-12.43%
3-21.56%
4-00.50%
4-10.64%
4-20.41%
4-30.18%
5-00.11%
5-10.14%
Draw
0-09.59%
1-113.05%
2-24.44%
3-30.67%
Rayo Vallecano
0-112.36%
0-27.96%
1-28.40%
0-33.42%
1-33.61%
2-31.91%
0-41.10%
1-41.16%
2-40.61%
3-40.22%
0-50.28%
1-50.30%
2-50.16%

Correct Score - First Half

Valencia
Rayo Vallecano
Score01234
0
33.78%
20.14%
6.01%
1.19%
0.18%
1
16.52%
9.85%
2.94%
0.58%
0.09%
2
4.04%
2.41%
0.72%
0.14%
0.02%
3
0.66%
0.39%
0.12%
0.02%
0.00%
Valencia
1-016.52%
2-04.04%
2-12.41%
3-00.66%
3-10.39%
3-20.12%
Draw
0-033.78%
1-19.85%
2-20.72%
Rayo Vallecano
0-120.14%
0-26.01%
1-22.94%
0-31.19%
1-30.58%
2-30.14%
0-40.18%