Almeria at Valencia

Updated

Almeria

15.6%21.0%63.4%
WinDrawValencia Win
0.86Projected Goals 1.98
1Final Score 2

Valencia

Last 5 Games

Almeria
Money Line
L 3-0 vs Alaves+179
L 2-3 at Real Madrid+2000
T 0-0 vs Girona+315
L 0-1 at Osasuna+400
L 2-3 at Barcelona+1450
Valencia
Money Line
L 0-2 at Atletico Madrid+545
W 0-1 vs Athletic Club+250
W 4-1 at Cadiz+170
W 1-3 vs Villarreal+117
W 1-0 at Rayo Vallecano+255

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.2%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Almeria+428+430+400+435+415+435+435+453.6
Valencia-148-144-140-140-141-140-140-129.2
Draw+293+284+275+278+276+278+284+291.2
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Almeria+420-+430-+395+410+430+453.6
Valencia-155--145--185-145-145-129.2
Draw+288-+267-+260+280+280+291.2

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Almeria: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Valencia: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Almeria: 0.0%
Valencia: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Almeria: 0.0%
Valencia: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Almeria ML moved from +421 to +415
Valencia ML moved from -136 to -142

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Almeria: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Valencia: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Almeria: 0.0%
Valencia: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Almeria: 0.0%
Valencia: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Almeria ML moved from +420 to +410
No Steam Moves On Valencia ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-113o2½+100o2½+102o2½+103o2½+103o2½+103o2½+103o2½+112
Underu2½-103u2½-118u2½-122u2½-123u2½-119u2½-123u2½-118u2½-112
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-102o2½+100o2½-102-o2½-105o2½+105o2½+105o2½+112
Underu2½-118u2½-120u2½-118-u2½-125u2½-125u2½-118u2½-112

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o2¼-115 to o2½+102
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes49.7%
 
No50.3%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 05.86%
Exactly 223.58%
Exactly 415.82%
Exactly 64.24%
Exactly 80.61%
 
Exactly 116.63%
Exactly 322.30%
Exactly 58.97%
Exactly 71.72%
Exactly 90.19%
Exact Goals Scored - Almeria
Exactly 042.26%
Exactly 136.40%
Exactly 215.68%
Exactly 34.50%
Exactly 40.97%
Exactly 50.17%
Exact Goals Scored - Valencia
Exactly 013.87%
Exactly 127.40%
Exactly 227.06%
Exactly 317.82%
Exactly 48.80%
Exactly 53.48%
Exactly 61.14%
Exactly 70.32%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 026.89%
Exactly 223.19%
Exactly 43.33%
Exactly 60.19%
 
Exactly 135.32%
Exactly 310.15%
Exactly 50.88%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Almeria
Exactly 067.11%
Exactly 126.76%
Exactly 25.34%
Exactly 30.71%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Valencia
Exactly 040.07%
Exactly 136.65%
Exactly 216.76%
Exactly 35.11%
Exactly 41.17%
Exactly 50.21%

Alternate Props

Spread

Almeria
Wins by 2+ goals4.84%
Wins by 3+ goals1.14%
Wins by 4+ goals0.20%
Valencia
Wins by 2+ goals38.66%
Wins by 3+ goals19.19%
Wins by 4+ goals7.85%
Wins by 5+ goals2.68%
Wins by 6+ goals0.74%
Wins by 7+ goals0.14%

Exact Winning Margin

Almeria
Valencia
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
Almeria
Wins by 1 goal10.75%
Wins by 2 goals3.70%
Wins by 3 goals0.93%
Wins by 4 goals0.18%
Valencia
Wins by 1 goal24.65%
Wins by 2 goals19.47%
Wins by 3 goals11.33%
Wins by 4 goals5.18%
Wins by 5 goals1.94%
Wins by 6 goals0.60%
Wins by 7 goals0.14%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.594.14%5.86%
1.577.51%22.49%
2.553.93%46.07%
3.531.63%68.37%
4.515.81%84.19%
5.56.84%93.16%
6.52.59%97.41%

Total Goals Almeria Over/Under

OverUnder
0.557.74%42.26%
1.521.34%78.66%
2.55.66%94.34%
3.51.16%98.84%

Total Goals Valencia Over/Under

OverUnder
0.586.13%13.87%
1.558.73%41.27%
2.531.67%68.33%
3.513.85%86.15%
4.55.05%94.95%
5.51.57%98.43%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.573.11%26.89%
1.537.79%62.21%
2.514.60%85.40%
3.54.45%95.55%
4.51.11%98.89%

Score Props

Correct Score

Almeria
Valencia
Score012345
0
5.86%
11.58%
11.44%
7.53%
3.72%
1.47%
1
5.05%
9.97%
9.85%
6.49%
3.20%
1.27%
2
2.17%
4.29%
4.24%
2.79%
1.38%
0.55%
3
0.62%
1.23%
1.22%
0.80%
0.40%
0.16%
4
0.13%
0.27%
0.26%
0.17%
0.09%
0.03%
Almeria
1-05.05%
2-02.17%
2-14.29%
3-00.62%
3-11.23%
3-21.22%
4-00.13%
4-10.27%
4-20.26%
4-30.17%
Draw
0-05.86%
1-19.97%
2-24.24%
3-30.80%
Valencia
0-111.58%
0-211.44%
1-29.85%
0-37.53%
1-36.49%
2-32.79%
0-43.72%
1-43.20%
2-41.38%
3-40.40%
0-51.47%
1-51.27%
2-50.55%
3-50.16%

Correct Score - First Half

Almeria
Valencia
Score012345
0
26.89%
24.59%
11.25%
3.43%
0.78%
0.14%
1
10.72%
9.81%
4.49%
1.37%
0.31%
0.06%
2
2.14%
1.96%
0.89%
0.27%
0.06%
0.01%
3
0.28%
0.26%
0.12%
0.04%
0.01%
0.00%
Almeria
1-010.72%
2-02.14%
2-11.96%
3-00.28%
3-10.26%
3-20.12%
Draw
0-026.89%
1-19.81%
2-20.89%
Valencia
0-124.59%
0-211.25%
1-24.49%
0-33.43%
1-31.37%
2-30.27%
0-40.78%
1-40.31%
0-50.14%