Villarreal at Valencia

Updated

Villarreal

35.8%27.7%36.5%
Villarreal WinDrawValencia Win
1.19Projected Goals 1.20
1Final Score 3

Valencia

Last 5 Games

Villarreal
Money Line
W 2-3 vs Celta Vigo+140
L 1-4 at Real Madrid+1400
L 3-0 vs Real Sociedad+240
T 1-1 at Sevilla+275
W 1-3 vs Osasuna+125
Valencia
Money Line
W 1-0 at Rayo Vallecano+255
T 1-1 vs Barcelona+475
L 0-1 at Getafe+205
L 1-2 at Girona+430
T 0-0 vs Celta Vigo+125

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.3%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Villarreal+205+240+235+246+246+246+246+258.4
Valencia+133+121+115+120+120+120+121+127.9
Draw+260+241+245+242+242+242+245+254.3
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Villarreal+220-+240-+235+245+245+258.4
Valencia+122-+117--105+115+117+127.9
Draw+239-+235-+215+240+240+254.3

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Villarreal: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Valencia: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Villarreal: 30.0%
Valencia: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Villarreal: 0.0%
Valencia: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Villarreal ML moved from +248 to +240
Valencia ML moved from +119 to +110

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Villarreal: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Valencia: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Villarreal: 30.0%
Valencia: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Villarreal: 0.0%
Valencia: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Villarreal ML moved from +255 to +240
Valencia ML moved from +105 to -105

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.4%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-120o2½-103o2½+102o2½-103o2½-103o2½-103o2½+102o2½+106
Underu2½+100u2½-115u2½-122u2½-117u2½-117u2½-117u2½-115u2½-106
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-108o2½-105o2½+100-o2½-110o2½+100o2½+100o2½+106
Underu2½-112u2½-115u2½-120-u2½-120u2½-120u2½-115u2½-106

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes48.6%
 
No51.4%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 09.15%
Exactly 226.17%
Exactly 412.47%
Exactly 62.38%
Exactly 80.24%
 
Exactly 121.89%
Exactly 320.85%
Exactly 55.96%
Exactly 70.81%
Exact Goals Scored - Villarreal
Exactly 030.48%
Exactly 136.21%
Exactly 221.51%
Exactly 38.52%
Exactly 42.53%
Exactly 50.60%
Exactly 60.12%
Exact Goals Scored - Valencia
Exactly 030.03%
Exactly 136.12%
Exactly 221.73%
Exactly 38.71%
Exactly 42.62%
Exactly 50.63%
Exactly 60.13%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 033.05%
Exactly 220.25%
Exactly 42.07%
 
Exactly 136.59%
Exactly 37.47%
Exactly 50.46%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Villarreal
Exactly 057.69%
Exactly 131.73%
Exactly 28.73%
Exactly 31.60%
Exactly 40.22%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Valencia
Exactly 057.29%
Exactly 131.91%
Exactly 28.89%
Exactly 31.65%
Exactly 40.23%

Alternate Props

Spread

Villarreal
Wins by 2+ goals15.02%
Wins by 3+ goals4.87%
Wins by 4+ goals1.26%
Wins by 5+ goals0.26%
Valencia
Wins by 2+ goals15.48%
Wins by 3+ goals5.08%
Wins by 4+ goals1.33%
Wins by 5+ goals0.28%

Exact Winning Margin

Villarreal
Valencia
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Villarreal
Wins by 1 goal20.73%
Wins by 2 goals10.14%
Wins by 3 goals3.61%
Wins by 4 goals1.00%
Wins by 5 goals0.22%
Valencia
Wins by 1 goal21.00%
Wins by 2 goals10.40%
Wins by 3 goals3.75%
Wins by 4 goals1.05%
Wins by 5 goals0.24%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.590.85%9.15%
1.568.96%31.04%
2.542.80%57.20%
3.521.94%78.06%
4.59.47%90.53%
5.53.51%96.49%
6.51.14%98.86%

Total Goals Villarreal Over/Under

OverUnder
0.569.52%30.48%
1.533.30%66.70%
2.511.79%88.21%
3.53.27%96.73%

Total Goals Valencia Over/Under

OverUnder
0.569.97%30.03%
1.533.85%66.15%
2.512.12%87.88%
3.53.40%96.60%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.566.95%33.05%
1.530.36%69.64%
2.510.10%89.90%
3.52.63%97.37%

Score Props

Correct Score

Villarreal
Valencia
Score012345
0
9.15%
11.01%
6.62%
2.66%
0.80%
0.19%
1
10.87%
13.08%
7.87%
3.16%
0.95%
0.23%
2
6.46%
7.77%
4.67%
1.87%
0.56%
0.14%
3
2.56%
3.08%
1.85%
0.74%
0.22%
0.05%
4
0.76%
0.91%
0.55%
0.22%
0.07%
0.02%
5
0.18%
0.22%
0.13%
0.05%
0.02%
0.00%
Villarreal
1-010.87%
2-06.46%
2-17.77%
3-02.56%
3-13.08%
3-21.85%
4-00.76%
4-10.91%
4-20.55%
4-30.22%
5-00.18%
5-10.22%
5-20.13%
Draw
0-09.15%
1-113.08%
2-24.67%
3-30.74%
Valencia
0-111.01%
0-26.62%
1-27.87%
0-32.66%
1-33.16%
2-31.87%
0-40.80%
1-40.95%
2-40.56%
3-40.22%
0-50.19%
1-50.23%
2-50.14%

Correct Score - First Half

Villarreal
Valencia
Score01234
0
33.05%
18.41%
5.13%
0.95%
0.13%
1
18.18%
10.13%
2.82%
0.52%
0.07%
2
5.00%
2.79%
0.78%
0.14%
0.02%
3
0.92%
0.51%
0.14%
0.03%
0.00%
4
0.13%
0.07%
0.02%
0.00%
0.00%
Villarreal
1-018.18%
2-05.00%
2-12.79%
3-00.92%
3-10.51%
3-20.14%
4-00.13%
Draw
0-033.05%
1-110.13%
2-20.78%
Valencia
0-118.41%
0-25.13%
1-22.82%
0-30.95%
1-30.52%
2-30.14%
0-40.13%