Atletico Madrid at Alaves

Updated

Atletico Madrid

59.5%23.8%16.7%
Atletico Madrid WinDrawWin
1.69Projected Goals 0.77
0Final Score 2

Alaves

Last 5 Games

Atletico Madrid
Money Line
W 1-3 vs Girona+100
W 2-1 at Villarreal+120
L 3-0 vs Barcelona+130
L 0-2 at Cadiz-125
W 1-2 vs Betis-180
Alaves
Money Line
L 0-2 at Granada+190
L 1-0 vs Real Sociedad+290
L 0-2 at Athletic Club+570
W 0-1 vs Rayo Vallecano+118
L 0-1 at Osasuna+240

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Atletico Madrid+110-124-125-127-127-127-124-117.6
Alaves+276+400+370+440+423+440+440+459.1
Draw+235+249+250+244+252+244+252+256.2
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Atletico Madrid+100--125-120-140-125-120-117.6
Alaves+290-+405+325+350+410+410+459.1
Draw+240-+234+225+210+235+235+256.2

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Atletico Madrid: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Alaves: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Atletico Madrid: 10.0%
Alaves: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Atletico Madrid: 0.0%
Alaves: 10.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Atletico Madrid ML moved from +101 to -103
Alaves ML moved from +360 to +350

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Atletico Madrid: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Alaves: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Atletico Madrid: 20.0%
Alaves: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Atletico Madrid: 0.0%
Alaves: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Atletico Madrid ML moved from -115 to -125
Alaves ML moved from +300 to +290

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.7%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½+117o2-142o2¼+100o2¼+103o2¼+104o2¼+103o2¼+104o2¼+112
Underu2½-139u2+120u2¼-120u2¼-123u2¼-120u2¼-123u2¼-120u2¼-112
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2-145o2-145o2-140o2-140o2-150o2-140o2-140o2¼+112
Underu2+125u2+125u2+120u2+120u2+120u2+120u2+125u2¼-112

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes43.7%
 
No56.3%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 08.54%
Exactly 225.85%
Exactly 413.04%
Exactly 62.63%
Exactly 80.28%
 
Exactly 121.02%
Exactly 321.20%
Exactly 56.41%
Exactly 70.92%
Exact Goals Scored - Atletico Madrid
Exactly 018.40%
Exactly 131.15%
Exactly 226.36%
Exactly 314.88%
Exactly 46.30%
Exactly 52.13%
Exactly 60.60%
Exactly 70.15%
Exact Goals Scored - Alaves
Exactly 046.43%
Exactly 135.62%
Exactly 213.66%
Exactly 33.49%
Exactly 40.67%
Exactly 50.10%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 032.02%
Exactly 220.77%
Exactly 42.24%
 
Exactly 136.46%
Exactly 37.88%
Exactly 50.51%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Atletico Madrid
Exactly 045.67%
Exactly 135.79%
Exactly 214.03%
Exactly 33.66%
Exactly 40.72%
Exactly 50.11%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Alaves
Exactly 070.10%
Exactly 124.90%
Exactly 24.42%
Exactly 30.52%

Alternate Props

Spread

Atletico Madrid
Wins by 2+ goals33.34%
Wins by 3+ goals14.86%
Wins by 4+ goals5.39%
Wins by 5+ goals1.62%
Alaves
Wins by 2+ goals4.85%
Wins by 3+ goals1.05%
Wins by 4+ goals0.17%

Exact Winning Margin

Atletico Madrid
Alaves
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
Atletico Madrid
Wins by 1 goal26.12%
Wins by 2 goals18.48%
Wins by 3 goals9.46%
Wins by 4 goals3.77%
Wins by 5 goals1.22%
Alaves
Wins by 1 goal11.84%
Wins by 2 goals3.79%
Wins by 3 goals0.88%
Wins by 4 goals0.16%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.591.46%8.54%
1.570.44%29.56%
2.544.59%55.41%
3.523.39%76.61%
4.510.35%89.65%
5.53.94%96.06%
6.51.31%98.69%

Total Goals Atletico Madrid Over/Under

OverUnder
0.581.60%18.40%
1.550.45%49.55%
2.524.09%75.91%
3.59.21%90.79%
4.52.92%97.08%

Total Goals Alaves Over/Under

OverUnder
0.553.57%46.43%
1.517.94%82.06%
2.54.28%95.72%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.567.98%32.02%
1.531.52%68.48%
2.510.75%89.25%
3.52.87%97.13%

Score Props

Correct Score

Atletico Madrid
Alaves
Score01234
0
8.54%
6.55%
2.51%
0.64%
0.12%
1
14.46%
11.10%
4.26%
1.09%
0.21%
2
12.24%
9.39%
3.60%
0.92%
0.18%
3
6.91%
5.30%
2.03%
0.52%
0.10%
4
2.92%
2.24%
0.86%
0.22%
0.04%
5
0.99%
0.76%
0.29%
0.07%
0.01%
Atletico Madrid
1-014.46%
2-012.24%
2-19.39%
3-06.91%
3-15.30%
3-22.03%
4-02.92%
4-12.24%
4-20.86%
4-30.22%
5-00.99%
5-10.76%
5-20.29%
Draw
0-08.54%
1-111.10%
2-23.60%
3-30.52%
Alaves
0-16.55%
0-22.51%
1-24.26%
0-30.64%
1-31.09%
2-30.92%
0-40.12%
1-40.21%
2-40.18%

Correct Score - First Half

Atletico Madrid
Alaves
Score0123
0
32.02%
11.37%
2.02%
0.24%
1
25.09%
8.91%
1.58%
0.19%
2
9.83%
3.49%
0.62%
0.07%
3
2.57%
0.91%
0.16%
0.02%
4
0.50%
0.18%
0.03%
0.00%
Atletico Madrid
1-025.09%
2-09.83%
2-13.49%
3-02.57%
3-10.91%
3-20.16%
4-00.50%
4-10.18%
Draw
0-032.02%
1-18.91%
2-20.62%
Alaves
0-111.37%
0-22.02%
1-21.58%
0-30.24%
1-30.19%