Alaves at Atletico Madrid

Updated

Alaves

5.6%13.2%81.2%
WinDrawAtletico Madrid Win
0.53Projected Goals 2.54
1Final Score 4

Atletico Madrid

Last 5 Games

Alaves
Money Line
L 3-2 vs Granada+105
L 0-1 at Real Sociedad+540
T 0-0 vs Sevilla+380
T 2-2 at Getafe+390
L 0-3 at Real Madrid+1400
Atletico Madrid
Money Line
W 1-0 at Rayo Vallecano+105
W 1-2 vs Cadiz-275
W 3-1 at Betis+120
W 0-2 vs Celta Vigo-155
W 3-0 at Osasuna+120

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.7%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Alaves+850+725+925+904+881+925+925+917.6
Atletico Madrid-280-260-270-255-300-270-250-234.5
Draw+380+370+380+385+380+380+385+398.3
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Alaves+800---+730+850+850+917.6
Atletico Madrid-275----310-275-275-234.5
Draw+380---+300+375+375+398.3

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Alaves: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Atletico Madrid: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Alaves: 0.0%
Atletico Madrid: 40.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Alaves: 10.0%
Atletico Madrid: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Alaves ML moved from +868 to +858
Atletico Madrid ML moved from -260 to -270

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Alaves: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Atletico Madrid: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Alaves: 0.0%
Atletico Madrid: 40.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Alaves: 0.0%
Atletico Madrid: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Alaves ML moved from +875 to +800
Atletico Madrid ML moved from -275 to -300

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.0%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-109o2¼-125o2¼-125o2½+111-o2¼-125o2¼-125o2½+114
Underu2½-111u2¼+105u2¼+105u2½-126-u2¼+105u2½-126u2½-114
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-105o2½+110--o2½-110o2½+115o2½+115o2½+114
Underu2½-115u2½-130--u2½-120u2½-135u2½-120u2½-114

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u2½-120 to u2¼-105

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes37.4%
 
No62.6%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 04.66%
Exactly 221.91%
Exactly 417.16%
Exactly 65.38%
Exactly 80.90%
 
Exactly 114.29%
Exactly 322.39%
Exactly 510.52%
Exactly 72.36%
Exactly 90.31%
Exact Goals Scored - Alaves
Exactly 059.37%
Exactly 130.95%
Exactly 28.07%
Exactly 31.40%
Exactly 40.18%
Exact Goals Scored - Atletico Madrid
Exactly 07.85%
Exactly 119.97%
Exactly 225.41%
Exactly 321.56%
Exactly 413.72%
Exactly 56.98%
Exactly 62.96%
Exactly 71.08%
Exactly 80.34%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 024.18%
Exactly 224.37%
Exactly 44.09%
Exactly 60.27%
 
Exactly 134.33%
Exactly 311.53%
Exactly 51.16%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Alaves
Exactly 078.55%
Exactly 118.96%
Exactly 22.29%
Exactly 30.18%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Atletico Madrid
Exactly 030.78%
Exactly 136.27%
Exactly 221.37%
Exactly 38.39%
Exactly 42.47%
Exactly 50.58%
Exactly 60.11%

Alternate Props

Spread

Alaves
Wins by 2+ goals1.12%
Wins by 3+ goals0.16%
Atletico Madrid
Wins by 2+ goals59.40%
Wins by 3+ goals36.43%
Wins by 4+ goals18.78%
Wins by 5+ goals8.22%
Wins by 6+ goals3.07%
Wins by 7+ goals0.95%
Wins by 8+ goals0.20%

Exact Winning Margin

Alaves
Atletico Madrid
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Alaves
Wins by 1 goal4.44%
Wins by 2 goals0.96%
Wins by 3 goals0.15%
Atletico Madrid
Wins by 1 goal21.67%
Wins by 2 goals22.97%
Wins by 3 goals17.65%
Wins by 4 goals10.56%
Wins by 5 goals5.15%
Wins by 6 goals2.12%
Wins by 7 goals0.75%
Wins by 8 goals0.20%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.595.34%4.66%
1.581.05%18.95%
2.559.15%40.85%
3.536.76%63.24%
4.519.60%80.40%
5.59.07%90.93%
6.53.70%96.30%
7.51.34%98.66%

Total Goals Alaves Over/Under

OverUnder
0.540.63%59.37%
1.59.67%90.33%
2.51.61%98.39%

Total Goals Atletico Madrid Over/Under

OverUnder
0.592.15%7.85%
1.572.18%27.82%
2.546.76%53.24%
3.525.20%74.80%
4.511.49%88.51%
5.54.51%95.49%
6.51.55%98.45%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.575.82%24.18%
1.541.49%58.51%
2.517.13%82.87%
3.55.60%94.40%
4.51.50%98.50%

Score Props

Correct Score

Alaves
Atletico Madrid
Score012345
0
4.66%
11.86%
15.09%
12.80%
8.14%
4.14%
1
2.43%
6.18%
7.87%
6.67%
4.25%
2.16%
2
0.63%
1.61%
2.05%
1.74%
1.11%
0.56%
3
0.11%
0.28%
0.36%
0.30%
0.19%
0.10%
Alaves
1-02.43%
2-00.63%
2-11.61%
3-00.11%
3-10.28%
3-20.36%
Draw
0-04.66%
1-16.18%
2-22.05%
3-30.30%
Atletico Madrid
0-111.86%
0-215.09%
1-27.87%
0-312.80%
1-36.67%
2-31.74%
0-48.14%
1-44.25%
2-41.11%
3-40.19%
0-54.14%
1-52.16%
2-50.56%

Correct Score - First Half

Alaves
Atletico Madrid
Score012345
0
24.18%
28.49%
16.78%
6.59%
1.94%
0.46%
1
5.84%
6.88%
4.05%
1.59%
0.47%
0.11%
2
0.70%
0.83%
0.49%
0.19%
0.06%
0.01%
Alaves
1-05.84%
2-00.70%
2-10.83%
Draw
0-024.18%
1-16.88%
2-20.49%
Atletico Madrid
0-128.49%
0-216.78%
1-24.05%
0-36.59%
1-31.59%
2-30.19%
0-41.94%
1-40.47%
0-50.46%
1-50.11%