Real Madrid at Celta Vigo

Updated

Real Madrid

60.2%22.4%17.5%
Real Madrid WinDrawWin
1.84Projected Goals 0.88
2Final Score 1

Celta Vigo

Last 5 Games

Real Madrid
Money Line
L 4-0 vs Barcelona+120
W 3-0 at Mallorca-180
W 1-4 vs Real Sociedad-190
W 1-0 at Rayo Vallecano-180
W 0-3 vs Alaves-500
Celta Vigo
Money Line
T 0-0 vs Betis+110
L 0-1 at Villarreal+460
W 3-4 vs Mallorca-115
L 0-2 at Atletico Madrid+505
T 1-1 vs Levante-150

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.9%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Real Madrid-108-120-120-117-127-120-117-111.4
Celta Vigo+277+320+350+359+331+350+359+365.7
Draw+264+280+275+278+271+275+280+287.2
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Real Madrid-105----125-130-125-111.4
Celta Vigo+285---+265+350+350+365.7
Draw+255---+235+280+280+287.2

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Real Madrid: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Celta Vigo: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Real Madrid: 20.0%
Celta Vigo: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Real Madrid: 0.0%
Celta Vigo: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Real Madrid ML moved from -121 to -127
Celta Vigo ML moved from +312 to +306

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Real Madrid: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Celta Vigo: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Real Madrid: 20.0%
Celta Vigo: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Real Madrid: 0.0%
Celta Vigo: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Real Madrid ML moved from -110 to -130
No Steam Moves On Celta Vigo ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.4%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-112o2½-120o2½-115o2½-115-o2½-115o2½-115o2½-109
Underu2½-108u2½+100u2½-105u2½+100-u2½-105u2½+100u2½+109
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-115o2½-115--o2½-115o2½-120o2½-115o2½-109
Underu2½-105u2½-105--u2½-115u2½+100u2½+100u2½+109

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes49.2%
 
No50.8%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 06.57%
Exactly 224.35%
Exactly 415.05%
Exactly 63.72%
Exactly 80.49%
 
Exactly 117.88%
Exactly 322.10%
Exactly 58.19%
Exactly 71.45%
Exactly 90.15%
Exact Goals Scored - Real Madrid
Exactly 015.81%
Exactly 129.16%
Exactly 226.90%
Exactly 316.54%
Exactly 47.63%
Exactly 52.81%
Exactly 60.86%
Exactly 70.23%
Exact Goals Scored - Celta Vigo
Exactly 041.54%
Exactly 136.49%
Exactly 216.03%
Exactly 34.69%
Exactly 41.03%
Exactly 50.18%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 028.34%
Exactly 222.53%
Exactly 42.98%
Exactly 60.16%
 
Exactly 135.73%
Exactly 39.47%
Exactly 50.75%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Real Madrid
Exactly 042.57%
Exactly 136.36%
Exactly 215.52%
Exactly 34.42%
Exactly 40.94%
Exactly 50.16%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Celta Vigo
Exactly 066.58%
Exactly 127.08%
Exactly 25.51%
Exactly 30.75%

Alternate Props

Spread

Real Madrid
Wins by 2+ goals35.12%
Wins by 3+ goals16.55%
Wins by 4+ goals6.40%
Wins by 5+ goals2.06%
Celta Vigo
Wins by 2+ goals5.55%
Wins by 3+ goals1.34%
Wins by 4+ goals0.24%

Exact Winning Margin

Real Madrid
Celta Vigo
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
Real Madrid
Wins by 1 goal24.97%
Wins by 2 goals18.57%
Wins by 3 goals10.15%
Wins by 4 goals4.34%
Wins by 5 goals1.52%
Celta Vigo
Wins by 1 goal11.89%
Wins by 2 goals4.21%
Wins by 3 goals1.09%
Wins by 4 goals0.22%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.593.43%6.57%
1.575.55%24.45%
2.551.20%48.80%
3.529.10%70.90%
4.514.05%85.95%
5.55.86%94.14%
6.52.14%97.86%

Total Goals Real Madrid Over/Under

OverUnder
0.584.19%15.81%
1.555.03%44.97%
2.528.13%71.87%
3.511.60%88.40%
4.53.97%96.03%
5.51.16%98.84%

Total Goals Celta Vigo Over/Under

OverUnder
0.558.46%41.54%
1.521.96%78.04%
2.55.93%94.07%
3.51.24%98.76%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.571.66%28.34%
1.535.92%64.08%
2.513.39%86.61%
3.53.93%96.07%

Score Props

Correct Score

Real Madrid
Celta Vigo
Score01234
0
6.57%
5.77%
2.53%
0.74%
0.16%
1
12.11%
10.64%
4.67%
1.37%
0.30%
2
11.17%
9.81%
4.31%
1.26%
0.28%
3
6.87%
6.03%
2.65%
0.78%
0.17%
4
3.17%
2.78%
1.22%
0.36%
0.08%
5
1.17%
1.03%
0.45%
0.13%
0.03%
Real Madrid
1-012.11%
2-011.17%
2-19.81%
3-06.87%
3-16.03%
3-22.65%
4-03.17%
4-12.78%
4-21.22%
4-30.36%
5-01.17%
5-11.03%
5-20.45%
5-30.13%
Draw
0-06.57%
1-110.64%
2-24.31%
3-30.78%
Celta Vigo
0-15.77%
0-22.53%
1-24.67%
0-30.74%
1-31.37%
2-31.26%
0-40.16%
1-40.30%
2-40.28%
3-40.17%

Correct Score - First Half

Real Madrid
Celta Vigo
Score0123
0
28.34%
11.53%
2.34%
0.32%
1
24.21%
9.85%
2.00%
0.27%
2
10.34%
4.20%
0.85%
0.12%
3
2.94%
1.20%
0.24%
0.03%
4
0.63%
0.26%
0.05%
0.01%
5
0.11%
0.04%
0.01%
0.00%
Real Madrid
1-024.21%
2-010.34%
2-14.20%
3-02.94%
3-11.20%
3-20.24%
4-00.63%
4-10.26%
5-00.11%
Draw
0-028.34%
1-19.85%
2-20.85%
Celta Vigo
0-111.53%
0-22.34%
1-22.00%
0-30.32%
1-30.27%
2-30.12%