Alaves at Real Madrid

Updated

Alaves

4.8%11.5%83.7%
WinDrawReal Madrid Win
0.54Projected Goals 2.76
2Final Score 3

Real Madrid

Last 5 Games

Alaves
Money Line
W 1-2 vs Sevilla+115
L 2-3 at Espanyol+165
W 0-2 vs Las Palmas-130
W 2-1 at Real Sociedad+577
T 0-0 vs Betis+140
Real Madrid
Money Line
W 1-4 vs Espanyol-915
W 2-0 at Real Sociedad-125
W 0-2 vs Betis-400
T 1-1 at Las Palmas-315
W 0-3 vs Valladolid-835

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.1%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.4%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Alaves+1100+1535+1500+1800+1439+1800+1800+1866.1
Real Madrid-460-577-625-600-541-600-541-482.5
Draw+550+691+675+700+645+700+700+727.8
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Alaves+1195-+1350--+1600+1600+1866.1
Real Madrid-515--575---650-575-482.5
Draw+600-+625--+700+700+727.8

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Alaves: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Real Madrid: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Alaves: 0.0%
Real Madrid: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Alaves: 30.0%
Real Madrid: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Alaves ML moved from +1617 to +1535
Real Madrid ML moved from -591 to -597

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Alaves: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Real Madrid: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Alaves: 0.0%
Real Madrid: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Alaves: 10.0%
Real Madrid: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Alaves ML moved from +1600 to +1400
Real Madrid ML moved from -575 to -650

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
-0.2%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3-112o3-141o3¼-105o3¼-105o3¼-101o3¼-105o3¼-101o3¼+104
Underu3-108u3+120u3¼-115u3¼-115u3¼-113u3¼-115u3+120u3¼-104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3-115o3½+115o3-130-o3½+110o3-145o3-130o3¼+104
Underu3-105u3½-135u3+110-u3½-140u3+125u3½-135u3¼-104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o3-118 to o3¼-108
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o3-125 to o3-145
The Under moved from u3½-135 to u3+105

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes38.6%
 
No61.4%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 03.71%
Exactly 220.12%
Exactly 418.21%
Exactly 66.59%
Exactly 81.28%
Exactly 100.15%
 
Exactly 112.21%
Exactly 322.10%
Exactly 512.00%
Exactly 73.10%
Exactly 90.47%
Exact Goals Scored - Alaves
Exactly 058.76%
Exactly 131.25%
Exactly 28.31%
Exactly 31.47%
Exactly 40.20%
Exact Goals Scored - Real Madrid
Exactly 06.31%
Exactly 117.43%
Exactly 224.08%
Exactly 322.18%
Exactly 415.33%
Exactly 58.47%
Exactly 63.90%
Exactly 71.54%
Exactly 80.53%
Exactly 90.16%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 021.75%
Exactly 225.31%
Exactly 44.91%
Exactly 60.38%
 
Exactly 133.18%
Exactly 312.87%
Exactly 51.50%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Alaves
Exactly 078.18%
Exactly 119.25%
Exactly 22.37%
Exactly 30.19%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Real Madrid
Exactly 027.82%
Exactly 135.59%
Exactly 222.77%
Exactly 39.71%
Exactly 43.11%
Exactly 50.79%
Exactly 60.17%

Alternate Props

Spread

Alaves
Wins by 2+ goals0.97%
Real Madrid
Wins by 2+ goals63.77%
Wins by 3+ goals41.28%
Wins by 4+ goals22.70%
Wins by 5+ goals10.70%
Wins by 6+ goals4.36%
Wins by 7+ goals1.54%
Wins by 8+ goals0.46%

Exact Winning Margin

Alaves
Real Madrid
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Alaves
Wins by 1 goal3.82%
Wins by 2 goals0.83%
Real Madrid
Wins by 1 goal19.85%
Wins by 2 goals22.49%
Wins by 3 goals18.59%
Wins by 4 goals12.00%
Wins by 5 goals6.33%
Wins by 6 goals2.82%
Wins by 7 goals1.08%
Wins by 8 goals0.36%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.596.29%3.71%
1.584.08%15.92%
2.563.96%36.04%
3.541.86%58.14%
4.523.65%76.35%
5.511.65%88.35%
6.55.06%94.94%
7.51.96%98.04%

Total Goals Alaves Over/Under

OverUnder
0.541.24%58.76%
1.510.00%90.00%
2.51.69%98.31%

Total Goals Real Madrid Over/Under

OverUnder
0.593.69%6.31%
1.576.26%23.74%
2.552.18%47.82%
3.529.99%70.01%
4.514.67%85.33%
5.56.20%93.80%
6.52.30%97.70%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.578.25%21.75%
1.545.07%54.93%
2.519.76%80.24%
3.56.89%93.11%
4.51.98%98.02%

Score Props

Correct Score

Alaves
Real Madrid
Score012345
0
3.71%
10.24%
14.15%
13.03%
9.01%
4.98%
1
1.97%
5.45%
7.53%
6.93%
4.79%
2.65%
2
0.52%
1.45%
2.00%
1.84%
1.27%
0.70%
Alaves
1-01.97%
2-00.52%
2-11.45%
Draw
0-03.71%
1-15.45%
2-22.00%
3-30.33%
Real Madrid
0-110.24%
0-214.15%
1-27.53%
0-313.03%
1-36.93%
2-31.84%
0-49.01%
1-44.79%
2-41.27%
3-40.23%
0-54.98%
1-52.65%
2-50.70%
3-50.12%

Correct Score - First Half

Alaves
Real Madrid
Score0123456
0
21.75%
27.82%
17.80%
7.59%
2.43%
0.62%
0.13%
1
5.35%
6.85%
4.38%
1.87%
0.60%
0.15%
0.03%
2
0.66%
0.84%
0.54%
0.23%
0.07%
0.02%
0.00%
Alaves
1-05.35%
2-00.66%
2-10.84%
Draw
0-021.75%
1-16.85%
2-20.54%
Real Madrid
0-127.82%
0-217.80%
1-24.38%
0-37.59%
1-31.87%
2-30.23%
0-42.43%
1-40.60%
0-50.62%
1-50.15%
0-60.13%