Real Madrid at Real Sociedad

Updated

Real Madrid

59.9%22.5%17.5%
Real Madrid WinDrawWin
1.83Projected Goals 0.87
2Final Score 0

Real Sociedad

Last 5 Games

Real Madrid
Money Line
W 0-2 vs Betis-400
T 1-1 at Las Palmas-315
W 0-3 vs Valladolid-835
T 1-1 at Mallorca-270
T 0-0 vs Betis-425
Real Sociedad
Money Line
T 0-0 at Getafe+181
L 2-1 vs Alaves-175
W 1-0 at Espanyol+115
L 2-1 vs Rayo Vallecano-135
L 2-0 vs Atletico Madrid+158

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.2%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Real Madrid-115-130-135-125-133-125-125-116.1
Real Sociedad+300+385+380+372+390+372+390+388.1
Draw+270+273+275+275+277+275+277+287.8
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Real Madrid-135--125--150-135-125-116.1
Real Sociedad+375-+348-+315+375+375+388.1
Draw+275-+265-+250+275+275+287.8

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Real Madrid: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Real Sociedad: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Real Madrid: 20.0%
Real Sociedad: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Real Madrid: 0.0%
Real Sociedad: 10.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Real Madrid ML moved from -120 to -127
Real Sociedad ML moved from +375 to +365

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Real Madrid: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Real Sociedad: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Real Madrid: 20.0%
Real Sociedad: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Real Madrid: 0.0%
Real Sociedad: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Real Madrid ML moved from -125 to -135
Real Sociedad ML moved from +358 to +348

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.3%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-105o2½-103o2½+102o2½+100o2½+100o2½+100o2½+102o2½+109
Underu2½-115u2½-114u2½-122u2½-120u2½-116u2½-120u2½-114u2½-109
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-105o2½+100o2½+100-o2½-105o2½+100o2½+100o2½+109
Underu2½-115u2½-120u2½-120-u2½-125u2½-120u2½-120u2½-109

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes48.9%
 
No51.1%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 06.70%
Exactly 224.48%
Exactly 414.91%
Exactly 63.63%
Exactly 80.47%
 
Exactly 118.11%
Exactly 322.05%
Exactly 58.06%
Exactly 71.40%
Exactly 90.14%
Exact Goals Scored - Real Madrid
Exactly 016.05%
Exactly 129.36%
Exactly 226.86%
Exactly 316.38%
Exactly 47.49%
Exactly 52.74%
Exactly 60.84%
Exactly 70.22%
Exact Goals Scored - Real Sociedad
Exactly 041.74%
Exactly 136.47%
Exactly 215.93%
Exactly 34.64%
Exactly 41.01%
Exactly 50.18%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 028.60%
Exactly 222.41%
Exactly 42.93%
Exactly 60.15%
 
Exactly 135.80%
Exactly 39.35%
Exactly 50.73%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Real Madrid
Exactly 042.86%
Exactly 136.31%
Exactly 215.38%
Exactly 34.34%
Exactly 40.92%
Exactly 50.16%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Real Sociedad
Exactly 066.73%
Exactly 126.99%
Exactly 25.46%
Exactly 30.74%

Alternate Props

Spread

Real Madrid
Wins by 2+ goals34.84%
Wins by 3+ goals16.32%
Wins by 4+ goals6.28%
Wins by 5+ goals2.00%
Real Sociedad
Wins by 2+ goals5.55%
Wins by 3+ goals1.33%
Wins by 4+ goals0.24%

Exact Winning Margin

Real Madrid
Real Sociedad
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
Real Madrid
Wins by 1 goal25.04%
Wins by 2 goals18.52%
Wins by 3 goals10.05%
Wins by 4 goals4.27%
Wins by 5 goals1.48%
Real Sociedad
Wins by 1 goal11.95%
Wins by 2 goals4.22%
Wins by 3 goals1.09%
Wins by 4 goals0.21%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.593.30%6.70%
1.575.19%24.81%
2.550.72%49.28%
3.528.66%71.34%
4.513.76%86.24%
5.55.70%94.30%
6.52.07%97.93%

Total Goals Real Madrid Over/Under

OverUnder
0.583.95%16.05%
1.554.59%45.41%
2.527.73%72.27%
3.511.35%88.65%
4.53.86%96.14%
5.51.12%98.88%

Total Goals Real Sociedad Over/Under

OverUnder
0.558.26%41.74%
1.521.79%78.21%
2.55.86%94.14%
3.51.22%98.78%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.571.40%28.60%
1.535.60%64.40%
2.513.19%86.81%
3.53.84%96.16%

Score Props

Correct Score

Real Madrid
Real Sociedad
Score01234
0
6.70%
5.85%
2.56%
0.74%
0.16%
1
12.26%
10.71%
4.68%
1.36%
0.30%
2
11.21%
9.80%
4.28%
1.25%
0.27%
3
6.84%
5.97%
2.61%
0.76%
0.17%
4
3.13%
2.73%
1.19%
0.35%
0.08%
5
1.14%
1.00%
0.44%
0.13%
0.03%
Real Madrid
1-012.26%
2-011.21%
2-19.80%
3-06.84%
3-15.97%
3-22.61%
4-03.13%
4-12.73%
4-21.19%
4-30.35%
5-01.14%
5-11.00%
5-20.44%
5-30.13%
Draw
0-06.70%
1-110.71%
2-24.28%
3-30.76%
Real Sociedad
0-15.85%
0-22.56%
1-24.68%
0-30.74%
1-31.36%
2-31.25%
0-40.16%
1-40.30%
2-40.27%
3-40.17%

Correct Score - First Half

Real Madrid
Real Sociedad
Score0123
0
28.60%
11.57%
2.34%
0.32%
1
24.23%
9.80%
1.98%
0.27%
2
10.26%
4.15%
0.84%
0.11%
3
2.90%
1.17%
0.24%
0.03%
4
0.61%
0.25%
0.05%
0.01%
5
0.10%
0.04%
0.01%
0.00%
Real Madrid
1-024.23%
2-010.26%
2-14.15%
3-02.90%
3-11.17%
3-20.24%
4-00.61%
4-10.25%
5-00.10%
Draw
0-028.60%
1-19.80%
2-20.84%
Real Sociedad
0-111.57%
0-22.34%
1-21.98%
0-30.32%
1-30.27%
2-30.11%