Rayo Vallecano at Real Sociedad

Updated

Rayo Vallecano

13.1%19.9%67.0%
WinDrawReal Sociedad Win
0.76Projected Goals 2.04
2Final Score 1

Real Sociedad

Last 5 Games

Rayo Vallecano
Money Line
L 1-0 vs Athletic Club+216
L 0-3 at Barcelona+810
W 1-2 vs Granada-190
T 0-0 at Valencia+265
L 1-0 vs Almeria-159
Real Sociedad
Money Line
L 2-0 vs Atletico Madrid+158
W 2-0 at Betis+145
W 0-1 vs Valencia-200
L 0-2 at Barcelona+405
W 0-2 vs Las Palmas-295

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.4%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Rayo Vallecano+593+445+420+483+477+483+483+503.2
Real Sociedad-172-126-130-132-135-132-126-122.2
Draw+281+235+245+240+248+240+248+251.8
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Rayo Vallecano+550-+437+450+510+475+510+503.2
Real Sociedad-165--135-150-200-145-135-122.2
Draw+265-+243+240+240+250+250+251.8

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Rayo Vallecano: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Real Sociedad: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Rayo Vallecano: 0.0%
Real Sociedad: 40.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Rayo Vallecano: 20.0%
Real Sociedad: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Rayo Vallecano ML moved from +440 to +420
Real Sociedad ML moved from -155 to -165

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Rayo Vallecano: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Real Sociedad: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Rayo Vallecano: 0.0%
Real Sociedad: 40.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Rayo Vallecano: 40.0%
Real Sociedad: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Rayo Vallecano ML moved from +525 to +450
Real Sociedad ML moved from -195 to -205

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2-137o2-110o2-108o2-104o2-102o2-104o2-102o2+105
Underu2+116u2-106u2-112u2-116u2-112u2-116u2-106u2-105
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2-130o2-115o2-113o2-125o2-125o2-120o2-113o2+105
Underu2+110u2-105u2-107u2+105u2-105u2+100u2+105u2-105

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes46.6%
 
No53.4%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 06.06%
Exactly 223.82%
Exactly 415.60%
Exactly 64.08%
Exactly 80.57%
 
Exactly 116.99%
Exactly 322.25%
Exactly 58.74%
Exactly 71.64%
Exactly 90.18%
Exact Goals Scored - Rayo Vallecano
Exactly 046.46%
Exactly 135.62%
Exactly 213.65%
Exactly 33.49%
Exactly 40.67%
Exactly 50.10%
Exact Goals Scored - Real Sociedad
Exactly 013.05%
Exactly 126.57%
Exactly 227.06%
Exactly 318.37%
Exactly 49.35%
Exactly 53.81%
Exactly 61.29%
Exactly 70.38%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 027.31%
Exactly 223.00%
Exactly 43.23%
Exactly 60.18%
 
Exactly 135.45%
Exactly 39.95%
Exactly 50.84%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Rayo Vallecano
Exactly 070.12%
Exactly 124.89%
Exactly 24.42%
Exactly 30.52%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Real Sociedad
Exactly 038.95%
Exactly 136.73%
Exactly 217.31%
Exactly 35.44%
Exactly 41.28%
Exactly 50.24%

Alternate Props

Spread

Rayo Vallecano
Wins by 2+ goals3.70%
Wins by 3+ goals0.79%
Real Sociedad
Wins by 2+ goals42.04%
Wins by 3+ goals21.51%
Wins by 4+ goals9.08%
Wins by 5+ goals3.19%
Wins by 6+ goals0.91%
Wins by 7+ goals0.17%

Exact Winning Margin

Rayo Vallecano
Real Sociedad
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
Rayo Vallecano
Wins by 1 goal9.35%
Wins by 2 goals2.91%
Wins by 3 goals0.66%
Real Sociedad
Wins by 1 goal24.84%
Wins by 2 goals20.53%
Wins by 3 goals12.43%
Wins by 4 goals5.89%
Wins by 5 goals2.28%
Wins by 6 goals0.73%
Wins by 7 goals0.17%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.593.94%6.06%
1.576.95%23.05%
2.553.13%46.87%
3.530.88%69.12%
4.515.28%84.72%
5.56.54%93.46%
6.52.45%97.55%

Total Goals Rayo Vallecano Over/Under

OverUnder
0.553.54%46.46%
1.517.93%82.07%
2.54.28%95.72%

Total Goals Real Sociedad Over/Under

OverUnder
0.586.95%13.05%
1.560.38%39.62%
2.533.32%66.68%
3.514.95%85.05%
4.55.60%94.40%
5.51.79%98.21%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.572.69%27.31%
1.537.24%62.76%
2.514.24%85.76%
3.54.29%95.71%
4.51.06%98.94%

Score Props

Correct Score

Rayo Vallecano
Real Sociedad
Score012345
0
6.06%
12.34%
12.57%
8.53%
4.34%
1.77%
1
4.65%
9.46%
9.64%
6.54%
3.33%
1.36%
2
1.78%
3.63%
3.69%
2.51%
1.28%
0.52%
3
0.46%
0.93%
0.94%
0.64%
0.33%
0.13%
Rayo Vallecano
1-04.65%
2-01.78%
2-13.63%
3-00.46%
3-10.93%
3-20.94%
Draw
0-06.06%
1-19.46%
2-23.69%
3-30.64%
Real Sociedad
0-112.34%
0-212.57%
1-29.64%
0-38.53%
1-36.54%
2-32.51%
0-44.34%
1-43.33%
2-41.28%
3-40.33%
0-51.77%
1-51.36%
2-50.52%
3-50.13%

Correct Score - First Half

Rayo Vallecano
Real Sociedad
Score012345
0
27.31%
25.75%
12.14%
3.82%
0.90%
0.17%
1
9.69%
9.14%
4.31%
1.35%
0.32%
0.06%
2
1.72%
1.62%
0.76%
0.24%
0.06%
0.01%
3
0.20%
0.19%
0.09%
0.03%
0.01%
0.00%
Rayo Vallecano
1-09.69%
2-01.72%
2-11.62%
3-00.20%
3-10.19%
Draw
0-027.31%
1-19.14%
2-20.76%
Real Sociedad
0-125.75%
0-212.14%
1-24.31%
0-33.82%
1-31.35%
2-30.24%
0-40.90%
1-40.32%
0-50.17%