Almeria at Rayo Vallecano

Updated

Almeria

22.9%25.2%51.9%
Almeria WinDrawRayo Vallecano Win
0.95Projected Goals 1.58
1Final Score 0

Rayo Vallecano

Last 5 Games

Almeria
Money Line
L 3-1 vs Getafe+170
L 2-1 vs Villarreal+250
T 2-2 at Real Sociedad+1129
L 3-0 vs Osasuna+160
W 1-0 at Las Palmas+375
Rayo Vallecano
Money Line
L 0-3 at Villarreal+346
W 1-2 vs Osasuna+115
T 0-0 vs Getafe+130
T 0-0 at Celta Vigo+340
W 0-2 vs Betis+159

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.7%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Almeria+467+444+440+480+469+480+480+500.5
Rayo Vallecano-162-150-160-152-154-152-150-139.6
Draw+307+290+300+285+295+285+300+298.6
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Almeria+500-+450+450+415+460+460+500.5
Rayo Vallecano-180--159-185-200-160-159-139.6
Draw+315-+290+280+280+290+290+298.6

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Almeria: 50.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Rayo Vallecano: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Almeria: 30.0%
Rayo Vallecano: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Almeria: 10.0%
Rayo Vallecano: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Almeria ML moved from +440 to +420
Rayo Vallecano ML moved from -168 to -180

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Almeria: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Rayo Vallecano: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Almeria: 30.0%
Rayo Vallecano: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Almeria: 0.0%
Rayo Vallecano: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Almeria ML moved from +465 to +450
Rayo Vallecano ML moved from -190 to -200

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.1%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.2%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-119o2½-103o2½-102o2½-102o2½+101o2½-102o2½+101o2½+107
Underu2½+101u2½-115u2½-118u2½-118u2½-117u2½-118u2½-115u2½-107
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-120o2½-110o2½+100o2½-115o2½-125o2½-115o2½+100o2½+107
Underu2½+100u2½-110u2½-120u2½-105u2½-105u2½-105u2½-105u2½-107

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u2¾-120 to u2½-110

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes48.9%
 
No51.1%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 07.93%
Exactly 225.47%
Exactly 413.64%
Exactly 62.92%
Exactly 80.34%
 
Exactly 120.10%
Exactly 321.52%
Exactly 56.91%
Exactly 71.06%
Exact Goals Scored - Almeria
Exactly 038.44%
Exactly 136.75%
Exactly 217.57%
Exactly 35.60%
Exactly 41.34%
Exactly 50.26%
Exact Goals Scored - Rayo Vallecano
Exactly 020.62%
Exactly 132.56%
Exactly 225.70%
Exactly 313.52%
Exactly 45.34%
Exactly 51.69%
Exactly 60.44%
Exactly 70.10%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 030.93%
Exactly 221.30%
Exactly 42.44%
Exactly 60.11%
 
Exactly 136.29%
Exactly 38.33%
Exactly 50.57%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Almeria
Exactly 064.23%
Exactly 128.43%
Exactly 26.29%
Exactly 30.93%
Exactly 40.10%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Rayo Vallecano
Exactly 048.15%
Exactly 135.19%
Exactly 212.86%
Exactly 33.13%
Exactly 40.57%

Alternate Props

Spread

Almeria
Wins by 2+ goals7.89%
Wins by 3+ goals2.07%
Wins by 4+ goals0.41%
Rayo Vallecano
Wins by 2+ goals27.20%
Wins by 3+ goals11.31%
Wins by 4+ goals3.83%
Wins by 5+ goals1.07%
Wins by 6+ goals0.25%

Exact Winning Margin

Almeria
Rayo Vallecano
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
Almeria
Wins by 1 goal14.93%
Wins by 2 goals5.82%
Wins by 3 goals1.66%
Wins by 4 goals0.36%
Rayo Vallecano
Wins by 1 goal24.66%
Wins by 2 goals15.89%
Wins by 3 goals7.48%
Wins by 4 goals2.75%
Wins by 5 goals0.83%
Wins by 6 goals0.21%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.592.07%7.93%
1.571.98%28.02%
2.546.51%53.49%
3.524.99%75.01%
4.511.35%88.65%
5.54.44%95.56%
6.51.52%98.48%

Total Goals Almeria Over/Under

OverUnder
0.561.56%38.44%
1.524.81%75.19%
2.57.24%92.76%
3.51.64%98.36%

Total Goals Rayo Vallecano Over/Under

OverUnder
0.579.38%20.62%
1.546.82%53.18%
2.521.11%78.89%
3.57.59%92.41%
4.52.25%97.75%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.569.07%30.93%
1.532.78%67.22%
2.511.48%88.52%
3.53.15%96.85%

Score Props

Correct Score

Almeria
Rayo Vallecano
Score012345
0
7.93%
12.52%
9.88%
5.20%
2.05%
0.65%
1
7.58%
11.97%
9.45%
4.97%
1.96%
0.62%
2
3.62%
5.72%
4.52%
2.38%
0.94%
0.30%
3
1.15%
1.82%
1.44%
0.76%
0.30%
0.09%
4
0.28%
0.44%
0.34%
0.18%
0.07%
0.02%
Almeria
1-07.58%
2-03.62%
2-15.72%
3-01.15%
3-11.82%
3-21.44%
4-00.28%
4-10.44%
4-20.34%
4-30.18%
Draw
0-07.93%
1-111.97%
2-24.52%
3-30.76%
Rayo Vallecano
0-112.52%
0-29.88%
1-29.45%
0-35.20%
1-34.97%
2-32.38%
0-42.05%
1-41.96%
2-40.94%
3-40.30%
0-50.65%
1-50.62%
2-50.30%

Correct Score - First Half

Almeria
Rayo Vallecano
Score01234
0
30.93%
22.60%
8.26%
2.01%
0.37%
1
13.69%
10.01%
3.66%
0.89%
0.16%
2
3.03%
2.21%
0.81%
0.20%
0.04%
3
0.45%
0.33%
0.12%
0.03%
0.01%
Almeria
1-013.69%
2-03.03%
2-12.21%
3-00.45%
3-10.33%
3-20.12%
Draw
0-030.93%
1-110.01%
2-20.81%
Rayo Vallecano
0-122.60%
0-28.26%
1-23.66%
0-32.01%
1-30.89%
2-30.20%
0-40.37%
1-40.16%