Alaves at Valencia

Updated

Alaves

17.1%23.0%60.0%
WinDrawValencia Win
0.82Projected Goals 1.78
1Final Score 0

Valencia

Last 5 Games

Alaves
Money Line
W 0-3 vs Celta Vigo+170
W 0-2 vs Atletico Madrid+410
L 0-2 at Granada+190
L 1-0 vs Real Sociedad+290
L 0-2 at Athletic Club+570
Valencia
Money Line
L 2-4 at Barcelona+825
L 2-1 vs Betis+173
W 1-0 at Osasuna+245
W 1-0 at Granada+145
T 0-0 vs Mallorca+120

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.2%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Alaves+316+271+300+290+283+290+290+304.0
Valencia+109+123+105+122+123+122+123+129.9
Draw+212+210+220+204+208+204+220+214.9
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Alaves+325-+287+290+280+305+305+304.0
Valencia+105-+118+110-105+110+118+129.9
Draw+205-+198+185+185+205+205+214.9

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Alaves: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Valencia: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Alaves: 0.0%
Valencia: 50.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Alaves: 10.0%
Valencia: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Alaves ML moved from +275 to +266
Valencia ML moved from +118 to +112

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Alaves: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Valencia: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Alaves: 0.0%
Valencia: 50.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Alaves: 20.0%
Valencia: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Alaves ML moved from +330 to +287
No Steam Moves On Valencia ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2-104o2-116o2-108o2-104o2-105o2-104o2-104o2+105
Underu2-112u2-102u2-112u2-116u2-109u2-116u2-102u2-105
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2-105o2+100o2-108o2+100o2-110o2+100o2+100o2+105
Underu2-115u2-120u2-112u2-120u2-120u2-120u2-112u2-105

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes46.7%
 
No53.3%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 07.40%
Exactly 225.08%
Exactly 414.17%
Exactly 63.20%
Exactly 80.39%
 
Exactly 119.27%
Exactly 321.77%
Exactly 57.38%
Exactly 71.19%
Exactly 90.11%
Exact Goals Scored - Alaves
Exactly 043.79%
Exactly 136.16%
Exactly 214.93%
Exactly 34.11%
Exactly 40.85%
Exactly 50.14%
Exact Goals Scored - Valencia
Exactly 016.90%
Exactly 130.04%
Exactly 226.71%
Exactly 315.83%
Exactly 47.04%
Exactly 52.50%
Exactly 60.74%
Exactly 70.19%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 029.95%
Exactly 221.77%
Exactly 42.64%
Exactly 60.13%
 
Exactly 136.11%
Exactly 38.75%
Exactly 50.64%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Alaves
Exactly 068.23%
Exactly 126.08%
Exactly 24.99%
Exactly 30.64%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Valencia
Exactly 043.90%
Exactly 136.14%
Exactly 214.88%
Exactly 34.08%
Exactly 40.84%
Exactly 50.14%

Alternate Props

Spread

Alaves
Wins by 2+ goals5.20%
Wins by 3+ goals1.20%
Wins by 4+ goals0.21%
Valencia
Wins by 2+ goals34.43%
Wins by 3+ goals15.85%
Wins by 4+ goals5.97%
Wins by 5+ goals1.87%
Wins by 6+ goals0.48%

Exact Winning Margin

Alaves
Valencia
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
Alaves
Wins by 1 goal11.84%
Wins by 2 goals4.01%
Wins by 3 goals0.99%
Wins by 4 goals0.19%
Valencia
Wins by 1 goal25.49%
Wins by 2 goals18.58%
Wins by 3 goals9.88%
Wins by 4 goals4.10%
Wins by 5 goals1.39%
Wins by 6 goals0.39%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.592.60%7.40%
1.573.33%26.67%
2.548.25%51.75%
3.526.48%73.52%
4.512.31%87.69%
5.54.93%95.07%
6.51.73%98.27%

Total Goals Alaves Over/Under

OverUnder
0.556.21%43.79%
1.520.05%79.95%
2.55.12%94.88%
3.51.01%98.99%

Total Goals Valencia Over/Under

OverUnder
0.583.10%16.90%
1.553.06%46.94%
2.526.35%73.65%
3.510.52%89.48%
4.53.48%96.52%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.570.05%29.95%
1.533.94%66.06%
2.512.17%87.83%
3.53.42%96.58%

Score Props

Correct Score

Alaves
Valencia
Score012345
0
7.40%
13.16%
11.70%
6.93%
3.08%
1.10%
1
6.11%
10.86%
9.66%
5.72%
2.54%
0.90%
2
2.52%
4.49%
3.99%
2.36%
1.05%
0.37%
3
0.69%
1.23%
1.10%
0.65%
0.29%
0.10%
4
0.14%
0.25%
0.23%
0.13%
0.06%
0.02%
Alaves
1-06.11%
2-02.52%
2-14.49%
3-00.69%
3-11.23%
3-21.10%
4-00.14%
4-10.25%
4-20.23%
4-30.13%
Draw
0-07.40%
1-110.86%
2-23.99%
3-30.65%
Valencia
0-113.16%
0-211.70%
1-29.66%
0-36.93%
1-35.72%
2-32.36%
0-43.08%
1-42.54%
2-41.05%
3-40.29%
0-51.10%
1-50.90%
2-50.37%
3-50.10%

Correct Score - First Half

Alaves
Valencia
Score01234
0
29.95%
24.66%
10.15%
2.78%
0.57%
1
11.45%
9.43%
3.88%
1.06%
0.22%
2
2.19%
1.80%
0.74%
0.20%
0.04%
3
0.28%
0.23%
0.09%
0.03%
0.01%
Alaves
1-011.45%
2-02.19%
2-11.80%
3-00.28%
3-10.23%
Draw
0-029.95%
1-19.43%
2-20.74%
Valencia
0-124.66%
0-210.15%
1-23.88%
0-32.78%
1-31.06%
2-30.20%
0-40.57%
1-40.22%