Almeria at Rayo Vallecano

Updated

Almeria

27.1%27.4%45.5%
Almeria WinDrawRayo Vallecano Win
0.98Projected Goals 1.37
0Final Score 2

Rayo Vallecano

Last 5 Games

Almeria
Money Line
W 1-3 vs Espanyol+140
T 2-2 at Valencia+460
T 1-1 vs Atletico Madrid+390
L 2-0 vs Real Sociedad+325
T 1-1 at Cadiz+255
Rayo Vallecano
Money Line
W 1-0 at Villarreal+380
L 2-0 vs Real Sociedad+200
W 1-0 at Valladolid+160
L 2-1 vs Betis+140
T 2-2 at Girona+260

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.1%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.7%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Almeria+370+329+320+330+347+330+347+357.8
Rayo Vallecano-135-106-110-106-105-106-105-100.1
Draw+275+242+250+245+247+245+250+255.4
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Almeria+395---+325+345+345+357.8
Rayo Vallecano-135----145-115-115-100.1
Draw+265---+235+245+245+255.4

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Almeria: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Rayo Vallecano: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Almeria: 20.0%
Rayo Vallecano: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Almeria: 10.0%
Rayo Vallecano: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Almeria ML moved from +338 to +329
Rayo Vallecano ML moved from -130 to -138

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Almeria: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Rayo Vallecano: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Almeria: 30.0%
Rayo Vallecano: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Almeria: 0.0%
Rayo Vallecano: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Almeria ML moved from +360 to +350
No Steam Moves On Rayo Vallecano ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
-0.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½+100o2½+114o2¼-112o2½+111o2½+121o2½+111o2¼-112o2½+127
Underu2½-120u2½-136u2¼-108u2½-131u2½-136u2½-131u2½-131u2½-127
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½+105o2½+115--o2½+115o2½+115o2½+115o2½+127
Underu2½-125u2½-135--u2½-145u2½-135u2½-135u2½-127

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes46.7%
 
No53.3%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 09.53%
Exactly 226.33%
Exactly 412.13%
Exactly 62.23%
Exactly 80.22%
 
Exactly 122.40%
Exactly 320.63%
Exactly 55.70%
Exactly 70.75%
Exact Goals Scored - Almeria
Exactly 037.31%
Exactly 136.78%
Exactly 218.13%
Exactly 35.96%
Exactly 41.47%
Exactly 50.29%
Exact Goals Scored - Rayo Vallecano
Exactly 025.54%
Exactly 134.86%
Exactly 223.79%
Exactly 310.83%
Exactly 43.69%
Exactly 51.01%
Exactly 60.23%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 033.67%
Exactly 219.95%
Exactly 41.97%
 
Exactly 136.65%
Exactly 37.24%
Exactly 50.43%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Almeria
Exactly 063.35%
Exactly 128.92%
Exactly 26.60%
Exactly 31.00%
Exactly 40.11%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Rayo Vallecano
Exactly 053.15%
Exactly 133.59%
Exactly 210.62%
Exactly 32.24%
Exactly 40.35%

Alternate Props

Spread

Almeria
Wins by 2+ goals9.74%
Wins by 3+ goals2.65%
Wins by 4+ goals0.55%
Rayo Vallecano
Wins by 2+ goals21.53%
Wins by 3+ goals7.93%
Wins by 4+ goals2.34%
Wins by 5+ goals0.55%

Exact Winning Margin

Almeria
Rayo Vallecano
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Almeria
Wins by 1 goal17.30%
Wins by 2 goals7.09%
Wins by 3 goals2.10%
Wins by 4 goals0.48%
Rayo Vallecano
Wins by 1 goal23.96%
Wins by 2 goals13.59%
Wins by 3 goals5.60%
Wins by 4 goals1.79%
Wins by 5 goals0.46%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.590.47%9.53%
1.568.07%31.93%
2.541.74%58.26%
3.521.11%78.89%
4.58.98%91.02%
5.53.28%96.72%
6.51.05%98.95%

Total Goals Almeria Over/Under

OverUnder
0.562.69%37.31%
1.525.90%74.10%
2.57.77%92.23%
3.51.81%98.19%

Total Goals Rayo Vallecano Over/Under

OverUnder
0.574.46%25.54%
1.539.61%60.39%
2.515.81%84.19%
3.54.99%95.01%
4.51.29%98.71%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.566.33%33.67%
1.529.67%70.33%
2.59.73%90.27%
3.52.49%97.51%

Score Props

Correct Score

Almeria
Rayo Vallecano
Score012345
0
9.53%
13.01%
8.88%
4.04%
1.38%
0.38%
1
9.39%
12.82%
8.75%
3.98%
1.36%
0.37%
2
4.63%
6.32%
4.31%
1.96%
0.67%
0.18%
3
1.52%
2.08%
1.42%
0.65%
0.22%
0.06%
4
0.37%
0.51%
0.35%
0.16%
0.05%
0.01%
Almeria
1-09.39%
2-04.63%
2-16.32%
3-01.52%
3-12.08%
3-21.42%
4-00.37%
4-10.51%
4-20.35%
4-30.16%
Draw
0-09.53%
1-112.82%
2-24.31%
3-30.65%
Rayo Vallecano
0-113.01%
0-28.88%
1-28.75%
0-34.04%
1-33.98%
2-31.96%
0-41.38%
1-41.36%
2-40.67%
3-40.22%
0-50.38%
1-50.37%
2-50.18%

Correct Score - First Half

Almeria
Rayo Vallecano
Score01234
0
33.67%
21.28%
6.73%
1.42%
0.22%
1
15.37%
9.71%
3.07%
0.65%
0.10%
2
3.51%
2.22%
0.70%
0.15%
0.02%
3
0.53%
0.34%
0.11%
0.02%
0.00%
Almeria
1-015.37%
2-03.51%
2-12.22%
3-00.53%
3-10.34%
3-20.11%
Draw
0-033.67%
1-19.71%
2-20.70%
Rayo Vallecano
0-121.28%
0-26.73%
1-23.07%
0-31.42%
1-30.65%
2-30.15%
0-40.22%
1-40.10%