Atletico Madrid at Athletic Club

Updated

Atletico Madrid

44.6%28.6%26.7%
Atletico Madrid WinDrawAthletic Club Win
1.27Projected Goals 0.91
0Final Score 2

Athletic Club

Last 5 Games

Atletico Madrid
Money Line
T 0-0 vs Granada-275
W 1-2 vs Espanyol-280
L 0-1 at Mallorca-110
W 1-4 vs Alaves-275
W 1-0 at Rayo Vallecano+105
Athletic Club
Money Line
W 3-2 at Cadiz+150
L 2-0 vs Celta Vigo-130
T 1-1 at Villarreal+190
W 1-2 vs Elche-215
T 1-1 vs Getafe-145

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
5.1%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Atletico Madrid+135+185+180+198+191+180+198+192.5
Athletic Club+230+185+190+186+161+190+190+197.7
Draw+195+180+200+199+201+200+201+210.3
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Atletico Madrid+145---+175+180+180+192.5
Athletic Club+215---+135+175+175+197.7
Draw+210---+195+200+200+210.3

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Atletico Madrid: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Athletic Club: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Atletico Madrid: 30.0%
Athletic Club: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Atletico Madrid: 20.0%
Athletic Club: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Atletico Madrid ML moved from +190 to +180
Athletic Club ML moved from +159 to +152

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Atletico Madrid: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Athletic Club: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Atletico Madrid: 30.0%
Athletic Club: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Atletico Madrid: 0.0%
Athletic Club: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Atletico Madrid ML moved from +195 to +180
Athletic Club ML moved from +215 to +160

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.4%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2-122o2-112o2-116o2-106-o2-116o2-106o2+100
Underu2+102u2-108u2-104u2-109-u2-104u2-104u2+100
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2-130o2-120--o2-115o2-120o2-115o2+100
Underu2+110u2+100--u2-115u2+100u2+100u2+100

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes43.1%
 
No56.9%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 011.26%
Exactly 226.85%
Exactly 410.67%
Exactly 61.70%
Exactly 80.14%
 
Exactly 124.59%
Exactly 319.55%
Exactly 54.66%
Exactly 70.53%
Exact Goals Scored - Atletico Madrid
Exactly 028.07%
Exactly 135.66%
Exactly 222.65%
Exactly 39.59%
Exactly 43.05%
Exactly 50.77%
Exactly 60.16%
Exact Goals Scored - Athletic Club
Exactly 040.11%
Exactly 136.64%
Exactly 216.74%
Exactly 35.10%
Exactly 41.16%
Exactly 50.21%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 036.38%
Exactly 218.60%
Exactly 41.58%
 
Exactly 136.79%
Exactly 36.27%
Exactly 50.32%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Atletico Madrid
Exactly 055.53%
Exactly 132.66%
Exactly 29.61%
Exactly 31.88%
Exactly 40.28%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Athletic Club
Exactly 065.51%
Exactly 127.71%
Exactly 25.86%
Exactly 30.83%

Alternate Props

Spread

Atletico Madrid
Wins by 2+ goals20.22%
Wins by 3+ goals7.07%
Wins by 4+ goals1.97%
Wins by 5+ goals0.44%
Athletic Club
Wins by 2+ goals9.16%
Wins by 3+ goals2.36%
Wins by 4+ goals0.46%

Exact Winning Margin

Atletico Madrid
Athletic Club
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
Atletico Madrid
Wins by 1 goal24.38%
Wins by 2 goals13.15%
Wins by 3 goals5.10%
Wins by 4 goals1.53%
Wins by 5 goals0.37%
Athletic Club
Wins by 1 goal17.53%
Wins by 2 goals6.80%
Wins by 3 goals1.89%
Wins by 4 goals0.40%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.588.74%11.26%
1.564.15%35.85%
2.537.30%62.70%
3.517.75%82.25%
4.57.08%92.92%
5.52.42%97.58%

Total Goals Atletico Madrid Over/Under

OverUnder
0.571.93%28.07%
1.536.27%63.73%
2.513.61%86.39%
3.54.02%95.98%

Total Goals Athletic Club Over/Under

OverUnder
0.559.89%40.11%
1.523.25%76.75%
2.56.51%93.49%
3.51.41%98.59%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.563.62%36.38%
1.526.83%73.17%
2.58.24%91.76%
3.51.97%98.03%

Score Props

Correct Score

Atletico Madrid
Athletic Club
Score01234
0
11.26%
10.29%
4.70%
1.43%
0.33%
1
14.30%
13.07%
5.97%
1.82%
0.42%
2
9.09%
8.30%
3.79%
1.15%
0.26%
3
3.85%
3.51%
1.61%
0.49%
0.11%
4
1.22%
1.12%
0.51%
0.16%
0.04%
5
0.31%
0.28%
0.13%
0.04%
0.01%
Atletico Madrid
1-014.30%
2-09.09%
2-18.30%
3-03.85%
3-13.51%
3-21.61%
4-01.22%
4-11.12%
4-20.51%
4-30.16%
5-00.31%
5-10.28%
5-20.13%
Draw
0-011.26%
1-113.07%
2-23.79%
3-30.49%
Athletic Club
0-110.29%
0-24.70%
1-25.97%
0-31.43%
1-31.82%
2-31.15%
0-40.33%
1-40.42%
2-40.26%
3-40.11%

Correct Score - First Half

Atletico Madrid
Athletic Club
Score0123
0
36.38%
15.39%
3.25%
0.46%
1
21.40%
9.05%
1.91%
0.27%
2
6.29%
2.66%
0.56%
0.08%
3
1.23%
0.52%
0.11%
0.02%
4
0.18%
0.08%
0.02%
0.00%
Atletico Madrid
1-021.40%
2-06.29%
2-12.66%
3-01.23%
3-10.52%
3-20.11%
4-00.18%
Draw
0-036.38%
1-19.05%
2-20.56%
Athletic Club
0-115.39%
0-23.25%
1-21.91%
0-30.46%
1-30.27%