Villarreal at Celta Vigo

Updated

Villarreal

40.5%27.1%32.4%
Villarreal WinDrawCelta Vigo Win
1.32Projected Goals 1.15
1Final Score 1

Celta Vigo

Last 5 Games

Villarreal
Money Line
W 1-2 vs Real Madrid+240
W 1-2 vs Valencia+110
W 1-0 at Espanyol+155
L 2-0 vs Mallorca-135
L 0-1 at Athletic Club+260
Celta Vigo
Money Line
W 1-0 at Elche+105
T 1-1 vs Sevilla+125
T 0-0 at Rayo Vallecano+275
L 2-1 vs Osasuna+130
L 1-3 at Almeria+125

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Villarreal+165+158+155+170+173+170+173+178.7
Celta Vigo+165+192+190+185+190+185+192+196.0
Draw+240+223+225+220+223+220+225+229.7
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Villarreal+160---+140+170+170+178.7
Celta Vigo+175---+160+180+180+196.0
Draw+230---+205+210+210+229.7

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Villarreal: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Celta Vigo: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Villarreal: 10.0%
Celta Vigo: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Villarreal: 20.0%
Celta Vigo: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Villarreal ML moved from +174 to +168
Celta Vigo ML moved from +190 to +180

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Villarreal: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Celta Vigo: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Villarreal: 10.0%
Celta Vigo: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Villarreal: 10.0%
Celta Vigo: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Villarreal ML moved from +180 to +170
Celta Vigo ML moved from +185 to +175

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
-0.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.1%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¼-125o2½+105o2¼-122o2¼-120o2½+111o2¼-120o2¼-120o2½+118
Underu2¼+105u2½-123u2¼+102u2¼+100u2½-126u2¼+100u2½-123u2½-118
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½+105o2½+110--o2½-110o2½+105o2½+110o2½+118
Underu2½-125u2½-130--u2½-120u2½-125u2½-120u2½-118

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o2-140 to o2½+110
The Under moved from u2½-130 to u2+120

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes50.0%
 
No50.0%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 08.49%
Exactly 225.82%
Exactly 413.09%
Exactly 62.65%
Exactly 80.29%
 
Exactly 120.94%
Exactly 321.23%
Exactly 56.46%
Exactly 70.94%
Exact Goals Scored - Villarreal
Exactly 026.79%
Exactly 135.29%
Exactly 223.24%
Exactly 310.20%
Exactly 43.36%
Exactly 50.88%
Exactly 60.19%
Exact Goals Scored - Celta Vigo
Exactly 031.68%
Exactly 136.42%
Exactly 220.93%
Exactly 38.02%
Exactly 42.30%
Exactly 50.53%
Exactly 60.10%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 031.92%
Exactly 220.81%
Exactly 42.26%
 
Exactly 136.45%
Exactly 37.92%
Exactly 50.52%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Villarreal
Exactly 054.35%
Exactly 133.14%
Exactly 210.10%
Exactly 32.05%
Exactly 40.31%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Celta Vigo
Exactly 058.73%
Exactly 131.26%
Exactly 28.32%
Exactly 31.48%
Exactly 40.20%

Alternate Props

Spread

Villarreal
Wins by 2+ goals18.35%
Wins by 3+ goals6.49%
Wins by 4+ goals1.84%
Wins by 5+ goals0.41%
Celta Vigo
Wins by 2+ goals13.16%
Wins by 3+ goals4.13%
Wins by 4+ goals1.03%
Wins by 5+ goals0.20%

Exact Winning Margin

Villarreal
Celta Vigo
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Villarreal
Wins by 1 goal22.07%
Wins by 2 goals11.85%
Wins by 3 goals4.66%
Wins by 4 goals1.43%
Wins by 5 goals0.35%
Celta Vigo
Wins by 1 goal19.26%
Wins by 2 goals9.03%
Wins by 3 goals3.10%
Wins by 4 goals0.83%
Wins by 5 goals0.18%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.591.51%8.49%
1.570.58%29.42%
2.544.76%55.24%
3.523.53%76.47%
4.510.44%89.56%
5.53.98%96.02%
6.51.33%98.67%

Total Goals Villarreal Over/Under

OverUnder
0.573.21%26.79%
1.537.92%62.08%
2.514.68%85.32%
3.54.48%95.52%
4.51.12%98.88%

Total Goals Celta Vigo Over/Under

OverUnder
0.568.32%31.68%
1.531.90%68.10%
2.510.97%89.03%
3.52.96%97.04%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.568.08%31.92%
1.531.63%68.37%
2.510.82%89.18%
3.52.90%97.10%

Score Props

Correct Score

Villarreal
Celta Vigo
Score012345
0
8.49%
9.76%
5.61%
2.15%
0.62%
0.14%
1
11.18%
12.85%
7.39%
2.83%
0.81%
0.19%
2
7.36%
8.46%
4.86%
1.86%
0.54%
0.12%
3
3.23%
3.71%
2.14%
0.82%
0.24%
0.05%
4
1.06%
1.22%
0.70%
0.27%
0.08%
0.02%
5
0.28%
0.32%
0.19%
0.07%
0.02%
0.00%
Villarreal
1-011.18%
2-07.36%
2-18.46%
3-03.23%
3-13.71%
3-22.14%
4-01.06%
4-11.22%
4-20.70%
4-30.27%
5-00.28%
5-10.32%
5-20.19%
Draw
0-08.49%
1-112.85%
2-24.86%
3-30.82%
Celta Vigo
0-19.76%
0-25.61%
1-27.39%
0-32.15%
1-32.83%
2-31.86%
0-40.62%
1-40.81%
2-40.54%
3-40.24%
0-50.14%
1-50.19%
2-50.12%

Correct Score - First Half

Villarreal
Celta Vigo
Score01234
0
31.92%
16.99%
4.52%
0.80%
0.11%
1
19.46%
10.36%
2.76%
0.49%
0.07%
2
5.93%
3.16%
0.84%
0.15%
0.02%
3
1.21%
0.64%
0.17%
0.03%
0.00%
4
0.18%
0.10%
0.03%
0.00%
0.00%
Villarreal
1-019.46%
2-05.93%
2-13.16%
3-01.21%
3-10.64%
3-20.17%
4-00.18%
Draw
0-031.92%
1-110.36%
2-20.84%
Celta Vigo
0-116.99%
0-24.52%
1-22.76%
0-30.80%
1-30.49%
2-30.15%
0-40.11%