Sevilla at Rayo Vallecano

Updated

Sevilla

40.8%29.1%30.1%
Sevilla WinDrawRayo Vallecano Win
1.20Projected Goals 0.98
1Final Score 1

Rayo Vallecano

Last 5 Games

Sevilla
Money Line
W 0-2 vs Mallorca-110
L 0-3 at Barcelona+900
W 0-3 vs Elche-190
W 0-1 vs Cadiz-130
L 1-2 at Girona+210
Rayo Vallecano
Money Line
T 1-1 at Getafe+175
W 0-2 vs Almeria-115
W 1-0 at Villarreal+380
L 2-0 vs Real Sociedad+200
W 1-0 at Valladolid+160

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.6%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Sevilla+200+227+230+235+235+235+235+247.1
Rayo Vallecano+150+142+135+138+139+138+142+146.6
Draw+215+212+210+215+227+215+227+226.4
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Sevilla+215---+190+215+215+247.1
Rayo Vallecano+140---+125+145+145+146.6
Draw+215---+195+210+210+226.4

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Sevilla: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Rayo Vallecano: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Sevilla: 40.0%
Rayo Vallecano: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Sevilla: 0.0%
Rayo Vallecano: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Sevilla ML moved from +240 to +233
Rayo Vallecano ML moved from +145 to +135

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Sevilla: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Rayo Vallecano: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Sevilla: 30.0%
Rayo Vallecano: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Sevilla: 0.0%
Rayo Vallecano: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Sevilla ML moved from +215 to +205
No Steam Moves On Rayo Vallecano ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.2%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2-122o2-127o2-125o2-122o2-119o2-122o2-119o2-111
Underu2+102u2+107u2+105u2+102u2+104u2+102u2+107u2+111
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2-125o2-125--o2-130o2-120o2-120o2-111
Underu2+105u2+105--u2+100u2+100u2+105u2+111

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes43.6%
 
No56.4%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 011.33%
Exactly 226.87%
Exactly 410.62%
Exactly 61.68%
Exactly 80.14%
 
Exactly 124.67%
Exactly 319.50%
Exactly 54.63%
Exactly 70.52%
Exact Goals Scored - Sevilla
Exactly 030.29%
Exactly 136.18%
Exactly 221.61%
Exactly 38.60%
Exactly 42.57%
Exactly 50.61%
Exactly 60.12%
Exact Goals Scored - Rayo Vallecano
Exactly 037.40%
Exactly 136.78%
Exactly 218.09%
Exactly 35.93%
Exactly 41.46%
Exactly 50.29%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 036.48%
Exactly 218.55%
Exactly 41.57%
 
Exactly 136.79%
Exactly 36.23%
Exactly 50.32%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Sevilla
Exactly 057.52%
Exactly 131.81%
Exactly 28.80%
Exactly 31.62%
Exactly 40.22%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Rayo Vallecano
Exactly 063.42%
Exactly 128.88%
Exactly 26.58%
Exactly 31.00%
Exactly 40.11%

Alternate Props

Spread

Sevilla
Wins by 2+ goals17.56%
Wins by 3+ goals5.81%
Wins by 4+ goals1.53%
Wins by 5+ goals0.32%
Rayo Vallecano
Wins by 2+ goals10.98%
Wins by 3+ goals3.02%
Wins by 4+ goals0.63%

Exact Winning Margin

Sevilla
Rayo Vallecano
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
Sevilla
Wins by 1 goal23.19%
Wins by 2 goals11.75%
Wins by 3 goals4.28%
Wins by 4 goals1.21%
Wins by 5 goals0.27%
Rayo Vallecano
Wins by 1 goal19.10%
Wins by 2 goals7.96%
Wins by 3 goals2.39%
Wins by 4 goals0.55%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.588.67%11.33%
1.564.00%36.00%
2.537.14%62.86%
3.517.63%82.37%
4.57.01%92.99%
5.52.39%97.61%

Total Goals Sevilla Over/Under

OverUnder
0.569.71%30.29%
1.533.54%66.46%
2.511.93%88.07%
3.53.33%96.67%

Total Goals Rayo Vallecano Over/Under

OverUnder
0.562.60%37.40%
1.525.82%74.18%
2.57.73%92.27%
3.51.80%98.20%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.563.52%36.48%
1.526.73%73.27%
2.58.19%91.81%
3.51.95%98.05%

Score Props

Correct Score

Sevilla
Rayo Vallecano
Score01234
0
11.33%
11.14%
5.48%
1.80%
0.44%
1
13.53%
13.31%
6.54%
2.15%
0.53%
2
8.08%
7.95%
3.91%
1.28%
0.32%
3
3.22%
3.16%
1.56%
0.51%
0.13%
4
0.96%
0.94%
0.46%
0.15%
0.04%
5
0.23%
0.23%
0.11%
0.04%
0.01%
Sevilla
1-013.53%
2-08.08%
2-17.95%
3-03.22%
3-13.16%
3-21.56%
4-00.96%
4-10.94%
4-20.46%
4-30.15%
5-00.23%
5-10.23%
5-20.11%
Draw
0-011.33%
1-113.31%
2-23.91%
3-30.51%
Rayo Vallecano
0-111.14%
0-25.48%
1-26.54%
0-31.80%
1-32.15%
2-31.28%
0-40.44%
1-40.53%
2-40.32%
3-40.13%

Correct Score - First Half

Sevilla
Rayo Vallecano
Score0123
0
36.48%
16.61%
3.78%
0.57%
1
20.17%
9.19%
2.09%
0.32%
2
5.58%
2.54%
0.58%
0.09%
3
1.03%
0.47%
0.11%
0.02%
4
0.14%
0.06%
0.01%
0.00%
Sevilla
1-020.17%
2-05.58%
2-12.54%
3-01.03%
3-10.47%
3-20.11%
4-00.14%
Draw
0-036.48%
1-19.19%
2-20.58%
Rayo Vallecano
0-116.61%
0-23.78%
1-22.09%
0-30.57%
1-30.32%