Real Madrid at Sevilla

Updated

Real Madrid

43.1%28.5%28.4%
Real Madrid WinDrawSevilla Win
1.26Projected Goals 0.97
3Final Score 2

Sevilla

Last 5 Games

Real Madrid
Money Line
W 0-2 vs Getafe-250
W 2-1 at Celta Vigo-125
L 4-0 vs Barcelona+120
W 3-0 at Mallorca-180
W 1-4 vs Real Sociedad-190
Sevilla
Money Line
W 2-4 vs Granada-240
L 0-1 at Barcelona+700
T 0-0 vs Real Sociedad+110
T 1-1 at Rayo Vallecano+135
T 0-0 at Alaves-115

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.8%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Real Madrid+125+150+148+155+144+148+155+157.0
Sevilla+216+185+195+198+187+195+198+206.3
Draw+239+235+240+242+231+240+242+251.5
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Real Madrid+145---+120+145+145+157.0
Sevilla+195---+180+195+195+206.3
Draw+230---+220+230+230+251.5

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Real Madrid: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Sevilla: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Real Madrid: 20.0%
Sevilla: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Real Madrid: 0.0%
Sevilla: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Real Madrid ML moved from +147 to +139
Sevilla ML moved from +204 to +198

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Real Madrid: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Sevilla: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Real Madrid: 20.0%
Sevilla: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Real Madrid: 0.0%
Sevilla: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Real Madrid ML
Sevilla ML moved from +200 to +185

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.2%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¼-125o2½-105o2½-105o2½-110-o2½-105o2½-105o2½+100
Underu2¼+105u2½-115u2½-115u2½-105-u2½-115u2½-105u2½+100
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½+100o2½+100--o2½-110o2½-115o2½+100o2½+100
Underu2½-120u2½-120--u2½-120u2½-105u2½-105u2½+100

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes44.5%
 
No55.5%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 010.74%
Exactly 226.73%
Exactly 411.09%
Exactly 61.84%
Exactly 80.16%
 
Exactly 123.96%
Exactly 319.88%
Exactly 54.95%
Exactly 70.59%
Exact Goals Scored - Real Madrid
Exactly 028.29%
Exactly 135.72%
Exactly 222.55%
Exactly 39.49%
Exactly 43.00%
Exactly 50.76%
Exactly 60.16%
Exact Goals Scored - Sevilla
Exactly 037.97%
Exactly 136.77%
Exactly 217.80%
Exactly 35.75%
Exactly 41.39%
Exactly 50.27%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 035.59%
Exactly 218.99%
Exactly 41.69%
 
Exactly 136.77%
Exactly 36.54%
Exactly 50.35%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Real Madrid
Exactly 055.73%
Exactly 132.58%
Exactly 29.53%
Exactly 31.86%
Exactly 40.27%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Sevilla
Exactly 063.87%
Exactly 128.63%
Exactly 26.42%
Exactly 30.96%
Exactly 40.11%

Alternate Props

Spread

Real Madrid
Wins by 2+ goals19.34%
Wins by 3+ goals6.70%
Wins by 4+ goals1.85%
Wins by 5+ goals0.41%
Sevilla
Wins by 2+ goals10.17%
Wins by 3+ goals2.75%
Wins by 4+ goals0.57%

Exact Winning Margin

Real Madrid
Sevilla
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
Real Madrid
Wins by 1 goal23.73%
Wins by 2 goals12.63%
Wins by 3 goals4.85%
Wins by 4 goals1.44%
Wins by 5 goals0.35%
Sevilla
Wins by 1 goal18.19%
Wins by 2 goals7.43%
Wins by 3 goals2.18%
Wins by 4 goals0.49%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.589.26%10.74%
1.565.29%34.71%
2.538.56%61.44%
3.518.68%81.32%
4.57.59%92.41%
5.52.64%97.36%

Total Goals Real Madrid Over/Under

OverUnder
0.571.71%28.29%
1.536.00%64.00%
2.513.44%86.56%
3.53.95%96.05%

Total Goals Sevilla Over/Under

OverUnder
0.562.03%37.97%
1.525.26%74.74%
2.57.46%92.54%
3.51.71%98.29%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.564.41%35.59%
1.527.64%72.36%
2.58.65%91.35%
3.52.11%97.89%

Score Props

Correct Score

Real Madrid
Sevilla
Score01234
0
10.74%
10.40%
5.03%
1.63%
0.39%
1
13.56%
13.13%
6.36%
2.05%
0.50%
2
8.56%
8.29%
4.01%
1.30%
0.31%
3
3.61%
3.49%
1.69%
0.55%
0.13%
4
1.14%
1.10%
0.53%
0.17%
0.04%
5
0.29%
0.28%
0.13%
0.04%
0.01%
Real Madrid
1-013.56%
2-08.56%
2-18.29%
3-03.61%
3-13.49%
3-21.69%
4-01.14%
4-11.10%
4-20.53%
4-30.17%
5-00.29%
5-10.28%
5-20.13%
Draw
0-010.74%
1-113.13%
2-24.01%
3-30.55%
Sevilla
0-110.40%
0-25.03%
1-26.36%
0-31.63%
1-32.05%
2-31.30%
0-40.39%
1-40.50%
2-40.31%
3-40.13%

Correct Score - First Half

Real Madrid
Sevilla
Score0123
0
35.59%
15.96%
3.58%
0.53%
1
20.81%
9.33%
2.09%
0.31%
2
6.08%
2.73%
0.61%
0.09%
3
1.19%
0.53%
0.12%
0.02%
4
0.17%
0.08%
0.02%
0.00%
Real Madrid
1-020.81%
2-06.08%
2-12.73%
3-01.19%
3-10.53%
3-20.12%
4-00.17%
Draw
0-035.59%
1-19.33%
2-20.61%
Sevilla
0-115.96%
0-23.58%
1-22.09%
0-30.53%
1-30.31%