Atletico Madrid at Valladolid

Updated

Atletico Madrid

64.8%21.0%14.2%
Atletico Madrid WinDrawWin
1.94Projected Goals 0.77

Valladolid

Last 5 Games

Atletico Madrid
Money Line
W 1-2 vs Alaves-230
W 1-0 at Mallorca+140
W 0-2 vs Las Palmas-373
L 0-1 at Betis+120
W 1-3 vs Leganes-250
Valladolid
Money Line
L 0-2 at Getafe+550
T 1-1 vs Athletic Club+370
L 0-1 at Osasuna+490
L 2-1 vs Villarreal+292
W 3-2 at Alaves+515

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Atletico Madrid-156-161-170-168-168-168-161-153.6
Valladolid+486+494+475+513+513+513+513+534.5
Draw+285+293+300+308+308+308+308+322.3
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Atletico Madrid-170-----170-170-153.6
Valladolid+485----+485+485+534.5
Draw+300----+300+300+322.3

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Atletico Madrid: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Valladolid: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Atletico Madrid: 10.0%
Valladolid: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Atletico Madrid: 0.0%
Valladolid: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Atletico Madrid ML moved from -157 to -168
Valladolid ML moved from +500 to +475

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Atletico Madrid: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Valladolid: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Atletico Madrid: 20.0%
Valladolid: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Atletico Madrid: 0.0%
Valladolid: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Atletico Madrid ML
No Steam Moves On Valladolid ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.0%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½+113o2½+109o2¼-118o2¼-119o2¼-119o2¼-119o2¼-118o2¼-108
Underu2½-132u2½-128u2¼-102u2¼-101u2¼-101u2¼-101u2½-128u2¼+108
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½+110----o2½+110o2½+110o2¼-108
Underu2½-130----u2½-130u2½-130u2¼+108

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes46.1%
 
No53.9%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 06.64%
Exactly 224.42%
Exactly 414.97%
Exactly 63.67%
Exactly 80.48%
 
Exactly 118.01%
Exactly 322.08%
Exactly 58.12%
Exactly 71.42%
Exactly 90.15%
Exact Goals Scored - Atletico Madrid
Exactly 014.40%
Exactly 127.91%
Exactly 227.04%
Exactly 317.47%
Exactly 48.46%
Exactly 53.28%
Exactly 61.06%
Exactly 70.29%
Exact Goals Scored - Valladolid
Exactly 046.10%
Exactly 135.70%
Exactly 213.82%
Exactly 33.57%
Exactly 40.69%
Exactly 50.11%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 028.49%
Exactly 222.46%
Exactly 42.95%
Exactly 60.16%
 
Exactly 135.77%
Exactly 39.40%
Exactly 50.74%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Atletico Madrid
Exactly 040.77%
Exactly 136.58%
Exactly 216.41%
Exactly 34.91%
Exactly 41.10%
Exactly 50.20%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Valladolid
Exactly 069.87%
Exactly 125.05%
Exactly 24.49%
Exactly 30.54%

Alternate Props

Spread

Atletico Madrid
Wins by 2+ goals39.45%
Wins by 3+ goals19.45%
Wins by 4+ goals7.89%
Wins by 5+ goals2.66%
Valladolid
Wins by 2+ goals4.07%
Wins by 3+ goals0.88%

Exact Winning Margin

Atletico Madrid
Valladolid
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
Atletico Madrid
Wins by 1 goal25.26%
Wins by 2 goals19.99%
Wins by 3 goals11.57%
Wins by 4 goals5.23%
Wins by 5 goals1.93%
Valladolid
Wins by 1 goal10.09%
Wins by 2 goals3.19%
Wins by 3 goals0.74%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.593.36%6.64%
1.575.35%24.65%
2.550.93%49.07%
3.528.86%71.14%
4.513.89%86.11%
5.55.77%94.23%
6.52.10%97.90%

Total Goals Atletico Madrid Over/Under

OverUnder
0.585.60%14.40%
1.557.69%42.31%
2.530.65%69.35%
3.513.18%86.82%
4.54.72%95.28%
5.51.44%98.56%

Total Goals Valladolid Over/Under

OverUnder
0.553.90%46.10%
1.518.20%81.80%
2.54.38%95.62%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.571.51%28.49%
1.535.74%64.26%
2.513.28%86.72%
3.53.88%96.12%

Score Props

Correct Score

Atletico Madrid
Valladolid
Score0123
0
6.64%
5.14%
1.99%
0.51%
1
12.87%
9.96%
3.86%
1.00%
2
12.47%
9.65%
3.74%
0.96%
3
8.05%
6.23%
2.41%
0.62%
4
3.90%
3.02%
1.17%
0.30%
5
1.51%
1.17%
0.45%
0.12%
Atletico Madrid
1-012.87%
2-012.47%
2-19.65%
3-08.05%
3-16.23%
3-22.41%
4-03.90%
4-13.02%
4-21.17%
4-30.30%
5-01.51%
5-11.17%
5-20.45%
5-30.12%
Draw
0-06.64%
1-19.96%
2-23.74%
3-30.62%
Valladolid
0-15.14%
0-21.99%
1-23.86%
0-30.51%
1-31.00%
2-30.96%

Correct Score - First Half

Atletico Madrid
Valladolid
Score0123
0
28.49%
10.21%
1.83%
0.22%
1
25.56%
9.16%
1.64%
0.20%
2
11.47%
4.11%
0.74%
0.09%
3
3.43%
1.23%
0.22%
0.03%
4
0.77%
0.28%
0.05%
0.01%
5
0.14%
0.05%
0.01%
0.00%
Atletico Madrid
1-025.56%
2-011.47%
2-14.11%
3-03.43%
3-11.23%
3-20.22%
4-00.77%
4-10.28%
5-00.14%
Draw
0-028.49%
1-19.16%
2-20.74%
Valladolid
0-110.21%
0-21.83%
1-21.64%
0-30.22%
1-30.20%