Alaves at Atletico Madrid

Updated

Alaves

10.5%19.0%70.5%
WinDrawAtletico Madrid Win
0.65Projected Goals 2.07

Atletico Madrid

Last 5 Games

Alaves
Money Line
L 0-3 at Villarreal+525
W 0-1 vs Mallorca+145
L 0-1 at Rayo Vallecano+330
L 3-2 vs Valladolid-168
L 3-0 vs Barcelona+365
Atletico Madrid
Money Line
W 1-0 at Mallorca+140
W 0-2 vs Las Palmas-373
L 0-1 at Betis+120
W 1-3 vs Leganes-250
T 1-1 at Real Sociedad+170

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Alaves+725+697+650+790+709+790+790+821.2
Atletico Madrid-260-221-225-230-231-230-221-206.1
Draw+380+343+340+343+329+343+343+358.5
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Alaves+875-+715-+850+800+850+821.2
Atletico Madrid-280--230--360-250-230-206.1
Draw+375-+319-+320+340+340+358.5

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Alaves: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Atletico Madrid: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Alaves: 0.0%
Atletico Madrid: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Alaves: 20.0%
Atletico Madrid: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Alaves ML moved from +625 to +600
Atletico Madrid ML moved from -220 to -230

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Alaves: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Atletico Madrid: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Alaves: 0.0%
Atletico Madrid: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Alaves: 40.0%
Atletico Madrid: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Alaves ML moved from +825 to +715
Atletico Madrid ML moved from -290 to -305

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
-0.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.2%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½+100o2½+102o2½+105o2¼-123o2¼-123o2¼-123o2¼-123o2¼-112
Underu2½-120u2½-119u2½-125u2¼+103u2¼+101u2¼+103u2½-119u2¼+112
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½+100o2½+100o2½+105-o2½-105o2½-105o2½+105o2¼-112
Underu2½-120u2½-120u2½-125-u2½-125u2½-115u2½-115u2¼+112

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes41.8%
 
No58.2%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 06.61%
Exactly 224.39%
Exactly 415.00%
Exactly 63.69%
Exactly 80.49%
 
Exactly 117.96%
Exactly 322.09%
Exactly 58.15%
Exactly 71.43%
Exactly 90.15%
Exact Goals Scored - Alaves
Exactly 052.18%
Exactly 133.94%
Exactly 211.04%
Exactly 32.39%
Exactly 40.39%
Exact Goals Scored - Atletico Madrid
Exactly 012.67%
Exactly 126.17%
Exactly 227.04%
Exactly 318.62%
Exactly 49.62%
Exactly 53.98%
Exactly 61.37%
Exactly 70.40%
Exactly 80.10%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 028.43%
Exactly 222.49%
Exactly 42.96%
Exactly 60.16%
 
Exactly 135.76%
Exactly 39.43%
Exactly 50.75%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Alaves
Exactly 073.99%
Exactly 122.29%
Exactly 23.36%
Exactly 30.34%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Atletico Madrid
Exactly 038.42%
Exactly 136.75%
Exactly 217.58%
Exactly 35.61%
Exactly 41.34%
Exactly 50.26%

Alternate Props

Spread

Alaves
Wins by 2+ goals2.58%
Wins by 3+ goals0.45%
Atletico Madrid
Wins by 2+ goals45.33%
Wins by 3+ goals23.73%
Wins by 4+ goals10.28%
Wins by 5+ goals3.75%
Wins by 6+ goals1.16%
Wins by 7+ goals0.30%

Exact Winning Margin

Alaves
Atletico Madrid
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
Alaves
Wins by 1 goal7.91%
Wins by 2 goals2.13%
Wins by 3 goals0.41%
Atletico Madrid
Wins by 1 goal25.13%
Wins by 2 goals21.59%
Wins by 3 goals13.46%
Wins by 4 goals6.53%
Wins by 5 goals2.59%
Wins by 6 goals0.86%
Wins by 7 goals0.25%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.593.39%6.61%
1.575.44%24.56%
2.551.05%48.95%
3.528.96%71.04%
4.513.96%86.04%
5.55.81%94.19%
6.52.12%97.88%

Total Goals Alaves Over/Under

OverUnder
0.547.82%52.18%
1.513.88%86.12%
2.52.84%97.16%

Total Goals Atletico Madrid Over/Under

OverUnder
0.587.33%12.67%
1.561.16%38.84%
2.534.12%65.88%
3.515.50%84.50%
4.55.88%94.12%
5.51.91%98.09%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.571.57%28.43%
1.535.82%64.18%
2.513.33%86.67%
3.53.90%96.10%

Score Props

Correct Score

Alaves
Atletico Madrid
Score012345
0
6.61%
13.66%
14.11%
9.72%
5.02%
2.07%
1
4.30%
8.88%
9.18%
6.32%
3.27%
1.35%
2
1.40%
2.89%
2.98%
2.06%
1.06%
0.44%
3
0.30%
0.63%
0.65%
0.45%
0.23%
0.10%
Alaves
1-04.30%
2-01.40%
2-12.89%
3-00.30%
3-10.63%
3-20.65%
Draw
0-06.61%
1-18.88%
2-22.98%
3-30.45%
Atletico Madrid
0-113.66%
0-214.11%
1-29.18%
0-39.72%
1-36.32%
2-32.06%
0-45.02%
1-43.27%
2-41.06%
3-40.23%
0-52.07%
1-51.35%
2-50.44%

Correct Score - First Half

Alaves
Atletico Madrid
Score012345
0
28.43%
27.19%
13.01%
4.15%
0.99%
0.19%
1
8.56%
8.19%
3.92%
1.25%
0.30%
0.06%
2
1.29%
1.23%
0.59%
0.19%
0.04%
0.01%
3
0.13%
0.12%
0.06%
0.02%
0.00%
0.00%
Alaves
1-08.56%
2-01.29%
2-11.23%
3-00.13%
3-10.12%
Draw
0-028.43%
1-18.19%
2-20.59%
Atletico Madrid
0-127.19%
0-213.01%
1-23.92%
0-34.15%
1-31.25%
2-30.19%
0-40.99%
1-40.30%
0-50.19%