Alaves at Villarreal

Updated

Alaves

23.7%25.6%50.8%
Alaves WinDrawVillarreal Win
0.97Projected Goals 1.55
0Final Score 3

Villarreal

Last 5 Games

Alaves
Money Line
W 0-1 vs Mallorca+145
L 0-1 at Rayo Vallecano+330
L 3-2 vs Valladolid-168
L 3-0 vs Barcelona+365
L 0-2 at Getafe+254
Villarreal
Money Line
W 2-1 at Valladolid-105
T 1-1 vs Getafe-115
L 0-2 at Real Madrid+875
W 1-3 vs Las Palmas-210
W 2-1 at Espanyol+120

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.2%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Alaves+424+502+500+520+522+520+522+541.6
Villarreal-153-169-180-170-181-170-169-155.4
Draw+319+306+310+310+300+310+310+324.3
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Alaves+420-+492-+375+525+525+541.6
Villarreal-160--180--185-185-180-155.4
Draw+315-+315-+275+310+315+324.3

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Alaves: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Villarreal: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Alaves: 40.0%
Villarreal: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Alaves: 0.0%
Villarreal: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Alaves ML moved from +510 to +498
Villarreal ML moved from -162 to -170

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Alaves: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Villarreal: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Alaves: 40.0%
Villarreal: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Alaves: 10.0%
Villarreal: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Alaves ML moved from +400 to +375
Villarreal ML moved from -155 to -185

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.0%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¾-107o2½-128o2¾+100o2¾+100o2¾-101o2¾+100o2½-128o2¾+109
Underu2¾-113u2½+109u2¾-120u2¾-120u2¾-121u2¾-120u2¾-120u2¾-109
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-140o2½-125o2½-125-o2½-145o2½-125o2½-125o2¾+109
Underu2½+120u2½+105u2½+105-u2½+115u2½+105u2½+115u2¾-109

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes48.8%
 
No51.2%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 08.08%
Exactly 225.57%
Exactly 413.48%
Exactly 62.84%
Exactly 80.32%
 
Exactly 120.33%
Exactly 321.44%
Exactly 56.78%
Exactly 71.02%
Exact Goals Scored - Alaves
Exactly 037.97%
Exactly 136.77%
Exactly 217.81%
Exactly 35.75%
Exactly 41.39%
Exactly 50.27%
Exact Goals Scored - Villarreal
Exactly 021.29%
Exactly 132.93%
Exactly 225.47%
Exactly 313.14%
Exactly 45.08%
Exactly 51.57%
Exactly 60.41%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 031.20%
Exactly 221.16%
Exactly 42.39%
Exactly 60.11%
 
Exactly 136.34%
Exactly 38.22%
Exactly 50.56%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Alaves
Exactly 063.86%
Exactly 128.64%
Exactly 26.42%
Exactly 30.96%
Exactly 40.11%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Villarreal
Exactly 048.86%
Exactly 134.99%
Exactly 212.53%
Exactly 32.99%
Exactly 40.54%

Alternate Props

Spread

Alaves
Wins by 2+ goals8.27%
Wins by 3+ goals2.19%
Wins by 4+ goals0.44%
Villarreal
Wins by 2+ goals26.14%
Wins by 3+ goals10.64%
Wins by 4+ goals3.48%
Wins by 5+ goals0.90%
Wins by 6+ goals0.15%

Exact Winning Margin

Alaves
Villarreal
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
Alaves
Wins by 1 goal15.35%
Wins by 2 goals6.07%
Wins by 3 goals1.75%
Wins by 4 goals0.39%
Villarreal
Wins by 1 goal24.52%
Wins by 2 goals15.50%
Wins by 3 goals7.16%
Wins by 4 goals2.58%
Wins by 5 goals0.75%
Wins by 6 goals0.15%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.591.92%8.08%
1.571.59%28.41%
2.546.01%53.99%
3.524.57%75.43%
4.511.09%88.91%
5.54.31%95.69%
6.51.46%98.54%

Total Goals Alaves Over/Under

OverUnder
0.562.03%37.97%
1.525.27%74.73%
2.57.46%92.54%
3.51.71%98.29%

Total Goals Villarreal Over/Under

OverUnder
0.578.71%21.29%
1.545.78%54.22%
2.520.30%79.70%
3.57.17%92.83%
4.52.09%97.91%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.568.80%31.20%
1.532.46%67.54%
2.511.29%88.71%
3.53.08%96.92%

Score Props

Correct Score

Alaves
Villarreal
Score012345
0
8.08%
12.50%
9.67%
4.99%
1.93%
0.60%
1
7.83%
12.11%
9.37%
4.83%
1.87%
0.58%
2
3.79%
5.86%
4.54%
2.34%
0.90%
0.28%
3
1.22%
1.89%
1.46%
0.76%
0.29%
0.09%
4
0.30%
0.46%
0.35%
0.18%
0.07%
0.02%
Alaves
1-07.83%
2-03.79%
2-15.86%
3-01.22%
3-11.89%
3-21.46%
4-00.30%
4-10.46%
4-20.35%
4-30.18%
Draw
0-08.08%
1-112.11%
2-24.54%
3-30.76%
Villarreal
0-112.50%
0-29.67%
1-29.37%
0-34.99%
1-34.83%
2-32.34%
0-41.93%
1-41.87%
2-40.90%
3-40.29%
0-50.60%
1-50.58%
2-50.28%

Correct Score - First Half

Alaves
Villarreal
Score01234
0
31.20%
22.35%
8.00%
1.91%
0.34%
1
13.99%
10.02%
3.59%
0.86%
0.15%
2
3.14%
2.25%
0.80%
0.19%
0.03%
3
0.47%
0.34%
0.12%
0.03%
0.01%
Alaves
1-013.99%
2-03.14%
2-12.25%
3-00.47%
3-10.34%
3-20.12%
Draw
0-031.20%
1-110.02%
2-20.80%
Villarreal
0-122.35%
0-28.00%
1-23.59%
0-31.91%
1-30.86%
2-30.19%
0-40.34%
1-40.15%