Las Palmas at Villarreal

Updated

Las Palmas

16.2%21.5%62.3%
WinDrawVillarreal Win
0.86Projected Goals 1.93
1Final Score 3

Villarreal

Last 5 Games

Las Palmas
Money Line
T 1-1 vs Betis+263
L 1-2 at Osasuna+340
L 3-2 vs Athletic Club+287
L 0-2 at Alaves+420
T 1-1 vs Real Madrid+900
Villarreal
Money Line
W 2-1 at Espanyol+120
L 5-1 vs Barcelona+285
W 2-1 at Mallorca+225
T 1-1 at Valencia+182
W 3-4 vs Celta Vigo-135

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.1%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.5%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Las Palmas+479+490+460+550+504+550+550+572.3
Villarreal-177-197-200-208-203-203-197-183.9
Draw+339+383+390+385+388+375+390+391.3
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Las Palmas+479-+475-+575+525+575+572.3
Villarreal-200--210--320-215-210-183.9
Draw+356-+400-+365+380+400+391.3

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Las Palmas: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Villarreal: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Las Palmas: 20.0%
Villarreal: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Las Palmas: 30.0%
Villarreal: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Las Palmas ML moved from +517 to +504
Villarreal ML moved from -215 to -225

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Las Palmas: 60.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Villarreal: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Las Palmas: 20.0%
Villarreal: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Las Palmas: 40.0%
Villarreal: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Las Palmas ML moved from +600 to +525
Villarreal ML moved from -310 to -320

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3-105o3-132o3¼-102o3¼+100o3¼+102o3¼+100o3¼+102o3¼+109
Underu3-112u3+112u3¼-118u3¼-120u3¼-118u3¼-120u3¼-118u3¼-109
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3-108o3-140o3-140-o3-140o3-135o3-135o3¼+109
Underu3-112u3+120u3+120-u3+110u3+115u3+120u3¼-109

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes49.4%
 
No50.6%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 06.15%
Exactly 223.91%
Exactly 415.50%
Exactly 64.02%
Exactly 80.56%
 
Exactly 117.15%
Exactly 322.23%
Exactly 58.65%
Exactly 71.60%
Exactly 90.17%
Exact Goals Scored - Las Palmas
Exactly 042.16%
Exactly 136.41%
Exactly 215.72%
Exactly 34.53%
Exactly 40.98%
Exactly 50.17%
Exact Goals Scored - Villarreal
Exactly 014.58%
Exactly 128.08%
Exactly 227.03%
Exactly 317.35%
Exactly 48.35%
Exactly 53.21%
Exactly 61.03%
Exactly 70.28%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 027.49%
Exactly 222.92%
Exactly 43.18%
Exactly 60.18%
 
Exactly 135.50%
Exactly 39.87%
Exactly 50.82%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Las Palmas
Exactly 067.04%
Exactly 126.81%
Exactly 25.36%
Exactly 30.71%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Villarreal
Exactly 041.01%
Exactly 136.55%
Exactly 216.29%
Exactly 34.84%
Exactly 41.08%
Exactly 50.19%

Alternate Props

Spread

Las Palmas
Wins by 2+ goals5.05%
Wins by 3+ goals1.19%
Wins by 4+ goals0.21%
Villarreal
Wins by 2+ goals37.39%
Wins by 3+ goals18.21%
Wins by 4+ goals7.30%
Wins by 5+ goals2.43%
Wins by 6+ goals0.66%
Wins by 7+ goals0.12%

Exact Winning Margin

Las Palmas
Villarreal
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
Las Palmas
Wins by 1 goal11.13%
Wins by 2 goals3.86%
Wins by 3 goals0.98%
Wins by 4 goals0.19%
Villarreal
Wins by 1 goal24.82%
Wins by 2 goals19.18%
Wins by 3 goals10.91%
Wins by 4 goals4.87%
Wins by 5 goals1.78%
Wins by 6 goals0.54%
Wins by 7 goals0.12%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.593.85%6.15%
1.576.70%23.30%
2.552.79%47.21%
3.530.56%69.44%
4.515.06%84.94%
5.56.42%93.58%
6.52.40%97.60%

Total Goals Las Palmas Over/Under

OverUnder
0.557.84%42.16%
1.521.43%78.57%
2.55.70%94.30%
3.51.17%98.83%

Total Goals Villarreal Over/Under

OverUnder
0.585.42%14.58%
1.557.34%42.66%
2.530.31%69.69%
3.512.97%87.03%
4.54.62%95.38%
5.51.40%98.60%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.572.51%27.49%
1.537.01%62.99%
2.514.09%85.91%
3.54.22%95.78%
4.51.04%98.96%

Score Props

Correct Score

Las Palmas
Villarreal
Score012345
0
6.15%
11.84%
11.40%
7.31%
3.52%
1.36%
1
5.31%
10.22%
9.84%
6.32%
3.04%
1.17%
2
2.29%
4.41%
4.25%
2.73%
1.31%
0.51%
3
0.66%
1.27%
1.22%
0.79%
0.38%
0.15%
4
0.14%
0.27%
0.26%
0.17%
0.08%
0.03%
Las Palmas
1-05.31%
2-02.29%
2-14.41%
3-00.66%
3-11.27%
3-21.22%
4-00.14%
4-10.27%
4-20.26%
4-30.17%
Draw
0-06.15%
1-110.22%
2-24.25%
3-30.79%
Villarreal
0-111.84%
0-211.40%
1-29.84%
0-37.31%
1-36.32%
2-32.73%
0-43.52%
1-43.04%
2-41.31%
3-40.38%
0-51.36%
1-51.17%
2-50.51%
3-50.15%

Correct Score - First Half

Las Palmas
Villarreal
Score012345
0
27.49%
24.51%
10.92%
3.25%
0.72%
0.13%
1
10.99%
9.80%
4.37%
1.30%
0.29%
0.05%
2
2.20%
1.96%
0.87%
0.26%
0.06%
0.01%
3
0.29%
0.26%
0.12%
0.03%
0.01%
0.00%
Las Palmas
1-010.99%
2-02.20%
2-11.96%
3-00.29%
3-10.26%
3-20.12%
Draw
0-027.49%
1-19.80%
2-20.87%
Villarreal
0-124.51%
0-210.92%
1-24.37%
0-33.25%
1-31.30%
2-30.26%
0-40.72%
1-40.29%
0-50.13%