Villarreal at Valencia

Updated

Villarreal

27.0%25.4%47.6%
Villarreal WinDrawValencia Win
1.09Projected Goals 1.54
1Final Score 1

Valencia

Last 5 Games

Villarreal
Money Line
W 3-4 vs Celta Vigo-135
W 2-1 at Sevilla+220
T 2-2 vs Atletico Madrid+260
T 1-1 at Osasuna+152
T 4-4 vs Real Madrid+205
Valencia
Money Line
L 0-1 at Athletic Club+455
L 1-3 at Celta Vigo+260
L 2-1 vs Barcelona+350
T 2-2 at Celta Vigo+325
L 3-1 vs Girona+278

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.7%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Villarreal+160+182+170+192+182+192+192+202.2
Valencia+155+165+165+160+163+160+165+169.0
Draw+265+225+235+225+228+225+235+236.3
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Villarreal+138-+182+150+150+170+182+202.2
Valencia+191-+158+160+145+170+170+169.0
Draw+240-+222+230+215+220+230+236.3

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Villarreal: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Valencia: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Villarreal: 0.0%
Valencia: 40.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Villarreal: 0.0%
Valencia: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Villarreal ML moved from +175 to +168
Valencia ML moved from +180 to +160

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Villarreal: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Valencia: 50.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Villarreal: 0.0%
Valencia: 40.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Villarreal: 0.0%
Valencia: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Villarreal ML moved from +173 to +163
Valencia ML moved from +173 to +158

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
-2.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
-2.0%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¾-105o2½+105o2¼-122o2¼-112o2¼-118o2¼-112o2¼-112o2¼-102
Underu2¾-115u2½-123u2¼+102u2¼-108u2¼+102u2¼-108u2½-123u2¼+102
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-125o2½-105o2½+108o2½-120o2½-125o2½-105o2½+108o2¼-102
Underu2½+105u2½-115u2½-128u2½+100u2½-105u2½-115u2½+100u2¼+102

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u2½-122 to u2¼-108

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 30.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes52.2%
 
No47.8%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 07.19%
Exactly 224.91%
Exactly 414.39%
Exactly 63.33%
Exactly 80.41%
 
Exactly 118.92%
Exactly 321.86%
Exactly 57.58%
Exactly 71.25%
Exactly 90.12%
Exact Goals Scored - Villarreal
Exactly 033.52%
Exactly 136.64%
Exactly 220.02%
Exactly 37.30%
Exactly 41.99%
Exactly 50.44%
Exact Goals Scored - Valencia
Exactly 021.44%
Exactly 133.02%
Exactly 225.42%
Exactly 313.05%
Exactly 45.02%
Exactly 51.55%
Exactly 60.40%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 029.55%
Exactly 221.96%
Exactly 42.72%
Exactly 60.13%
 
Exactly 136.02%
Exactly 38.92%
Exactly 50.66%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Villarreal
Exactly 060.28%
Exactly 130.51%
Exactly 27.72%
Exactly 31.30%
Exactly 40.16%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Valencia
Exactly 049.02%
Exactly 134.95%
Exactly 212.46%
Exactly 32.96%
Exactly 40.53%

Alternate Props

Spread

Villarreal
Wins by 2+ goals10.26%
Wins by 3+ goals3.00%
Wins by 4+ goals0.66%
Valencia
Wins by 2+ goals24.11%
Wins by 3+ goals9.68%
Wins by 4+ goals3.13%
Wins by 5+ goals0.80%
Wins by 6+ goals0.13%

Exact Winning Margin

Villarreal
Valencia
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
Villarreal
Wins by 1 goal16.60%
Wins by 2 goals7.27%
Wins by 3 goals2.33%
Wins by 4 goals0.57%
Valencia
Wins by 1 goal23.39%
Wins by 2 goals14.43%
Wins by 3 goals6.55%
Wins by 4 goals2.33%
Wins by 5 goals0.66%
Wins by 6 goals0.13%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.592.81%7.19%
1.573.89%26.11%
2.548.98%51.02%
3.527.12%72.88%
4.512.73%87.27%
5.55.15%94.85%
6.51.82%98.18%

Total Goals Villarreal Over/Under

OverUnder
0.566.48%33.52%
1.529.84%70.16%
2.59.82%90.18%
3.52.52%97.48%

Total Goals Valencia Over/Under

OverUnder
0.578.56%21.44%
1.545.54%54.46%
2.520.12%79.88%
3.57.07%92.93%
4.52.05%97.95%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.570.45%29.55%
1.534.43%65.57%
2.512.47%87.53%
3.53.54%96.46%

Score Props

Correct Score

Villarreal
Valencia
Score012345
0
7.19%
11.07%
8.52%
4.37%
1.68%
0.52%
1
7.86%
12.10%
9.31%
4.78%
1.84%
0.57%
2
4.29%
6.61%
5.09%
2.61%
1.01%
0.31%
3
1.56%
2.41%
1.85%
0.95%
0.37%
0.11%
4
0.43%
0.66%
0.51%
0.26%
0.10%
0.03%
Villarreal
1-07.86%
2-04.29%
2-16.61%
3-01.56%
3-12.41%
3-21.85%
4-00.43%
4-10.66%
4-20.51%
4-30.26%
Draw
0-07.19%
1-112.10%
2-25.09%
3-30.95%
4-40.10%
Valencia
0-111.07%
0-28.52%
1-29.31%
0-34.37%
1-34.78%
2-32.61%
0-41.68%
1-41.84%
2-41.01%
3-40.37%
0-50.52%
1-50.57%
2-50.31%
3-50.11%

Correct Score - First Half

Villarreal
Valencia
Score01234
0
29.55%
21.07%
7.51%
1.78%
0.32%
1
14.96%
10.66%
3.80%
0.90%
0.16%
2
3.78%
2.70%
0.96%
0.23%
0.04%
3
0.64%
0.46%
0.16%
0.04%
0.01%
Villarreal
1-014.96%
2-03.78%
2-12.70%
3-00.64%
3-10.46%
3-20.16%
Draw
0-029.55%
1-110.66%
2-20.96%
Valencia
0-121.07%
0-27.51%
1-23.80%
0-31.78%
1-30.90%
2-30.23%
0-40.32%
1-40.16%