Atletico Madrid at Villarreal

Updated

Atletico Madrid

47.5%26.3%26.2%
Atletico Madrid WinDrawVillarreal Win
1.46Projected Goals 1.02
2Final Score 2

Villarreal

Last 5 Games

Atletico Madrid
Money Line
W 2-0 at Real Sociedad+180
L 4-1 vs Osasuna-300
W 3-0 at Getafe-140
W 0-1 vs Celta Vigo-260
W 1-0 at Mallorca+118
Villarreal
Money Line
T 1-1 at Osasuna+152
T 4-4 vs Real Madrid+205
W 1-0 at Girona+360
W 2-3 vs Sevilla-103
L 2-3 at Celta Vigo+170

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.2%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Atletico Madrid+140+109+105+110+105+110+110+117.5
Villarreal+190+251+255+258+261+258+261+270.8
Draw+250+260+250+257+269+257+269+269.7
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Atletico Madrid+110-+103+100-120+100+103+117.5
Villarreal+235-+257+250+240+260+260+270.8
Draw+260-+257+240+250+265+265+269.7

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Atletico Madrid: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Villarreal: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Atletico Madrid: 10.0%
Villarreal: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Atletico Madrid: 0.0%
Villarreal: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Atletico Madrid ML moved from +100 to -106
Villarreal ML moved from +267 to +261

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Atletico Madrid: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Villarreal: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Atletico Madrid: 0.0%
Villarreal: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Atletico Madrid: 0.0%
Villarreal: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Atletico Madrid ML moved from +100 to -101
Villarreal ML moved from +265 to +245

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.0%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¾-108o2½-128o2¾+100o2¾-102o2¾+102o2¾-102o2½-128o2¾+107
Underu2¾-112u2½+109u2¾-120u2¾-118u2¾-118u2¾-118u2¾-118u2¾-107
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-140o2½-135o2½-120o2½-130o2½-125o2½-135o2½-120o2¾+107
Underu2½+120u2½+115u2½+100u2½+110u2½-105u2½+115u2½+115u2¾-107

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u3-130 to u2½+110

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes49.1%
 
No50.9%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 08.36%
Exactly 225.75%
Exactly 413.21%
Exactly 62.71%
Exactly 80.30%
 
Exactly 120.75%
Exactly 321.29%
Exactly 56.56%
Exactly 70.96%
Exact Goals Scored - Atletico Madrid
Exactly 023.12%
Exactly 133.86%
Exactly 224.79%
Exactly 312.10%
Exactly 44.43%
Exactly 51.30%
Exactly 60.32%
Exact Goals Scored - Villarreal
Exactly 036.17%
Exactly 136.78%
Exactly 218.70%
Exactly 36.34%
Exactly 41.61%
Exactly 50.33%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 031.70%
Exactly 220.92%
Exactly 42.30%
Exactly 60.10%
 
Exactly 136.42%
Exactly 38.01%
Exactly 50.53%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Atletico Madrid
Exactly 050.76%
Exactly 134.42%
Exactly 211.67%
Exactly 32.64%
Exactly 40.45%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Villarreal
Exactly 062.45%
Exactly 129.40%
Exactly 26.92%
Exactly 31.09%
Exactly 40.13%

Alternate Props

Spread

Atletico Madrid
Wins by 2+ goals23.45%
Wins by 3+ goals9.11%
Wins by 4+ goals2.84%
Wins by 5+ goals0.70%
Villarreal
Wins by 2+ goals9.56%
Wins by 3+ goals2.65%
Wins by 4+ goals0.56%

Exact Winning Margin

Atletico Madrid
Villarreal
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
Atletico Madrid
Wins by 1 goal23.93%
Wins by 2 goals14.34%
Wins by 3 goals6.27%
Wins by 4 goals2.14%
Wins by 5 goals0.59%
Villarreal
Wins by 1 goal16.62%
Wins by 2 goals6.91%
Wins by 3 goals2.09%
Wins by 4 goals0.48%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.591.64%8.36%
1.570.89%29.11%
2.545.14%54.86%
3.523.84%76.16%
4.510.63%89.37%
5.54.08%95.92%
6.51.37%98.63%

Total Goals Atletico Madrid Over/Under

OverUnder
0.576.88%23.12%
1.543.02%56.98%
2.518.23%81.77%
3.56.13%93.87%
4.51.70%98.30%

Total Goals Villarreal Over/Under

OverUnder
0.563.83%36.17%
1.527.05%72.95%
2.58.34%91.66%
3.52.00%98.00%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.568.30%31.70%
1.531.88%68.12%
2.510.96%89.04%
3.52.95%97.05%

Score Props

Correct Score

Atletico Madrid
Villarreal
Score01234
0
8.36%
8.50%
4.32%
1.47%
0.37%
1
12.25%
12.45%
6.33%
2.15%
0.55%
2
8.97%
9.12%
4.64%
1.57%
0.40%
3
4.38%
4.45%
2.26%
0.77%
0.20%
4
1.60%
1.63%
0.83%
0.28%
0.07%
5
0.47%
0.48%
0.24%
0.08%
0.02%
Atletico Madrid
1-012.25%
2-08.97%
2-19.12%
3-04.38%
3-14.45%
3-22.26%
4-01.60%
4-11.63%
4-20.83%
4-30.28%
5-00.47%
5-10.48%
5-20.24%
Draw
0-08.36%
1-112.45%
2-24.64%
3-30.77%
Villarreal
0-18.50%
0-24.32%
1-26.33%
0-31.47%
1-32.15%
2-31.57%
0-40.37%
1-40.55%
2-40.40%
3-40.20%

Correct Score - First Half

Atletico Madrid
Villarreal
Score0123
0
31.70%
14.92%
3.51%
0.55%
1
21.49%
10.12%
2.38%
0.37%
2
7.29%
3.43%
0.81%
0.13%
3
1.65%
0.78%
0.18%
0.03%
4
0.28%
0.13%
0.03%
0.00%
Atletico Madrid
1-021.49%
2-07.29%
2-13.43%
3-01.65%
3-10.78%
3-20.18%
4-00.28%
4-10.13%
Draw
0-031.70%
1-110.12%
2-20.81%
Villarreal
0-114.92%
0-23.51%
1-22.38%
0-30.55%
1-30.37%
2-30.13%