Celta Vigo at Villarreal

Updated

Celta Vigo

21.8%23.7%54.5%
Celta Vigo WinDrawVillarreal Win
1.01Projected Goals 1.74
3Final Score 4

Villarreal

Last 5 Games

Celta Vigo
Money Line
W 1-3 vs Valencia+110
W 1-2 vs Alaves+108
T 2-2 vs Valencia-110
W 2-1 at Granada+100
W 1-2 vs Athletic Club+140
Villarreal
Money Line
W 2-1 at Sevilla+220
T 2-2 vs Atletico Madrid+260
T 1-1 at Osasuna+152
T 4-4 vs Real Madrid+205
W 1-0 at Girona+360

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Celta Vigo+292+390+370+412+403+412+412+430.3
Villarreal-109-148-150-155-151-155-148-142.1
Draw+280+318+320+330+326+330+330+345.4
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Celta Vigo+315-+400+315+270+375+375+430.3
Villarreal-150--145-150-135-145-135-142.1
Draw+250-+310+270+255+305+310+345.4

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Celta Vigo: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Villarreal: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Celta Vigo: 20.0%
Villarreal: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Celta Vigo: 20.0%
Villarreal: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Celta Vigo ML moved from +403 to +395
Villarreal ML moved from -140 to -152

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Celta Vigo: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Villarreal: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Celta Vigo: 10.0%
Villarreal: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Celta Vigo: 0.0%
Villarreal: 10.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Celta Vigo ML moved from +400 to +360
Villarreal ML moved from -130 to -150

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.3%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-128o3-109o3-110o3-110o3-105o3-110o3-105o3+100
Underu2½+109u3-108u3-110u3-110u3-115u3-110u3-108u3+100
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-120o3-110o3-110o3-110o3+100o3-110o3+100o3+100
Underu2½-110u3-110u3-110u3-110u3-130u3-110u3-110u3+100

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o2½-125 to o3+105
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes52.4%
 
No47.6%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 06.41%
Exactly 224.19%
Exactly 415.22%
Exactly 63.83%
Exactly 80.52%
 
Exactly 117.61%
Exactly 322.15%
Exactly 58.36%
Exactly 71.50%
Exactly 90.16%
Exact Goals Scored - Celta Vigo
Exactly 036.45%
Exactly 136.79%
Exactly 218.56%
Exactly 36.24%
Exactly 41.58%
Exactly 50.32%
Exact Goals Scored - Villarreal
Exactly 017.58%
Exactly 130.56%
Exactly 226.56%
Exactly 315.39%
Exactly 46.69%
Exactly 52.33%
Exactly 60.67%
Exactly 70.17%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 028.02%
Exactly 222.68%
Exactly 43.06%
Exactly 60.16%
 
Exactly 135.65%
Exactly 39.62%
Exactly 50.78%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Celta Vigo
Exactly 062.67%
Exactly 129.28%
Exactly 26.84%
Exactly 31.07%
Exactly 40.12%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Villarreal
Exactly 044.71%
Exactly 135.99%
Exactly 214.48%
Exactly 33.89%
Exactly 40.78%
Exactly 50.13%

Alternate Props

Spread

Celta Vigo
Wins by 2+ goals7.73%
Wins by 3+ goals2.09%
Wins by 4+ goals0.43%
Villarreal
Wins by 2+ goals30.22%
Wins by 3+ goals13.47%
Wins by 4+ goals4.92%
Wins by 5+ goals1.49%
Wins by 6+ goals0.37%

Exact Winning Margin

Celta Vigo
Villarreal
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
Celta Vigo
Wins by 1 goal14.06%
Wins by 2 goals5.64%
Wins by 3 goals1.66%
Wins by 4 goals0.37%
Villarreal
Wins by 1 goal24.23%
Wins by 2 goals16.74%
Wins by 3 goals8.55%
Wins by 4 goals3.43%
Wins by 5 goals1.13%
Wins by 6 goals0.31%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.593.59%6.41%
1.575.98%24.02%
2.551.80%48.20%
3.529.64%70.36%
4.514.42%85.58%
5.56.06%93.94%
6.52.23%97.77%

Total Goals Celta Vigo Over/Under

OverUnder
0.563.55%36.45%
1.526.76%73.24%
2.58.20%91.80%
3.51.96%98.04%

Total Goals Villarreal Over/Under

OverUnder
0.582.42%17.58%
1.551.86%48.14%
2.525.29%74.71%
3.59.90%90.10%
4.53.21%96.79%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.571.98%28.02%
1.536.33%63.67%
2.513.65%86.35%
3.54.04%95.96%

Score Props

Correct Score

Celta Vigo
Villarreal
Score012345
0
6.41%
11.14%
9.68%
5.61%
2.44%
0.85%
1
6.47%
11.24%
9.77%
5.66%
2.46%
0.86%
2
3.26%
5.67%
4.93%
2.86%
1.24%
0.43%
3
1.10%
1.91%
1.66%
0.96%
0.42%
0.15%
4
0.28%
0.48%
0.42%
0.24%
0.11%
0.04%
Celta Vigo
1-06.47%
2-03.26%
2-15.67%
3-01.10%
3-11.91%
3-21.66%
4-00.28%
4-10.48%
4-20.42%
4-30.24%
Draw
0-06.41%
1-111.24%
2-24.93%
3-30.96%
4-40.11%
Villarreal
0-111.14%
0-29.68%
1-29.77%
0-35.61%
1-35.66%
2-32.86%
0-42.44%
1-42.46%
2-41.24%
3-40.42%
0-50.85%
1-50.86%
2-50.43%
3-50.15%

Correct Score - First Half

Celta Vigo
Villarreal
Score01234
0
28.02%
22.56%
9.08%
2.44%
0.49%
1
13.09%
10.54%
4.24%
1.14%
0.23%
2
3.06%
2.46%
0.99%
0.27%
0.05%
3
0.48%
0.38%
0.15%
0.04%
0.01%
Celta Vigo
1-013.09%
2-03.06%
2-12.46%
3-00.48%
3-10.38%
3-20.15%
Draw
0-028.02%
1-110.54%
2-20.99%
Villarreal
0-122.56%
0-29.08%
1-24.24%
0-32.44%
1-31.14%
2-30.27%
0-40.49%
1-40.23%