Valencia at Celta Vigo

Updated

Valencia

29.7%27.1%43.2%
Valencia WinDrawCelta Vigo Win
1.07Projected Goals 1.36
2Final Score 2

Celta Vigo

Last 5 Games

Valencia
Money Line
L 3-1 vs Girona+278
L 0-1 at Real Sociedad+670
T 0-0 vs Rayo Vallecano+125
L 1-0 vs Alaves+118
L 2-4 at Barcelona+825
Celta Vigo
Money Line
W 2-1 at Granada+100
W 1-2 vs Athletic Club+140
L 0-1 at Atletico Madrid+740
W 2-3 vs Villarreal+170
L 0-3 at Alaves+190

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.6%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Valencia+275+290+290+305+305+305+305+319.2
Celta Vigo+102-104-110-108-108-108-104-100.7
Draw+247+265+270+272+272+272+272+285.0
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Valencia+295-+300-+275+325+325+319.2
Celta Vigo-105--110--130-115-110-100.7
Draw+250-+259-+240+255+259+285.0

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Valencia: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Celta Vigo: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Valencia: 30.0%
Celta Vigo: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Valencia: 0.0%
Celta Vigo: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Valencia ML moved from +299 to +290
Celta Vigo ML moved from -112 to -125

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Valencia: 60.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Celta Vigo: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Valencia: 30.0%
Celta Vigo: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Valencia: 30.0%
Celta Vigo: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Valencia ML moved from +353 to +300
Celta Vigo ML moved from -110 to -125

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.4%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-103o2½-131o2½-122o2¾-104o2¾-104o2¾-104o2½-122o2¾+105
Underu2½-117u2½+111u2½+102u2¾-116u2¾-116u2¾-116u2¾-116u2¾-105
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-105o2½-120o2½-115-o2½-125o2½-120o2½-115o2¾+105
Underu2½-115u2½+100u2½-105-u2½-105u2½+100u2½+100u2¾-105

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o2½-116 to o2¾-104
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes48.9%
 
No51.1%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 08.78%
Exactly 225.98%
Exactly 412.82%
Exactly 62.53%
Exactly 80.27%
 
Exactly 121.35%
Exactly 321.07%
Exactly 56.24%
Exactly 70.88%
Exact Goals Scored - Valencia
Exactly 034.07%
Exactly 136.68%
Exactly 219.75%
Exactly 37.09%
Exactly 41.91%
Exactly 50.41%
Exact Goals Scored - Celta Vigo
Exactly 025.76%
Exactly 134.94%
Exactly 223.70%
Exactly 310.71%
Exactly 43.63%
Exactly 50.99%
Exactly 60.22%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 032.42%
Exactly 220.57%
Exactly 42.18%
 
Exactly 136.52%
Exactly 37.72%
Exactly 50.49%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Valencia
Exactly 060.74%
Exactly 130.28%
Exactly 27.55%
Exactly 31.25%
Exactly 40.16%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Celta Vigo
Exactly 053.37%
Exactly 133.51%
Exactly 210.52%
Exactly 32.20%
Exactly 40.35%

Alternate Props

Spread

Valencia
Wins by 2+ goals11.39%
Wins by 3+ goals3.33%
Wins by 4+ goals0.74%
Wins by 5+ goals0.11%
Celta Vigo
Wins by 2+ goals20.12%
Wins by 3+ goals7.33%
Wins by 4+ goals2.14%
Wins by 5+ goals0.49%

Exact Winning Margin

Valencia
Celta Vigo
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Valencia
Wins by 1 goal18.25%
Wins by 2 goals8.06%
Wins by 3 goals2.59%
Wins by 4 goals0.64%
Wins by 5 goals0.11%
Celta Vigo
Wins by 1 goal22.99%
Wins by 2 goals12.79%
Wins by 3 goals5.19%
Wins by 4 goals1.64%
Wins by 5 goals0.42%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.591.22%8.78%
1.569.87%30.13%
2.543.89%56.11%
3.522.82%77.18%
4.510.01%89.99%
5.53.77%96.23%
6.51.24%98.76%

Total Goals Valencia Over/Under

OverUnder
0.565.93%34.07%
1.529.25%70.75%
2.59.49%90.51%
3.52.41%97.59%

Total Goals Celta Vigo Over/Under

OverUnder
0.574.24%25.76%
1.539.30%60.70%
2.515.61%84.39%
3.54.89%95.11%
4.51.26%98.74%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.567.58%32.42%
1.531.07%68.93%
2.510.50%89.50%
3.52.77%97.23%

Score Props

Correct Score

Valencia
Celta Vigo
Score012345
0
8.78%
11.90%
8.07%
3.65%
1.24%
0.34%
1
9.45%
12.82%
8.69%
3.93%
1.33%
0.36%
2
5.09%
6.90%
4.68%
2.12%
0.72%
0.19%
3
1.83%
2.48%
1.68%
0.76%
0.26%
0.07%
4
0.49%
0.67%
0.45%
0.20%
0.07%
0.02%
5
0.11%
0.14%
0.10%
0.04%
0.01%
0.00%
Valencia
1-09.45%
2-05.09%
2-16.90%
3-01.83%
3-12.48%
3-21.68%
4-00.49%
4-10.67%
4-20.45%
4-30.20%
5-00.11%
5-10.14%
Draw
0-08.78%
1-112.82%
2-24.68%
3-30.76%
Celta Vigo
0-111.90%
0-28.07%
1-28.69%
0-33.65%
1-33.93%
2-32.12%
0-41.24%
1-41.33%
2-40.72%
3-40.26%
0-50.34%
1-50.36%
2-50.19%

Correct Score - First Half

Valencia
Celta Vigo
Score01234
0
32.42%
20.36%
6.39%
1.34%
0.21%
1
16.16%
10.15%
3.19%
0.67%
0.10%
2
4.03%
2.53%
0.79%
0.17%
0.03%
3
0.67%
0.42%
0.13%
0.03%
0.00%
Valencia
1-016.16%
2-04.03%
2-12.53%
3-00.67%
3-10.42%
3-20.13%
Draw
0-032.42%
1-110.15%
2-20.79%
Celta Vigo
0-120.36%
0-26.39%
1-23.19%
0-31.34%
1-30.67%
2-30.17%
0-40.21%
1-40.10%