Barcelona at Villarreal

Updated

Barcelona

55.3%23.1%21.6%
Barcelona WinDrawVillarreal Win
1.80Projected Goals 1.03
5Final Score 1

Villarreal

Last 5 Games

Barcelona
Money Line
W 4-1 at Girona-133
W 0-7 vs Valladolid-450
W 2-1 at Rayo Vallecano-150
W 1-2 vs Athletic Club-170
W 2-1 at Valencia-125
Villarreal
Money Line
W 2-1 at Mallorca+225
T 1-1 at Valencia+182
W 3-4 vs Celta Vigo-135
W 2-1 at Sevilla+220
T 2-2 vs Atletico Madrid+260

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.0%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Barcelona-125-111-135-110-113-110-110-102.5
Villarreal+307+277+310+285+279+285+310+298.4
Draw+319+302+330+298+306+298+330+311.9
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Barcelona-135--115--150-110-110-102.5
Villarreal+320-+270-+285+260+285+298.4
Draw+320-+305-+275+300+305+311.9

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Barcelona: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Villarreal: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Barcelona: 20.0%
Villarreal: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Barcelona: 0.0%
Villarreal: 40.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Barcelona ML moved from -115 to -125
Villarreal ML moved from +279 to +269

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Barcelona: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Villarreal: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Barcelona: 20.0%
Villarreal: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Barcelona: 0.0%
Villarreal: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Barcelona ML moved from -115 to -125
Villarreal ML moved from +306 to +270

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3½+105o3½+100o3½+100o3¼-122o3½+103o3¼-122o3¼-122o3¼-111
Underu3½-123u3½-118u3½-120u3¼+102u3½-119u3¼+102u3½-118u3¼+111
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3½+100o3½+100o3½+102-o3½-105o3½+100o3½+102o3¼-111
Underu3½-120u3½-120u3½-122-u3½-125u3½-120u3½-120u3¼+111

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u3½-118 to u3¼-107

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes53.8%
 
No46.2%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 05.90%
Exactly 223.62%
Exactly 415.78%
Exactly 64.22%
Exactly 80.60%
 
Exactly 116.69%
Exactly 322.29%
Exactly 58.93%
Exactly 71.70%
Exactly 90.19%
Exact Goals Scored - Barcelona
Exactly 016.58%
Exactly 129.79%
Exactly 226.77%
Exactly 316.04%
Exactly 47.21%
Exactly 52.59%
Exactly 60.78%
Exactly 70.20%
Exact Goals Scored - Villarreal
Exactly 035.56%
Exactly 136.77%
Exactly 219.01%
Exactly 36.55%
Exactly 41.69%
Exactly 50.35%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 026.96%
Exactly 223.16%
Exactly 43.32%
Exactly 60.19%
 
Exactly 135.34%
Exactly 310.12%
Exactly 50.87%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Barcelona
Exactly 043.51%
Exactly 136.21%
Exactly 215.06%
Exactly 34.18%
Exactly 40.87%
Exactly 50.14%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Villarreal
Exactly 061.96%
Exactly 129.66%
Exactly 27.10%
Exactly 31.13%
Exactly 40.14%

Alternate Props

Spread

Barcelona
Wins by 2+ goals31.21%
Wins by 3+ goals14.24%
Wins by 4+ goals5.34%
Wins by 5+ goals1.66%
Villarreal
Wins by 2+ goals7.74%
Wins by 3+ goals2.13%
Wins by 4+ goals0.44%

Exact Winning Margin

Barcelona
Villarreal
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
Barcelona
Wins by 1 goal24.00%
Wins by 2 goals16.97%
Wins by 3 goals8.90%
Wins by 4 goals3.68%
Wins by 5 goals1.24%
Villarreal
Wins by 1 goal13.81%
Wins by 2 goals5.61%
Wins by 3 goals1.68%
Wins by 4 goals0.38%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.594.10%5.90%
1.577.41%22.59%
2.553.79%46.21%
3.531.50%68.50%
4.515.72%84.28%
5.56.78%93.22%
6.52.57%97.43%

Total Goals Barcelona Over/Under

OverUnder
0.583.42%16.58%
1.553.63%46.37%
2.526.86%73.14%
3.510.83%89.17%
4.53.62%96.38%
5.51.03%98.97%

Total Goals Villarreal Over/Under

OverUnder
0.564.44%35.56%
1.527.67%72.33%
2.58.66%91.34%
3.52.11%97.89%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.573.04%26.96%
1.537.70%62.30%
2.514.54%85.46%
3.54.42%95.58%
4.51.10%98.90%

Score Props

Correct Score

Barcelona
Villarreal
Score01234
0
5.90%
6.09%
3.15%
1.09%
0.28%
1
10.59%
10.95%
5.66%
1.95%
0.50%
2
9.52%
9.84%
5.09%
1.75%
0.45%
3
5.70%
5.90%
3.05%
1.05%
0.27%
4
2.56%
2.65%
1.37%
0.47%
0.12%
5
0.92%
0.95%
0.49%
0.17%
0.04%
Barcelona
1-010.59%
2-09.52%
2-19.84%
3-05.70%
3-15.90%
3-23.05%
4-02.56%
4-12.65%
4-21.37%
4-30.47%
5-00.92%
5-10.95%
5-20.49%
5-30.17%
Draw
0-05.90%
1-110.95%
2-25.09%
3-31.05%
4-40.12%
Villarreal
0-16.09%
0-23.15%
1-25.66%
0-31.09%
1-31.95%
2-31.75%
0-40.28%
1-40.50%
2-40.45%
3-40.27%

Correct Score - First Half

Barcelona
Villarreal
Score0123
0
26.96%
12.91%
3.09%
0.49%
1
22.43%
10.74%
2.57%
0.41%
2
9.33%
4.47%
1.07%
0.17%
3
2.59%
1.24%
0.30%
0.05%
4
0.54%
0.26%
0.06%
0.01%
Barcelona
1-022.43%
2-09.33%
2-14.47%
3-02.59%
3-11.24%
3-20.30%
4-00.54%
4-10.26%
Draw
0-026.96%
1-110.74%
2-21.07%
Villarreal
0-112.91%
0-23.09%
1-22.57%
0-30.49%
1-30.41%
2-30.17%