Villarreal at Real Madrid

Updated

Villarreal

6.5%12.4%81.1%
WinDrawReal Madrid Win
0.69Projected Goals 2.80
0Final Score 2

Real Madrid

Last 5 Games

Villarreal
Money Line
W 1-3 vs Las Palmas-210
W 2-1 at Espanyol+120
L 5-1 vs Barcelona+285
W 2-1 at Mallorca+225
T 1-1 at Valencia+182
Real Madrid
Money Line
T 1-1 at Atletico Madrid+165
W 2-3 vs Alaves-575
W 1-4 vs Espanyol-915
W 2-0 at Real Sociedad-125
W 0-2 vs Betis-400

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.6%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Villarreal+975+887+800+965+946+965+965+1002.2
Real Madrid-416-366-385-375-404-375-366-321.7
Draw+611+552+575+560+555+560+575+583.0
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Villarreal+875-+875--+875+875+1002.2
Real Madrid-400--410---400-400-321.7
Draw+575-+585--+575+585+583.0

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Villarreal: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Real Madrid: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Villarreal: 0.0%
Real Madrid: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Villarreal: 20.0%
Real Madrid: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Villarreal ML moved from +800 to +775
Real Madrid ML moved from -360 to -385

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Villarreal: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Real Madrid: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Villarreal: 0.0%
Real Madrid: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Villarreal: 0.0%
Real Madrid: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Villarreal ML
Real Madrid ML moved from -395 to -410

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.2%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3½-128o3½-125o3¾+100o3½-125o3¾+102o3½-125o3½-125o3½-114
Underu3½+109u3½+106u3¾-120u3½+105u3¾-118u3½+105u3¾-118u3½+114
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3½-120o3½-125o3½-125-o3½-120o3½-125o3½-120o3½-114
Underu3½+100u3½+105u3½+105-u3½-110u3½+105u3½+105u3½+114

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes46.6%
 
No53.4%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 03.06%
Exactly 218.60%
Exactly 418.85%
Exactly 67.64%
Exactly 81.66%
Exactly 100.22%
 
Exactly 110.67%
Exactly 321.62%
Exactly 513.14%
Exactly 73.80%
Exactly 90.64%
Exact Goals Scored - Villarreal
Exactly 050.44%
Exactly 134.52%
Exactly 211.81%
Exactly 32.69%
Exactly 40.46%
Exact Goals Scored - Real Madrid
Exactly 06.07%
Exactly 117.00%
Exactly 223.82%
Exactly 322.25%
Exactly 415.59%
Exactly 58.74%
Exactly 64.08%
Exactly 71.63%
Exactly 80.57%
Exactly 90.18%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 019.90%
Exactly 225.93%
Exactly 45.63%
Exactly 60.49%
 
Exactly 132.13%
Exactly 313.96%
Exactly 51.82%
Exactly 70.11%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Villarreal
Exactly 072.84%
Exactly 123.08%
Exactly 23.66%
Exactly 30.39%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Real Madrid
Exactly 027.32%
Exactly 135.45%
Exactly 223.00%
Exactly 39.95%
Exactly 43.23%
Exactly 50.84%
Exactly 60.18%

Alternate Props

Spread

Villarreal
Wins by 2+ goals1.55%
Wins by 3+ goals0.27%
Real Madrid
Wins by 2+ goals61.16%
Wins by 3+ goals39.37%
Wins by 4+ goals21.61%
Wins by 5+ goals10.20%
Wins by 6+ goals4.18%
Wins by 7+ goals1.48%
Wins by 8+ goals0.44%

Exact Winning Margin

Villarreal
Real Madrid
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Villarreal
Wins by 1 goal4.85%
Wins by 2 goals1.28%
Wins by 3 goals0.24%
Real Madrid
Wins by 1 goal19.89%
Wins by 2 goals21.79%
Wins by 3 goals17.76%
Wins by 4 goals11.41%
Wins by 5 goals6.03%
Wins by 6 goals2.70%
Wins by 7 goals1.04%
Wins by 8 goals0.35%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.596.94%3.06%
1.586.27%13.73%
2.567.67%32.33%
3.546.05%53.95%
4.527.21%72.79%
5.514.07%85.93%
6.56.43%93.57%
7.52.62%97.38%

Total Goals Villarreal Over/Under

OverUnder
0.549.56%50.44%
1.515.04%84.96%
2.53.23%96.77%

Total Goals Real Madrid Over/Under

OverUnder
0.593.93%6.07%
1.576.94%23.06%
2.553.11%46.89%
3.530.86%69.14%
4.515.27%84.73%
5.56.53%93.47%
6.52.45%97.55%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.580.10%19.90%
1.547.97%52.03%
2.522.04%77.96%
3.58.08%91.92%
4.52.45%97.55%

Score Props

Correct Score

Villarreal
Real Madrid
Score012345
0
3.06%
8.57%
12.02%
11.22%
7.86%
4.41%
1
2.09%
5.87%
8.22%
7.68%
5.38%
3.02%
2
0.72%
2.01%
2.81%
2.63%
1.84%
1.03%
3
0.16%
0.46%
0.64%
0.60%
0.42%
0.24%
Villarreal
1-02.09%
2-00.72%
2-12.01%
3-00.16%
3-10.46%
3-20.64%
Draw
0-03.06%
1-15.87%
2-22.81%
3-30.60%
Real Madrid
0-18.57%
0-212.02%
1-28.22%
0-311.22%
1-37.68%
2-32.63%
0-47.86%
1-45.38%
2-41.84%
3-40.42%
0-54.41%
1-53.02%
2-51.03%
3-50.24%

Correct Score - First Half

Villarreal
Real Madrid
Score0123456
0
19.90%
25.82%
16.75%
7.25%
2.35%
0.61%
0.13%
1
6.31%
8.18%
5.31%
2.30%
0.74%
0.19%
0.04%
2
1.00%
1.30%
0.84%
0.36%
0.12%
0.03%
0.01%
3
0.11%
0.14%
0.09%
0.04%
0.01%
0.00%
0.00%
Villarreal
1-06.31%
2-01.00%
2-11.30%
3-00.11%
3-10.14%
Draw
0-019.90%
1-18.18%
2-20.84%
Real Madrid
0-125.82%
0-216.75%
1-25.31%
0-37.25%
1-32.30%
2-30.36%
0-42.35%
1-40.74%
2-40.12%
0-50.61%
1-50.19%
0-60.13%