Alaves at Rayo Vallecano

Updated

Alaves

32.5%29.7%37.8%
Alaves WinDrawRayo Vallecano Win
1.01Projected Goals 1.12
0Final Score 1

Rayo Vallecano

Last 5 Games

Alaves
Money Line
L 3-2 vs Valladolid-168
L 3-0 vs Barcelona+365
L 0-2 at Getafe+254
L 2-3 at Real Madrid+1600
W 1-2 vs Sevilla+115
Rayo Vallecano
Money Line
L 0-1 at Mallorca+310
W 2-1 at Valladolid+150
T 1-1 vs Leganes-115
T 0-0 at Girona+417
T 1-1 vs Atletico Madrid+450

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.1%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Alaves+309+331+330+357+331+357+357+373.3
Rayo Vallecano+106+104+100-101+100-101+104+106.1
Draw+223+214+220+218+209+218+220+229.4
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Alaves+290-+330-+260+330+330+373.3
Rayo Vallecano+110--105--105+100+100+106.1
Draw+215-+225-+195+215+225+229.4

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Alaves: 60.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Rayo Vallecano: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Alaves: 40.0%
Rayo Vallecano: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Alaves: 20.0%
Rayo Vallecano: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Alaves ML moved from +339 to +331
Rayo Vallecano ML moved from +100 to -105

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Alaves: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Rayo Vallecano: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Alaves: 40.0%
Rayo Vallecano: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Alaves: 0.0%
Rayo Vallecano: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Alaves ML moved from +290 to +280
Rayo Vallecano ML moved from +110 to +100

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.3%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2-121o2-106o2-105o2-110o2-106o2-110o2-105o2+100
Underu2+103u2-111u2-115u2-110u2-114u2-110u2-110u2+100
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2-125o2-110o2-112-o2-130o2-115o2-110o2+100
Underu2+105u2-110u2-108-u2+100u2-105u2+100u2+100

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes42.8%
 
No57.2%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 011.89%
Exactly 226.96%
Exactly 410.19%
Exactly 61.54%
Exactly 80.12%
 
Exactly 125.32%
Exactly 319.14%
Exactly 54.34%
Exactly 70.47%
Exact Goals Scored - Alaves
Exactly 036.30%
Exactly 136.78%
Exactly 218.64%
Exactly 36.29%
Exactly 41.59%
Exactly 50.32%
Exact Goals Scored - Rayo Vallecano
Exactly 032.75%
Exactly 136.56%
Exactly 220.41%
Exactly 37.59%
Exactly 42.12%
Exactly 50.47%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 037.31%
Exactly 218.13%
Exactly 41.47%
 
Exactly 136.78%
Exactly 35.96%
Exactly 50.29%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Alaves
Exactly 062.56%
Exactly 129.35%
Exactly 26.88%
Exactly 31.08%
Exactly 40.13%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Rayo Vallecano
Exactly 059.64%
Exactly 130.83%
Exactly 27.97%
Exactly 31.37%
Exactly 40.18%

Alternate Props

Spread

Alaves
Wins by 2+ goals12.21%
Wins by 3+ goals3.46%
Wins by 4+ goals0.75%
Wins by 5+ goals0.11%
Rayo Vallecano
Wins by 2+ goals15.37%
Wins by 3+ goals4.74%
Wins by 4+ goals1.12%
Wins by 5+ goals0.17%

Exact Winning Margin

Alaves
Rayo Vallecano
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Alaves
Wins by 1 goal20.27%
Wins by 2 goals8.75%
Wins by 3 goals2.71%
Wins by 4 goals0.64%
Wins by 5 goals0.11%
Rayo Vallecano
Wins by 1 goal22.33%
Wins by 2 goals10.63%
Wins by 3 goals3.62%
Wins by 4 goals0.94%
Wins by 5 goals0.17%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.588.11%11.89%
1.562.79%37.21%
2.535.84%64.16%
3.516.70%83.30%
4.56.51%93.49%
5.52.17%97.83%

Total Goals Alaves Over/Under

OverUnder
0.563.70%36.30%
1.526.91%73.09%
2.58.27%91.73%
3.51.98%98.02%

Total Goals Rayo Vallecano Over/Under

OverUnder
0.567.25%32.75%
1.530.70%69.30%
2.510.29%89.71%
3.52.70%97.30%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.562.69%37.31%
1.525.91%74.09%
2.57.77%92.23%
3.51.81%98.19%

Score Props

Correct Score

Alaves
Rayo Vallecano
Score012345
0
11.89%
13.27%
7.41%
2.76%
0.77%
0.17%
1
12.05%
13.45%
7.51%
2.79%
0.78%
0.17%
2
6.10%
6.81%
3.80%
1.42%
0.39%
0.09%
3
2.06%
2.30%
1.28%
0.48%
0.13%
0.03%
4
0.52%
0.58%
0.33%
0.12%
0.03%
0.01%
5
0.11%
0.12%
0.07%
0.02%
0.01%
0.00%
Alaves
1-012.05%
2-06.10%
2-16.81%
3-02.06%
3-12.30%
3-21.28%
4-00.52%
4-10.58%
4-20.33%
4-30.12%
5-00.11%
5-10.12%
Draw
0-011.89%
1-113.45%
2-23.80%
3-30.48%
Rayo Vallecano
0-113.27%
0-27.41%
1-27.51%
0-32.76%
1-32.79%
2-31.42%
0-40.77%
1-40.78%
2-40.39%
3-40.13%
0-50.17%
1-50.17%

Correct Score - First Half

Alaves
Rayo Vallecano
Score01234
0
37.31%
19.28%
4.98%
0.86%
0.11%
1
17.50%
9.05%
2.34%
0.40%
0.05%
2
4.11%
2.12%
0.55%
0.09%
0.01%
3
0.64%
0.33%
0.09%
0.01%
0.00%
Alaves
1-017.50%
2-04.11%
2-12.12%
3-00.64%
3-10.33%
Draw
0-037.31%
1-19.05%
2-20.55%
Rayo Vallecano
0-119.28%
0-24.98%
1-22.34%
0-30.86%
1-30.40%
0-40.11%