Real Madrid at Athletic Club

Updated

Real Madrid

49.6%26.1%24.3%
Real Madrid WinDrawAthletic Club Win
1.50Projected Goals 0.96

Athletic Club

Last 5 Games

Real Madrid
Money Line
W 3-0 at Leganes-260
W 0-4 vs Osasuna-415
L 4-0 vs Barcelona+100
W 2-1 at Celta Vigo-175
W 0-2 vs Villarreal-400
Athletic Club
Money Line
W 0-1 vs Real Sociedad+140
T 1-1 at Valladolid-110
T 1-1 vs Betis-115
T 0-0 at Mallorca+215
W 1-4 vs Espanyol-220

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.5%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Real Madrid-105+105+105---+105-
Athletic Club+275+265+250---+265-
Draw+275+259+265---+265-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Real Madrid------
Athletic Club------
Draw------

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Real Madrid: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Athletic Club: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Real Madrid: 20.0%
Athletic Club: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Real Madrid: 0.0%
Athletic Club: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Real Madrid ML moved from +100 to -105
Athletic Club ML moved from +276 to +265

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.3%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¾+100o2½-132o2¾+102---o2¾+102-
Underu2¾-120u2½+112u2¾-122---u2¾-122-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over------
Under------

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes48.0%
 
No52.0%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 08.54%
Exactly 225.85%
Exactly 413.04%
Exactly 62.63%
Exactly 80.28%
 
Exactly 121.01%
Exactly 321.20%
Exactly 56.42%
Exactly 70.93%
Exact Goals Scored - Real Madrid
Exactly 022.36%
Exactly 133.49%
Exactly 225.09%
Exactly 312.53%
Exactly 44.69%
Exactly 51.41%
Exactly 60.35%
Exact Goals Scored - Athletic Club
Exactly 038.18%
Exactly 136.76%
Exactly 217.70%
Exactly 35.68%
Exactly 41.37%
Exactly 50.26%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 032.00%
Exactly 220.77%
Exactly 42.25%
 
Exactly 136.46%
Exactly 37.89%
Exactly 50.51%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Real Madrid
Exactly 049.98%
Exactly 134.66%
Exactly 212.02%
Exactly 32.78%
Exactly 40.48%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Athletic Club
Exactly 064.03%
Exactly 128.55%
Exactly 26.36%
Exactly 30.95%
Exactly 40.11%

Alternate Props

Spread

Real Madrid
Wins by 2+ goals25.04%
Wins by 3+ goals9.94%
Wins by 4+ goals3.17%
Wins by 5+ goals0.80%
Athletic Club
Wins by 2+ goals8.48%
Wins by 3+ goals2.25%
Wins by 4+ goals0.45%

Exact Winning Margin

Real Madrid
Athletic Club
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
Real Madrid
Wins by 1 goal24.51%
Wins by 2 goals15.10%
Wins by 3 goals6.78%
Wins by 4 goals2.37%
Wins by 5 goals0.67%
Athletic Club
Wins by 1 goal15.76%
Wins by 2 goals6.24%
Wins by 3 goals1.79%
Wins by 4 goals0.39%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.591.46%8.54%
1.570.46%29.54%
2.544.61%55.39%
3.523.41%76.59%
4.510.37%89.63%
5.53.95%96.05%
6.51.31%98.69%

Total Goals Real Madrid Over/Under

OverUnder
0.577.64%22.36%
1.544.15%55.85%
2.519.06%80.94%
3.56.54%93.46%
4.51.85%98.15%

Total Goals Athletic Club Over/Under

OverUnder
0.561.82%38.18%
1.525.06%74.94%
2.57.36%92.64%
3.51.68%98.32%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.568.00%32.00%
1.531.54%68.46%
2.510.76%89.24%
3.52.88%97.12%

Score Props

Correct Score

Real Madrid
Athletic Club
Score01234
0
8.54%
8.22%
3.96%
1.27%
0.31%
1
12.79%
12.31%
5.93%
1.90%
0.46%
2
9.58%
9.22%
4.44%
1.43%
0.34%
3
4.78%
4.60%
2.22%
0.71%
0.17%
4
1.79%
1.72%
0.83%
0.27%
0.06%
5
0.54%
0.52%
0.25%
0.08%
0.02%
Real Madrid
1-012.79%
2-09.58%
2-19.22%
3-04.78%
3-14.60%
3-22.22%
4-01.79%
4-11.72%
4-20.83%
4-30.27%
5-00.54%
5-10.52%
5-20.25%
Draw
0-08.54%
1-112.31%
2-24.44%
3-30.71%
Athletic Club
0-18.22%
0-23.96%
1-25.93%
0-31.27%
1-31.90%
2-31.43%
0-40.31%
1-40.46%
2-40.34%
3-40.17%

Correct Score - First Half

Real Madrid
Athletic Club
Score0123
0
32.00%
14.27%
3.18%
0.47%
1
22.19%
9.90%
2.21%
0.33%
2
7.70%
3.43%
0.76%
0.11%
3
1.78%
0.79%
0.18%
0.03%
4
0.31%
0.14%
0.03%
0.00%
Real Madrid
1-022.19%
2-07.70%
2-13.43%
3-01.78%
3-10.79%
3-20.18%
4-00.31%
4-10.14%
Draw
0-032.00%
1-19.90%
2-20.76%
Athletic Club
0-114.27%
0-23.18%
1-22.21%
0-30.47%
1-30.33%
2-30.11%