Real Madrid at Celta Vigo

Updated

Real Madrid

66.1%19.8%14.2%
Real Madrid WinDrawWin
2.09Projected Goals 0.85
2Final Score 1

Celta Vigo

Last 5 Games

Real Madrid
Money Line
W 0-2 vs Villarreal-400
T 1-1 at Atletico Madrid+165
W 2-3 vs Alaves-575
W 1-4 vs Espanyol-915
W 2-0 at Real Sociedad-125
Celta Vigo
Money Line
W 1-0 at Las Palmas+100
T 1-1 vs Girona+160
L 1-0 vs Atletico Madrid+313
L 1-3 at Athletic Club+346
W 1-3 vs Valladolid-150

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.4%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Real Madrid-136-173-180-190-187-190-173-172.0
Celta Vigo+355+451+420+540+471+540+540+563.1
Draw+309+345+360+345+347+345+360+361.1
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Real Madrid-165--188--200-175-175-172.0
Celta Vigo+415-+468-+380+450+468+563.1
Draw+325-+348-+295+330+348+361.1

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Real Madrid: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Celta Vigo: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Real Madrid: 10.0%
Celta Vigo: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Real Madrid: 0.0%
Celta Vigo: 30.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Real Madrid ML moved from -180 to -190
Celta Vigo ML moved from +420 to +400

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Real Madrid: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Celta Vigo: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Real Madrid: 20.0%
Celta Vigo: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Real Madrid: 0.0%
Celta Vigo: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Real Madrid ML moved from -160 to -175
Celta Vigo ML moved from +415 to +400

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.0%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3+106o3-104o3+100o3-107o3-104o3-107o3+100o3+103
Underu3-124u3-112u3-120u3-113u3-116u3-113u3-112u3-103
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3+100o3+100o3-107-o3-105o3+100o3+100o3+103
Underu3-120u3-120u3-113-u3-125u3-120u3-113u3-103

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes50.1%
 
No49.9%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 05.29%
Exactly 222.85%
Exactly 416.45%
Exactly 64.74%
Exactly 80.73%
 
Exactly 115.55%
Exactly 322.39%
Exactly 59.67%
Exactly 71.99%
Exactly 90.24%
Exact Goals Scored - Real Madrid
Exactly 012.36%
Exactly 125.84%
Exactly 227.01%
Exactly 318.82%
Exactly 49.84%
Exactly 54.11%
Exactly 61.43%
Exactly 70.43%
Exactly 80.11%
Exact Goals Scored - Celta Vigo
Exactly 042.80%
Exactly 136.32%
Exactly 215.41%
Exactly 34.36%
Exactly 40.92%
Exactly 50.16%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 025.65%
Exactly 223.74%
Exactly 43.66%
Exactly 60.23%
 
Exactly 134.90%
Exactly 310.77%
Exactly 51.00%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Real Madrid
Exactly 037.99%
Exactly 136.77%
Exactly 217.79%
Exactly 35.74%
Exactly 41.39%
Exactly 50.27%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Celta Vigo
Exactly 067.51%
Exactly 126.52%
Exactly 25.21%
Exactly 30.68%

Alternate Props

Spread

Real Madrid
Wins by 2+ goals41.79%
Wins by 3+ goals21.69%
Wins by 4+ goals9.36%
Wins by 5+ goals3.41%
Celta Vigo
Wins by 2+ goals4.31%
Wins by 3+ goals0.99%
Wins by 4+ goals0.17%

Exact Winning Margin

Real Madrid
Celta Vigo
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
Real Madrid
Wins by 1 goal24.24%
Wins by 2 goals20.11%
Wins by 3 goals12.33%
Wins by 4 goals5.95%
Wins by 5 goals2.35%
Celta Vigo
Wins by 1 goal9.84%
Wins by 2 goals3.31%
Wins by 3 goals0.82%
Wins by 4 goals0.15%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.594.71%5.29%
1.579.16%20.84%
2.556.30%43.70%
3.533.91%66.09%
4.517.46%82.54%
5.57.79%92.21%
6.53.05%96.95%
7.51.06%98.94%

Total Goals Real Madrid Over/Under

OverUnder
0.587.64%12.36%
1.561.79%38.21%
2.534.78%65.22%
3.515.96%84.04%
4.56.12%93.88%
5.52.01%97.99%

Total Goals Celta Vigo Over/Under

OverUnder
0.557.20%42.80%
1.520.88%79.12%
2.55.47%94.53%
3.51.11%98.89%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.574.35%25.65%
1.539.46%60.54%
2.515.71%84.29%
3.54.94%95.06%
4.51.28%98.72%

Score Props

Correct Score

Real Madrid
Celta Vigo
Score01234
0
5.29%
4.49%
1.91%
0.54%
0.11%
1
11.06%
9.39%
3.98%
1.13%
0.24%
2
11.56%
9.81%
4.16%
1.18%
0.25%
3
8.06%
6.84%
2.90%
0.82%
0.17%
4
4.21%
3.57%
1.52%
0.43%
0.09%
5
1.76%
1.49%
0.63%
0.18%
0.04%
Real Madrid
1-011.06%
2-011.56%
2-19.81%
3-08.06%
3-16.84%
3-22.90%
4-04.21%
4-13.57%
4-21.52%
4-30.43%
5-01.76%
5-11.49%
5-20.63%
5-30.18%
Draw
0-05.29%
1-19.39%
2-24.16%
3-30.82%
Celta Vigo
0-14.49%
0-21.91%
1-23.98%
0-30.54%
1-31.13%
2-31.18%
0-40.11%
1-40.24%
2-40.25%
3-40.17%

Correct Score - First Half

Real Madrid
Celta Vigo
Score0123
0
25.65%
10.08%
1.98%
0.26%
1
24.82%
9.75%
1.92%
0.25%
2
12.01%
4.72%
0.93%
0.12%
3
3.88%
1.52%
0.30%
0.04%
4
0.94%
0.37%
0.07%
0.01%
5
0.18%
0.07%
0.01%
0.00%
Real Madrid
1-024.82%
2-012.01%
2-14.72%
3-03.88%
3-11.52%
3-20.30%
4-00.94%
4-10.37%
5-00.18%
Draw
0-025.65%
1-19.75%
2-20.93%
Celta Vigo
0-110.08%
0-21.98%
1-21.92%
0-30.26%
1-30.25%
2-30.12%