Atletico Madrid at Celta Vigo

Updated

Atletico Madrid

53.2%25.0%21.8%
Atletico Madrid WinDrawCelta Vigo Win
1.60Projected Goals 0.93
1Final Score 0

Celta Vigo

Last 5 Games

Atletico Madrid
Money Line
T 1-1 at Rayo Vallecano-135
W 0-3 vs Valencia-278
W 1-0 at Athletic Club+165
T 0-0 vs Espanyol-397
W 0-3 vs Girona-214
Celta Vigo
Money Line
L 1-3 at Athletic Club+346
W 1-3 vs Valladolid-150
L 2-3 at Osasuna+190
L 3-4 at Villarreal+375
W 1-3 vs Valencia+110

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.1%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Atletico Madrid+107-110-110-111-111-111-110-103.3
Celta Vigo+255+317+300+325+322+325+325+340.0
Draw+264+262+270+265+261+265+270+277.9
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Atletico Madrid-110--108--130-110-108-103.3
Celta Vigo+290-+313-+265+290+313+340.0
Draw+270-+250-+245+270+270+277.9

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Atletico Madrid: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Celta Vigo: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Atletico Madrid: 10.0%
Celta Vigo: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Atletico Madrid: 0.0%
Celta Vigo: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Atletico Madrid ML moved from +100 to -105
Celta Vigo ML moved from +310 to +300

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Atletico Madrid: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Celta Vigo: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Atletico Madrid: 10.0%
Celta Vigo: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Atletico Madrid: 0.0%
Celta Vigo: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Atletico Madrid ML moved from -108 to -115
Celta Vigo ML moved from +321 to +313

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.5%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-131o2½-109o2½-112o2½-113o2½-108o2½-113o2½-108o2½-103
Underu2½+111u2½-108u2½-108u2½-107u2½-106u2½-107u2½-106u2½+103
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-140o2½-105o2½-105-o2½-115o2½-105o2½-105o2½-103
Underu2½+120u2½-115u2½-115-u2½-115u2½-115u2½-115u2½+103

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o2½-112 to o2¾-105
The Under moved from u2¾-115 to u2½-108

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u2½+115 to u2½-115

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes48.3%
 
No51.7%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 07.96%
Exactly 225.49%
Exactly 413.61%
Exactly 62.91%
Exactly 80.33%
 
Exactly 120.14%
Exactly 321.51%
Exactly 56.89%
Exactly 71.05%
Exact Goals Scored - Atletico Madrid
Exactly 020.14%
Exactly 132.27%
Exactly 225.86%
Exactly 313.82%
Exactly 45.54%
Exactly 51.77%
Exactly 60.47%
Exactly 70.11%
Exact Goals Scored - Celta Vigo
Exactly 039.51%
Exactly 136.69%
Exactly 217.03%
Exactly 35.27%
Exactly 41.22%
Exactly 50.23%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 030.98%
Exactly 221.27%
Exactly 42.43%
Exactly 60.11%
 
Exactly 136.30%
Exactly 38.31%
Exactly 50.57%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Atletico Madrid
Exactly 047.61%
Exactly 135.33%
Exactly 213.11%
Exactly 33.24%
Exactly 40.60%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Celta Vigo
Exactly 065.06%
Exactly 127.97%
Exactly 26.01%
Exactly 30.86%

Alternate Props

Spread

Atletico Madrid
Wins by 2+ goals28.24%
Wins by 3+ goals11.91%
Wins by 4+ goals4.09%
Wins by 5+ goals1.16%
Celta Vigo
Wins by 2+ goals7.36%
Wins by 3+ goals1.88%
Wins by 4+ goals0.37%

Exact Winning Margin

Atletico Madrid
Celta Vigo
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
Atletico Madrid
Wins by 1 goal24.91%
Wins by 2 goals16.33%
Wins by 3 goals7.82%
Wins by 4 goals2.92%
Wins by 5 goals0.89%
Celta Vigo
Wins by 1 goal14.43%
Wins by 2 goals5.48%
Wins by 3 goals1.52%
Wins by 4 goals0.32%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.592.04%7.96%
1.571.90%28.10%
2.546.42%53.58%
3.524.91%75.09%
4.511.30%88.70%
5.54.41%95.59%
6.51.51%98.49%

Total Goals Atletico Madrid Over/Under

OverUnder
0.579.86%20.14%
1.547.59%52.41%
2.521.73%78.27%
3.57.92%92.08%
4.52.38%97.62%

Total Goals Celta Vigo Over/Under

OverUnder
0.560.49%39.51%
1.523.80%76.20%
2.56.76%93.24%
3.51.49%98.51%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.569.02%30.98%
1.532.72%67.28%
2.511.45%88.55%
3.53.14%96.86%

Score Props

Correct Score

Atletico Madrid
Celta Vigo
Score01234
0
7.96%
7.39%
3.43%
1.06%
0.25%
1
12.75%
11.84%
5.50%
1.70%
0.39%
2
10.22%
9.49%
4.40%
1.36%
0.32%
3
5.46%
5.07%
2.35%
0.73%
0.17%
4
2.19%
2.03%
0.94%
0.29%
0.07%
5
0.70%
0.65%
0.30%
0.09%
0.02%
Atletico Madrid
1-012.75%
2-010.22%
2-19.49%
3-05.46%
3-15.07%
3-22.35%
4-02.19%
4-12.03%
4-20.94%
4-30.29%
5-00.70%
5-10.65%
5-20.30%
Draw
0-07.96%
1-111.84%
2-24.40%
3-30.73%
Celta Vigo
0-17.39%
0-23.43%
1-25.50%
0-31.06%
1-31.70%
2-31.36%
0-40.25%
1-40.39%
2-40.32%
3-40.17%

Correct Score - First Half

Atletico Madrid
Celta Vigo
Score0123
0
30.98%
13.32%
2.86%
0.41%
1
22.99%
9.88%
2.12%
0.30%
2
8.53%
3.67%
0.79%
0.11%
3
2.11%
0.91%
0.19%
0.03%
4
0.39%
0.17%
0.04%
0.01%
Atletico Madrid
1-022.99%
2-08.53%
2-13.67%
3-02.11%
3-10.91%
3-20.19%
4-00.39%
4-10.17%
Draw
0-030.98%
1-19.88%
2-20.79%
Celta Vigo
0-113.32%
0-22.86%
1-22.12%
0-30.41%
1-30.30%
2-30.11%