Valencia at Atletico Madrid

Updated

Valencia

11.4%18.6%70.0%
WinDrawAtletico Madrid Win
0.73Projected Goals 2.15
0Final Score 3

Atletico Madrid

Last 5 Games

Valencia
Money Line
T 1-1 vs Villarreal+170
L 0-1 at Athletic Club+455
L 1-3 at Celta Vigo+260
L 2-1 vs Barcelona+350
T 2-2 at Celta Vigo+325
Atletico Madrid
Money Line
W 1-0 at Athletic Club+165
T 0-0 vs Espanyol-397
W 0-3 vs Girona-214
T 2-2 at Villarreal+103
W 2-0 at Real Sociedad+180

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.7%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Valencia+822+827+750+950+971+950+971+986.7
Atletico Madrid-285-258-280-290-317-290-258-255.3
Draw+395+373+400+410+414+410+414+427.8
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Valencia+850-+810--+1000+1000+986.7
Atletico Madrid-280--278---335-278-255.3
Draw+380-+382--+425+425+427.8

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Valencia: 50.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Atletico Madrid: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Valencia: 10.0%
Atletico Madrid: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Valencia: 30.0%
Atletico Madrid: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Valencia ML moved from +775 to +750
Atletico Madrid ML moved from -290 to -300

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Valencia: 60.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Atletico Madrid: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Valencia: 20.0%
Atletico Madrid: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Valencia: 40.0%
Atletico Madrid: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Valencia ML moved from +865 to +810
Atletico Madrid ML moved from -325 to -335

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.1%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-110o2½-118o2½-115o2½-114o2½-115o2½-114o2½-114o2½-104
Underu2½-110u2½+100u2½-105u2½-106u2½-101u2½-106u2½+100u2½+104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-115o2½-120o2½-110-o2½-115o2½-125o2½-110o2½-104
Underu2½-105u2½+100u2½-110-u2½-115u2½+105u2½+105u2½+104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes45.8%
 
No54.2%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 05.63%
Exactly 223.30%
Exactly 416.08%
Exactly 64.44%
Exactly 80.66%
 
Exactly 116.19%
Exactly 322.35%
Exactly 59.25%
Exactly 71.82%
Exactly 90.21%
Exact Goals Scored - Valencia
Exactly 048.10%
Exactly 135.20%
Exactly 212.88%
Exactly 33.14%
Exactly 40.58%
Exact Goals Scored - Atletico Madrid
Exactly 011.70%
Exactly 125.10%
Exactly 226.93%
Exactly 319.26%
Exactly 410.33%
Exactly 54.44%
Exactly 61.59%
Exactly 70.49%
Exactly 80.13%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 026.38%
Exactly 223.42%
Exactly 43.47%
Exactly 60.21%
 
Exactly 135.15%
Exactly 310.40%
Exactly 50.92%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Valencia
Exactly 071.26%
Exactly 124.15%
Exactly 24.09%
Exactly 30.46%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Atletico Madrid
Exactly 037.02%
Exactly 136.79%
Exactly 218.28%
Exactly 36.05%
Exactly 41.50%
Exactly 50.30%

Alternate Props

Spread

Valencia
Wins by 2+ goals3.03%
Wins by 3+ goals0.58%
Atletico Madrid
Wins by 2+ goals45.55%
Wins by 3+ goals24.33%
Wins by 4+ goals10.81%
Wins by 5+ goals4.05%
Wins by 6+ goals1.29%
Wins by 7+ goals0.34%

Exact Winning Margin

Valencia
Atletico Madrid
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
Valencia
Wins by 1 goal8.31%
Wins by 2 goals2.45%
Wins by 3 goals0.51%
Atletico Madrid
Wins by 1 goal24.38%
Wins by 2 goals21.21%
Wins by 3 goals13.53%
Wins by 4 goals6.75%
Wins by 5 goals2.76%
Wins by 6 goals0.95%
Wins by 7 goals0.28%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.594.37%5.63%
1.578.18%21.82%
2.554.89%45.11%
3.532.54%67.46%
4.516.46%83.54%
5.57.21%92.79%
6.52.77%97.23%

Total Goals Valencia Over/Under

OverUnder
0.551.90%48.10%
1.516.70%83.30%
2.53.81%96.19%

Total Goals Atletico Madrid Over/Under

OverUnder
0.588.30%11.70%
1.563.21%36.79%
2.536.28%63.72%
3.517.01%82.99%
4.56.68%93.32%
5.52.24%97.76%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.573.62%26.38%
1.538.46%61.54%
2.515.04%84.96%
3.54.64%95.36%
4.51.18%98.82%

Score Props

Correct Score

Valencia
Atletico Madrid
Score012345
0
5.63%
12.07%
12.95%
9.27%
4.97%
2.13%
1
4.12%
8.84%
9.48%
6.78%
3.64%
1.56%
2
1.51%
3.23%
3.47%
2.48%
1.33%
0.57%
3
0.37%
0.79%
0.85%
0.61%
0.32%
0.14%
Valencia
1-04.12%
2-01.51%
2-13.23%
3-00.37%
3-10.79%
3-20.85%
Draw
0-05.63%
1-18.84%
2-23.47%
3-30.61%
Atletico Madrid
0-112.07%
0-212.95%
1-29.48%
0-39.27%
1-36.78%
2-32.48%
0-44.97%
1-43.64%
2-41.33%
3-40.32%
0-52.13%
1-51.56%
2-50.57%
3-50.14%

Correct Score - First Half

Valencia
Atletico Madrid
Score012345
0
26.38%
26.21%
13.02%
4.31%
1.07%
0.21%
1
8.94%
8.88%
4.41%
1.46%
0.36%
0.07%
2
1.51%
1.51%
0.75%
0.25%
0.06%
0.01%
3
0.17%
0.17%
0.08%
0.03%
0.01%
0.00%
Valencia
1-08.94%
2-01.51%
2-11.51%
3-00.17%
3-10.17%
Draw
0-026.38%
1-18.88%
2-20.75%
Atletico Madrid
0-126.21%
0-213.02%
1-24.41%
0-34.31%
1-31.46%
2-30.25%
0-41.07%
1-40.36%
0-50.21%