Valencia at Real Madrid

Updated

Valencia

9.2%15.8%75.0%
WinDrawReal Madrid Win
0.73Projected Goals 2.43
0Final Score 2

Real Madrid

Last 5 Games

Valencia
Money Line
L 0-1 at Valladolid+135
T 2-2 vs Almeria-165
L 1-0 vs Cadiz-180
L 1-2 at Villarreal+265
W 0-3 vs Betis+120
Real Madrid
Money Line
T 0-0 vs Real Sociedad-140
W 2-0 at Athletic Club+145
L 1-2 at Villarreal+105
W 2-0 at Valladolid-230
W 1-2 vs Cadiz-500

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
5.0%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Valencia+525+717+625+755+830+755+830+851.8
Real Madrid-220-249-260-265-257-265-249-237.1
Draw+380+391+420+420+410+420+420+422.0
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Valencia+525---+575+770+770+851.8
Real Madrid-215----315-290-290-237.1
Draw+380---+350+415+415+422.0

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Valencia: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Real Madrid: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Valencia: 0.0%
Real Madrid: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Valencia: 20.0%
Real Madrid: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Valencia ML moved from +711 to +695
Real Madrid ML moved from -243 to -249

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Valencia: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Real Madrid: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Valencia: 0.0%
Real Madrid: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Valencia: 10.0%
Real Madrid: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Valencia ML moved from +695 to +670
Real Madrid ML moved from -275 to -285

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.4%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3+102o3+105o2¾-122o3+110o3+110o3+110o2¾-122o3+117
Underu3-122u3-125u2¾+102u3-130u3-125u3-130u3-125u3-117
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3+100o3+100--o3-115o3+100o3+100o3+117
Underu3-120u3-120--u3-115u3-120u3-115u3-117

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes47.1%
 
No52.9%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 04.24%
Exactly 221.17%
Exactly 417.63%
Exactly 65.87%
Exactly 81.05%
Exactly 100.12%
 
Exactly 113.40%
Exactly 322.31%
Exactly 511.15%
Exactly 72.65%
Exactly 90.37%
Exact Goals Scored - Valencia
Exactly 048.35%
Exactly 135.14%
Exactly 212.77%
Exactly 33.09%
Exactly 40.56%
Exact Goals Scored - Real Madrid
Exactly 08.77%
Exactly 121.34%
Exactly 225.97%
Exactly 321.08%
Exactly 412.83%
Exactly 56.24%
Exactly 62.53%
Exactly 70.88%
Exactly 80.27%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 023.14%
Exactly 224.78%
Exactly 44.42%
Exactly 60.32%
 
Exactly 133.87%
Exactly 312.09%
Exactly 51.29%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Valencia
Exactly 071.43%
Exactly 124.03%
Exactly 24.04%
Exactly 30.45%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Real Madrid
Exactly 032.40%
Exactly 136.51%
Exactly 220.58%
Exactly 37.73%
Exactly 42.18%
Exactly 50.49%

Alternate Props

Spread

Valencia
Wins by 2+ goals2.36%
Wins by 3+ goals0.44%
Real Madrid
Wins by 2+ goals52.38%
Wins by 3+ goals30.58%
Wins by 4+ goals15.00%
Wins by 5+ goals6.25%
Wins by 6+ goals2.22%
Wins by 7+ goals0.65%
Wins by 8+ goals0.13%

Exact Winning Margin

Valencia
Real Madrid
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Valencia
Wins by 1 goal6.72%
Wins by 2 goals1.92%
Wins by 3 goals0.39%
Real Madrid
Wins by 1 goal22.56%
Wins by 2 goals21.81%
Wins by 3 goals15.58%
Wins by 4 goals8.75%
Wins by 5 goals4.03%
Wins by 6 goals1.57%
Wins by 7 goals0.52%
Wins by 8 goals0.13%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.595.76%4.24%
1.582.36%17.64%
2.561.19%38.81%
3.538.88%61.12%
4.521.25%78.75%
5.510.10%89.90%
6.54.23%95.77%
7.51.58%98.42%

Total Goals Valencia Over/Under

OverUnder
0.551.65%48.35%
1.516.51%83.49%
2.53.75%96.25%

Total Goals Real Madrid Over/Under

OverUnder
0.591.23%8.77%
1.569.90%30.10%
2.543.93%56.07%
3.522.85%77.15%
4.510.02%89.98%
5.53.78%96.22%
6.51.24%98.76%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.576.86%23.14%
1.542.99%57.01%
2.518.21%81.79%
3.56.12%93.88%
4.51.69%98.31%

Score Props

Correct Score

Valencia
Real Madrid
Score012345
0
4.24%
10.32%
12.56%
10.19%
6.20%
3.02%
1
3.08%
7.50%
9.13%
7.40%
4.51%
2.19%
2
1.12%
2.72%
3.32%
2.69%
1.64%
0.80%
3
0.27%
0.66%
0.80%
0.65%
0.40%
0.19%
Valencia
1-03.08%
2-01.12%
2-12.72%
3-00.27%
3-10.66%
3-20.80%
Draw
0-04.24%
1-17.50%
2-23.32%
3-30.65%
Real Madrid
0-110.32%
0-212.56%
1-29.13%
0-310.19%
1-37.40%
2-32.69%
0-46.20%
1-44.51%
2-41.64%
3-40.40%
0-53.02%
1-52.19%
2-50.80%
3-50.19%

Correct Score - First Half

Valencia
Real Madrid
Score012345
0
23.14%
26.08%
14.70%
5.52%
1.56%
0.35%
1
7.79%
8.78%
4.95%
1.86%
0.52%
0.12%
2
1.31%
1.48%
0.83%
0.31%
0.09%
0.02%
3
0.15%
0.17%
0.09%
0.04%
0.01%
0.00%
Valencia
1-07.79%
2-01.31%
2-11.48%
3-00.15%
3-10.17%
Draw
0-023.14%
1-18.78%
2-20.83%
Real Madrid
0-126.08%
0-214.70%
1-24.95%
0-35.52%
1-31.86%
2-30.31%
0-41.56%
1-40.52%
0-50.35%
1-50.12%